Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ QQQ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $39.0500 (0.96%) ($38.4800 - $39.0700) on Mon. Nov. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $39.0500(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.94(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.65(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.95(2.9%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.1
One Month Target Price   > $39.05
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $37.12

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -5% away from the target price of 39.05.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2004	35.45	37.95	38.65	38.94			39.05(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	2	105	79.99	63%	0.06	74.4	0.99%	0	1.1	75	0
2	Nov_19_2004	35.43	37.78	38.54	38.94			38.68(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	0	117	118.57	63%	0.06	68.7	0.99%	0	0.9	74	0
3	Nov_18_2004	35.41	37.64	38.47	38.9			39.29(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	11	142	95.01	68%	0.03	70.3	0.97%	0	1.6	87	0
4	Nov_17_2004	35.4	37.5	38.3	38.7			39.11(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	-10000	14	137	125.45	68%	0.06	73.6	0.98%	0	1.6	84	0
5	Nov_16_2004	35.38	37.35	38.13	38.43			38.59(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	7	123	97.48	67%	0.03	71	0.98%	0	1.3	84	0

6	Nov_15_2004	35.37	37.21	37.99	38.3			38.83(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	9	135	82.78	67%	0.06	69.8	0.98%	0	1.7	93	0
7	Nov_12_2004	35.35	37.07	37.81	38.13			38.66(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	8	144	102.71	63%	0.06	69.7	0.98%	0	1.7	93	0
8	Nov_11_2004	35.33	36.92	37.64	37.99			38.29(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	7	148	99.86	63%	0.03	68.4	1%	0	1.5	87	0
9	Nov_10_2004	35.32	36.78	37.5	37.86			37.79(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	4	143	95.19	63%	0.03	62.9	1%	0	1.2	65	0
10	Nov_9_2004	35.31	36.67	37.4	37.78			37.92(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	8	151	85.27	63%	0.06	56.9	1%	0	1.5	72	0

11	Nov_8_2004	35.29	36.55	37.2	37.63			38(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	10	141	66.53	63%	0.03	51.4	1%	0	1.8	74	0
12	Nov_5_2004	35.28	36.43	36.96	37.44			37.96(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	11	113	117.09	55%	0.06	44.5	1.06%	0	2	69	0
13	Nov_4_2004	35.26	36.31	36.75	37.23			37.62(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	7	95	112.66	55%	0.03	38.9	1.09%	0	2	71	0
14	Nov_3_2004	35.25	36.23	36.64	37.09			37.41(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	6	102	141.21	52%	0	45.8	1.09%	0	2	71	0
15	Nov_2_2004	35.25	36.19	36.49	36.96			37.16(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	13	99	109.23	52%	0.03	57.7	1.12%	0	1.8	67	0

16	Nov_1_2004	35.24	36.14	36.36	36.69			37.04(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	14	82	72.56	52%	0.06	63.8	1.12%	0	1.8	65	0
17	Oct_29_2004	35.22	36.1	36.27	36.41			36.9(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	11	63	100.83	53%	0	72	1.12%	0	1.8	63	0
18	Oct_28_2004	35.22	36.05	36.14	36.19			36.96(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-10000	3	44	111.17	53%	0	70.3	1.12%	0	2	65	0
19	Oct_27_2004	35.22	35.96	35.98	36.12			36.73(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	-10000	7	30	152.66	55%	0	71.2	1.12%	0	1.7	53	0
20	Oct_26_2004	35.22	35.88	35.87	35.98			35.82(0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-1	2	98.25	52%	-0.03	58.3	1.09%	0	-0.1	39	0

21	Oct_25_2004	35.23	35.82	35.86	35.99			35.63(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-5	-8	103.01	52%	-0.03	44	1.1%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Oct_22_2004	35.24	35.77	35.87	36.09			35.8(-2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	1	-4	114.39	51%	0	40.5	1.12%	0	0	44	0
23	Oct_21_2004	35.24	35.73	35.85	36.06			36.6(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	-10000	12	-10	124.5	50%	0	33	1.1%	0	1.4	55	0
24	Oct_20_2004	35.24	35.64	35.8	35.83			36.05(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	106.87	51%	0	20.5	1.14%	0	0.7	62	0
25	Oct_19_2004	35.24	35.59	35.85	35.74			35.88(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	2	-6	130.15	51%		14.8	1.18%	0	0.5	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.