Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Aug. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $66.8600 (0.06%) ($66.4100 - $66.8800) on Sun. Aug. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $66.8600(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.61(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.78(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.81(3.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.6
One Month Target Price   > $67.66
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $63.63

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.2% away from the target price of 67.66.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120912

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2012	64.49	64.81	65.78	66.61			66.86(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	6	127	20.32	55%	0	67.2	1.19%	0	1.6	76	0
2	Aug_9_2012	64.49	64.63	65.58	66.36			66.82(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	12	126	20.73	55%	-0.02	60.6	1.19%	0	1.7	66	0
3	Aug_8_2012	64.5	64.41	65.24	65.87			66.62(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	10	94	20.72	55%	0	44.5	1.19%	0	1.8	57	0
4	Aug_7_2012	64.5	64.23	64.84	65.47			66.65(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	10	66	28.22	55%	0	31.3	1.19%	0	2.1	61	0
5	Aug_6_2012	64.5	64.05	64.46	65.1			66.1(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	7	45	23.53	55%	-0.02	21.9	1.19%	0	2.1	64	0

6	Aug_3_2012	64.51	63.94	64.19	64.84			65.6(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	4	35	42.12	50%	-0.02	15.6	1.22%	0	1.9	64	0
7	Aug_2_2012	64.52	63.85	64.03	64.7			64.38(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	5	36	40.54	47%	-0.03	22.4	1.21%	0	0.7	57	0
8	Aug_1_2012	64.54	63.85	64.09	64.49			64.61(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	11	49	30.92	47%	-0.03	26.6	1.21%	0	0.9	64	0
9	Jul_31_2012	64.56	63.87	64.06	64.08			64.8(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	10	41	34.6	47%	0	25.4	1.21%	0	1.1	60	0
10	Jul_30_2012	64.56	63.84	63.93	63.71			64.82(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	7	25	37.82	47%	0	26	1.21%	0	1.2	58	0

11	Jul_27_2012	64.56	63.8	63.76	63.44			64.87(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	4	-10000	3	7	42.62	47%	0	22.1	1.22%	0	1.4	53	0
12	Jul_26_2012	64.56	63.67	63.6	63.31			63.37(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-9	-9	41.93	44%	-0.02	14	1.18%	0	-0.4	45	0
13	Jul_25_2012	64.57	63.65	63.53	63.66			62.54(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-10	-12	46.27	46%	-0.02	18.5	1.17%	0	-1.3	35	0
14	Jul_24_2012	64.58	63.67	63.59	64.03			62.96(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-3	-6	57.27	46%	-0.02	21.2	1.22%	0	-0.8	37	0
15	Jul_23_2012	64.59	63.64	63.64	64.14			63.46(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-1	-10000	1	-6	48.66	45%	-0.03	16.4	1.22%	0	-0.2	44	0

16	Jul_20_2012	64.61	63.63	63.69	64.09			64.24(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	4	-9	40.57	45%	0	17.1	1.21%	0	0.7	50	0
17	Jul_19_2012	64.61	63.56	63.67	63.92			65.1(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	14	1	53.02	45%	0	13.4	1.2%	0	1.7	68	0
18	Jul_18_2012	64.61	63.5	63.62	63.39			64.39(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	7	-11	44.49	45%	0	8.3	1.2%	0	1.1	59	0
19	Jul_17_2012	64.61	63.5	63.65	63.11			63.53(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	1	-9	42.48	46%	0	8.3	1.19%	0	0	58	0
20	Jul_16_2012	64.61	63.49	63.73	63.08			63.2(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-4	3	27.62	45%	-0.02	16.7	1.21%	0	-0.3	59	0

21	Jul_13_2012	64.62	63.48	63.83	63.24			63.38(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-4	16	32.36	43%	-0.02	22.7	1.22%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Jul_12_2012	64.63	63.44	63.73	63.39			62.43(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-13	15	57.68	42%	-0.02	27.3	1.22%	0	-1.1	51	0
23	Jul_11_2012	64.64	63.43	63.8	63.89			63.02(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-10	29	43.43	42%	0	40.8	1.22%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Jul_10_2012	64.64	63.42	63.77	64.26			63.37(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-5	36	47.37	41%	-0.02	59.4	1.22%	0	-0.1	46	0
25	Jul_9_2012	64.65	63.35	63.67	64.46			64(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-1	37	35.64	40%		66.7	1.23%	0	0.7	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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