Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 6, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $110.2600 (0.66%) ($109.6300 - $110.5600) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $110.2600(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IVE(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.91(2.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.85(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.67(1.46%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $115.55
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $110.47

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 4.8% away from the target price of 115.55.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2015	108.27	108.67	107.85	107.91			110.26(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-2	-10000	10	-36	21.98	55%	0.02	-16.5	0.88%	0	1.1	45	0
2	Jul_13_2015	108.25	108.56	107.48	107.46			109.54(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-13	-10000	8	-77	25.78	55%	0.01	-25.2	0.88%	0	0.7	42	0
3	Jul_10_2015	108.24	108.52	107.41	107.09			107.65(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-1	-102	26.42	52%	0	-34.1	0.85%	0	-0.6	39	0
4	Jul_9_2015	108.24	108.62	107.61	107.15			106.03(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-10000	-8	-111	28.38	49%	-0.01	-33.6	0.83%	0	-1.8	26	0
5	Jul_8_2015	108.25	108.8	108.03	107.53			106.09(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-4	-90	39.69	49%	-0.01	-31.7	0.84%	0	-2	39	0

6	Jul_7_2015	108.26	108.92	108.5	107.72			107.97(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	6	-72	44.23	53%	-0.01	-39.1	0.81%	0	-0.8	47	0
7	Jul_6_2015	108.27	108.94	108.75	107.47			107.7(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-24	-10000	-7	-73	24.31	53%	0.04	-54.1	0.81%	0	-1	50	0
8	Jul_2_2015	108.23	109.02	108.98	107.78			107.95(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-9	-56	20.5	53%	0.03	-52.9	0.82%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	Jul_1_2015	108.2	109.11	109.25	108.19			107.92(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-10	-35	21.29	53%	0.03	-48.1	0.82%	0	-1	43	0
10	Jun_30_2015	108.17	109.23	109.38	108.65			107.07(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-10000	-17	-24	34.81	53%	0.05	-39.8	0.82%	0	-1.9	40	0

11	Jun_29_2015	108.12	109.39	109.59	109.39			106.69(-2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-12	-10000	-18	8	50.87	53%	0.03	-20.2	0.83%	0	-2.6	48	0
12	Jun_26_2015	108.09	109.59	109.79	110.2			109.27(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	10	-10000	-3	47	32.31	59%	0.06	1.3	0.78%	0	-0.4	58	0
13	Jun_25_2015	108.03	109.62	109.76	110.32			110(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-3	50	18.33	53%	0.06	2.6	0.77%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Jun_24_2015	107.96	109.65	109.72	110.46			110.22(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	5	56	15.82	53%	0.07	11	0.83%	0	0.6	53	0
15	Jun_23_2015	107.88	109.68	109.64	110.23			110.79(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	9	46	18.13	53%	0.08	8.5	0.82%	0	1.2	50	0

16	Jun_22_2015	107.79	109.59	109.37	109.84			110.7(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	11	20	19.12	53%	0.08	-8.8	0.82%	0	1.3	52	0
17	Jun_19_2015	107.7	109.57	109.11	109.34			109.89(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	5	-14	27.88	53%	0.08	-20.3	0.82%	0	0.4	46	0
18	Jun_18_2015	107.61	109.6	109.04	109.11			110.69(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-3	-10000	5	-28	43.03	55%	0.09	-22	0.82%	0	1.2	52	0
19	Jun_17_2015	107.51	109.56	108.9	108.9			109.1(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-47	23.3	52%	0.07	-19	0.8%	0	-0.5	39	0
20	Jun_16_2015	107.44	109.6	109.01	108.98			108.8(0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	4	-46	16.46	54%	0.05	-5.1	0.8%	0	-0.9	36	0

21	Jun_15_2015	107.39	109.67	109.13	108.98			108.21(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	0	-48	31.24	54%	0.04	-1.3	0.82%	0	-1.7	46	0
22	Jun_12_2015	107.35	109.74	109.35	108.82			108.75(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-2	-51	27.2	54%	0.05	4.3	0.82%	0	-1.3	42	0
23	Jun_11_2015	107.3	109.79	109.48	108.93			109.65(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-13	-10000	0	-50	17.59	56%	0.07	22.4	0.81%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	Jun_10_2015	107.22	109.72	109.58	108.91			109.49(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-4	-49	30.3	52%	0.07	26	0.82%	0	-0.3	48	0
25	Jun_9_2015	107.14	109.65	109.71	109.09			108.01(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-38	27.55	50%		30.2	0.83%	0	-1.7	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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