Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $54.6100 (2.79%) ($53.6400 - $54.6700) on Mon. Aug. 29, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $54.6100(2.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(83%)    IWM(78%)    EEM(71%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.91(3.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.34(4.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.94(3.15%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.85% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2011	56.43	52.94	52.34	52.91			54.61(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	17	8	45.99	50%	-0.05	-59.5	1.98%	0	0.8	54	0
2	Aug_26_2011	56.46	53.07	52.27	52.03			53.13(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-10000	12	-3	91.57	48%	-0.07	-67.5	1.95%	0	0	58	0
3	Aug_25_2011	56.5	53.28	52.29	51.41			51.83(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	4	-28	93.62	46%	-0.09	-71.5	1.93%	0	-0.6	46	0
4	Aug_24_2011	56.55	53.59	52.41	51.23			52.69(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-10000	-4	-43	80.2	46%	-0.09	-71.5	1.92%	0	-0.3	46	0
5	Aug_23_2011	56.6	53.84	52.24	51.41			52.28(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-6	-70	75.69	45%	-0.09	-65.2	1.91%	0	-0.5	39	0

6	Aug_22_2011	56.65	54.19	52.31	51.73			50.21(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-17	-85	77.11	42%	-0.12	-58.4	1.85%	0	-1.3	36	0
7	Aug_19_2011	56.72	54.65	52.39	52.56			50.03(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-14	-96	96.67	42%	-0.14	-49.1	1.85%	0	-1.5	32	0
8	Aug_18_2011	56.8	55.13	52.79	53.27			50.95(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-9	-94	130.02	42%	-0.12	-42.6	1.84%	0	-1.4	33	0
9	Aug_17_2011	56.87	55.54	53.12	53.7			53.58(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	-10000	12	-100	84.42	45%	-0.05	-37.6	1.74%	0	-0.7	37	0
10	Aug_16_2011	56.9	55.78	53.4	53.16			53.9(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-30	-10000	4	-130	89.22	44%	-0.05	-41.6	1.74%	0	-0.7	38	0

11	Aug_15_2011	56.93	56.03	53.6	52.98			54.36(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	16	-151	73.55	44%	-0.04	-42	1.75%	0	-0.6	35	0
12	Aug_12_2011	56.95	56.19	53.89	52.23			53.57(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-50	-10000	-1	-195	90.48	43%	-0.07	-50.4	1.74%	0	-0.9	33	0
13	Aug_11_2011	56.99	56.41	54.3	52.28			53.1(4.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-55	-10000	-5	-205	143.82	43%	-0.04	-53.6	1.74%	0	-1.2	31	0
14	Aug_10_2011	57.01	56.63	54.79	52.5			50.86(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-77	-10000	-27	-225	205.92	39%	-0.09	-57.5	1.65%	0	-2.2	25	0
15	Aug_9_2011	57.06	57	55.53	53.69			53.03(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-10000	-15	-193	193.71	42%	-0.04	-54.2	1.58%	0	-1.7	31	0

16	Aug_8_2011	57.08	57.25	56.18	54.33			50.59(-6.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.8	-74	-10000	-35	-191	204.8	36%	-0.07	-52.8	1.45%	0	-3.2	16	0
17	Aug_5_2011	57.12	57.65	57.11	55.76			53.83(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-10000	-24	-139	214.11	41%	-0.02	-49.6	1.25%	0	-2.5	35	0
18	Aug_4_2011	57.13	57.93	57.7	56.6			54.17(-4.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-39	-10000	-22	-90	132.83	41%	0	-35	1.25%	0	-3	34	0
19	Aug_3_2011	57.13	58.2	58.22	57.4			56.81(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-8	-39	103.61	46%	0.02	-9.7	1.11%	0	-1.5	51	0
20	Aug_2_2011	57.12	58.28	58.41	57.66			56.27(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-22	-10000	-21	-25	90.85	46%	0	10.4	1.11%	0	-2.4	44	0

21	Aug_1_2011	57.12	58.39	58.69	58.33			57.73(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-11	26	85.42	49%	0.04	56	1.06%	0	-0.9	54	0
22	Jul_29_2011	57.1	58.41	58.69	58.68			58(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-10	43	82.86	49%	0.02	94.3	1.07%	0	-0.6	52	0
23	Jul_28_2011	57.09	58.37	58.7	59			58.19(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-5	52	61.03	49%	0.04	109	1.07%	0	-0.2	45	0
24	Jul_27_2011	57.07	58.28	58.61	59.16			58.09(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	9	-10000	-3	45	83.97	49%	0	109.1	1.07%	0	-0.2	43	0
25	Jul_26_2011	57.07	58.2	58.59	59.26			59.63(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	51	40.92	53%		104.6	1.02%	0	1.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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