Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $110.6900 (1.46%) ($109.4400 - $110.8800) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $110.6900(1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(90%)    VT(83%)    XLY(82%)    IVE(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.11(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.04(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.6(0.99%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.2
One Month Target Price   > $113.79
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $109.12

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.2% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2.8% away from the target price of 113.79.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2015	107.61	109.6	109.04	109.11			110.69(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-3	-10000	5	-28	43.03	55%	0.09	-22	0.82%	0	1.2	52	0
2	Jun_17_2015	107.51	109.56	108.9	108.9			109.1(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-47	23.3	52%	0.07	-19	0.8%	0	-0.5	39	0
3	Jun_16_2015	107.44	109.6	109.01	108.98			108.8(0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	4	-46	16.46	54%	0.05	-5.1	0.8%	0	-0.9	36	0
4	Jun_15_2015	107.39	109.67	109.13	108.98			108.21(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	0	-48	31.24	54%	0.04	-1.3	0.82%	0	-1.7	46	0
5	Jun_12_2015	107.35	109.74	109.35	108.82			108.75(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-2	-51	27.2	54%	0.05	4.3	0.82%	0	-1.3	42	0

6	Jun_11_2015	107.3	109.79	109.48	108.93			109.65(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-13	-10000	0	-50	17.59	56%	0.07	22.4	0.81%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Jun_10_2015	107.22	109.72	109.58	108.91			109.49(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-15	-10000	-4	-49	30.3	52%	0.07	26	0.82%	0	-0.3	48	0
8	Jun_9_2015	107.14	109.65	109.71	109.09			108.01(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-38	27.55	50%	0.01	30.2	0.83%	0	-1.7	40	0
9	Jun_8_2015	107.13	109.68	109.86	109.5			108.19(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-10	-29	24.55	50%	0.07	39.3	0.83%	0	-1.6	40	0
10	Jun_5_2015	107.06	109.71	110.1	109.95			109.3(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-3	-5	22.64	49%	0.09	53.8	0.84%	0	-0.5	50	0

11	Jun_4_2015	106.96	109.63	110.23	110.1			109.56(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-5	5	31.37	49%	0.08	50.5	0.84%	0	-0.1	51	0
12	Jun_3_2015	106.87	109.5	110.29	110.33			110.4(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	27	20.51	49%	0.08	38.2	0.83%	0	0.8	67	0
13	Jun_2_2015	106.78	109.36	110.29	110.44			110.07(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	4	47	19.45	49%	0.08	30.7	0.83%	0	0.6	67	0
14	Jun_1_2015	106.69	109.32	110.25	110.27			110.42(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	-0	50	24.57	49%	0.08	23.9	0.84%	0	0.9	65	0
15	May_29_2015	106.61	109.24	110.17	110.28			110.05(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	56	30.38	49%	0.07	18.9	0.84%	0	0.7	59	0

16	May_28_2015	106.54	109.12	110.13	110.38			110.71(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	3	75	17.3	49%	0.09	15.9	0.85%	0	1.3	70	0
17	May_27_2015	106.44	109.04	109.87	110.24			110.96(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	4	81	30.57	49%	0.1	15.7	0.85%	0	1.6	74	0
18	May_26_2015	106.33	108.98	109.56	110.04			109.2(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	-10000	-4	76	25.49	46%	0.1	19.4	0.83%	0	0.2	62	0
19	May_22_2015	106.22	109.03	109.48	110.21			110.47(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	4	84	13.54	48%	0.05	33.6	0.8%	0	1.2	55	0
20	May_21_2015	106.17	109.01	109.3	110.03			110.58(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	4	76	16.77	48%	0.07	49	0.81%	0	1.4	57	0

21	May_20_2015	106.1	108.93	108.98	109.83			110.01(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	70	21.13	48%	0.06	53.1	0.81%	0	1	62	0
22	May_19_2015	106.04	108.85	108.66	109.43			109.94(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	40	14.21	48%	0.05	46.4	0.82%	0	1	51	0
23	May_18_2015	105.99	108.76	108.4	109			110.06(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	8	17.63	48%	0.05	39.2	0.82%	0	1.2	48	0
24	May_15_2015	105.94	108.63	108.29	108.64			109.58(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	4	-14	23.94	48%	0.04	28	0.81%	0	0.8	45	0
25	May_14_2015	105.9	108.46	108.22	108.46			109.58(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	10	-28	23.9	48%		17.9	0.82%	0	1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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