Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $106.9100 (0.86%) ($106.1000 - $106.9300) on Mon. Feb. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $106.9100(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.98(1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.04(2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.16(3.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   2.3
One Month Target Price   > $109.48
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $104.17

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2.4% away from the target price of 109.48.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2015	101.49	103.16	104.04	104.98			106.91(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	15	102	29.03	50%	0.09	59.1	0.97%	0	2.3	58	0
2	Feb_12_2015	101.4	102.8	103.46	104.22			106(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	9	60	22.52	50%	0.06	38.8	0.96%	0	2.1	54	0
3	Feb_11_2015	101.34	102.54	103.03	103.77			104.78(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	8	34	20.3	48%	0.07	33.3	0.95%	0	1.6	51	0
4	Feb_10_2015	101.27	102.36	102.64	103.39			104.4(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	6	14	23.69	48%	0.05	32.6	0.95%	0	1.5	58	0
5	Feb_9_2015	101.22	102.21	102.33	103.1			102.8(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	3	2	22.6	45%	0.03	28.9	0.93%	0	0.5	56	0

6	Feb_6_2015	101.19	102.21	102.44	102.94			103.13(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	9	17	34.17	45%	0.03	24.8	0.93%	0	0.7	61	0
7	Feb_5_2015	101.16	102.2	102.44	102.53			103.76(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	8	29	23.61	45%	0.04	15.7	0.93%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Feb_4_2015	101.12	102.07	102.53	102.16			102.87(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	35	34.07	45%	0.04	-3.4	0.92%	0	0.7	58	0
9	Feb_3_2015	101.08	101.94	102.45	101.77			102.96(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	7	24	30.75	45%	0.05	-29	0.92%	0	0.8	55	0
10	Feb_2_2015	101.03	101.86	102.32	101.47			101.98(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-5	-10000	-9	8	43.62	43%	0.02	-50	0.92%	0	0.1	52	0

11	Jan_30_2015	101.01	101.9	102.23	101.9			101.1(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-13	12	42.93	46%	0.01	-45.2	0.93%	0	-0.6	44	0
12	Jan_29_2015	101	102	102.12	102.53			101.89(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-9	15	46.54	46%	0.02	-34.4	0.92%	0	-0.1	44	0
13	Jan_28_2015	100.98	102.11	102.04	102.96			100.92(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-5	31	43.59	47%	0.02	-25.6	0.91%	0	-0.9	50	0
14	Jan_27_2015	100.96	102.31	102.12	103.2			101.44(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	12	-10000	-1	50	45.25	47%	0.01	-17.6	0.93%	0	-0.6	57	0
15	Jan_26_2015	100.95	102.48	102.14	103.24			104.14(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	15	63	19.96	51%	0.05	-13.6	0.87%	0	1.1	59	0

16	Jan_23_2015	100.9	102.47	101.96	102.57			104.26(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	21	39	34.78	54%	0.05	-18.2	0.87%	0	1.1	53	0
17	Jan_22_2015	100.85	102.45	101.82	101.65			104.03(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	13	1	40.89	54%	0.04	-22.4	0.89%	0	1	51	0
18	Jan_21_2015	100.81	102.46	101.53	101.04			102.14(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	3	-44	40.13	55%	0.02	-25.3	0.86%	0	-0.2	41	0
19	Jan_20_2015	100.79	102.56	101.33	100.91			101.62(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	0	-76	30.96	58%	0.02	-22	0.92%	0	-0.6	36	0
20	Jan_16_2015	100.77	102.69	101.31	100.9			100.82(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-8	-100	35.36	59%	0.02	-20.6	0.94%	0	-1.1	33	0

21	Jan_15_2015	100.75	102.75	101.51	101.26			99.65(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-10000	-15	-101	51.01	58%	0	-19.1	0.93%	0	-1.9	32	0
22	Jan_14_2015	100.75	102.8	101.88	101.99			100.96(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-2	-78	51.35	60%	0.01	-22.6	0.92%	0	-1.2	36	0
23	Jan_13_2015	100.74	102.85	102.2	102.07			101.52(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-14	-10000	6	-75	56.16	57%	0.03	-28.4	0.92%	0	-0.8	36	0
24	Jan_12_2015	100.71	102.92	102.53	101.78			101.55(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	0	-84	34.13	57%	0.02	-41.6	0.94%	0	-0.9	38	0
25	Jan_9_2015	100.69	103.03	102.87	101.76			102.62(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-1	-78	41.41	52%		-48	0.99%	0	-0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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