Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 30, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $49.7500 (0.69%) ($49.0800 - $49.8700) on Fri. Oct. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $49.7500(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(92%)    XLK(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.31(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.27(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.82(1.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $49.75
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $46.94

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.2% away from the target price of 49.75.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2010	45.96	48.82	49.27	49.31			49.75(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	5	22	83.22	65%	0.11	87.5	1.13%	0	1.1	60	0
2	Oct_7_2010	45.91	48.67	49.25	49.16			49.41(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	28	75.69	69%	0.09	82.1	1.13%	0	0.8	66	0
3	Oct_6_2010	45.87	48.53	49.18	49.09			49.23(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	-0	30	81.83	69%	0.04	81.8	1.19%	0	0.7	66	0
4	Oct_5_2010	45.85	48.39	49.13	49.1			49.66(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	2	41	99.3	69%	0.07	85.4	1.18%	0	1.1	72	0
5	Oct_4_2010	45.82	48.2	49.05	49.04			48.48(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-7	49	71.36	66%	0.04	94.1	1.16%	0	0.2	68	0

6	Oct_1_2010	45.8	48.08	49.09	49.23			49.01(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-5	78	77.68	66%	0.02	100.8	1.15%	0	0.8	79	0
7	Sep_30_2010	45.79	47.9	49	49.36			49.07(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	3	105	122.46	66%	0	101.8	1.15%	0	0.9	84	0
8	Sep_29_2010	45.79	47.7	48.9	49.28			49.29(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	4	116	81.68	58%	0.04	95.5	1.17%	0	1.1	88	0
9	Sep_28_2010	45.77	47.42	48.75	49.16			49.37(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	-10000	3	116	104.92	58%	0.04	82.1	1.27%	0	1.2	90	0
10	Sep_27_2010	45.75	47.14	48.56	49.05			49.39(-0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	36	-10000	4	130	43.88	58%	0.09	73.8	1.27%	0	1.3	92	0

11	Sep_24_2010	45.71	46.87	48.35	48.93			49.66(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	11	141	79.5	58%	0.07	69.4	1.27%	0	1.5	89	0
12	Sep_23_2010	45.68	46.57	48.04	48.6			48.67(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	5	137	85.04	55%	0	61.4	1.26%	0	1.2	89	0
13	Sep_22_2010	45.68	46.34	47.83	48.46			48.69(-0.27%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	41	-10000	6	147	88.32	55%	0.02	56.2	1.27%	0	1.3	91	0
14	Sep_21_2010	45.67	46.08	47.59	48.27			48.82(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	9	168	82.35	55%	-0.04	49.7	1.27%	0	1.5	95	0
15	Sep_20_2010	45.69	45.86	47.28	47.99			48.83(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	10	177	84.54	55%	0	47.2	1.27%	0	1.7	92	0

16	Sep_17_2010	45.69	45.65	46.99	47.68			48(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	-10000	9	183	76.37	52%	-0.04	47.1	1.26%	0	1.5	83	0
17	Sep_16_2010	45.71	45.48	46.72	47.4			47.94(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	10	188	66.89	52%	-0.04	44.5	1.26%	0	1.7	84	0
18	Sep_15_2010	45.73	45.35	46.4	47.1			47.75(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-10000	10	182	67.11	56%	-0.02	43.3	1.26%	0	1.8	76	0
19	Sep_14_2010	45.74	45.21	45.99	46.8			47.45(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	-10000	12	163	91.41	56%	-0.07	35.8	1.3%	0	1.9	77	0
20	Sep_13_2010	45.77	45.07	45.61	46.45			47.25(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	8	137	64.52	56%	-0.09	21.9	1.3%	0	2	67	0

21	Sep_10_2010	45.81	44.93	45.28	46.2			46.6(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	9	119	67	58%	-0.07	7.9	1.29%	0	1.7	59	0
22	Sep_9_2010	45.84	44.84	44.97	45.93			46.43(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	11	90	61.48	58%	-0.09	-8.7	1.34%	0	1.8	59	0
23	Sep_8_2010	45.88	44.84	44.73	45.6			46.25(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	19	63	66.88	58%	-0.09	-29.8	1.34%	0	1.8	52	0
24	Sep_7_2010	45.92	44.78	44.46	45.04			45.7(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	14	15	51.2	55%	-0.15	-45.8	1.33%	0	1.1	50	0
25	Sep_3_2010	45.99	44.83	44.32	44.62			46.01(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	-10000	12	-12	64.04	50%		-47.4	1.41%	0	1.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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