Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jun. 27, 2004

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $37.3300 (0.76%) ($36.9800 - $37.3900) on Sun. Jun. 27, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $37.3300(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.87(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.71(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.64(1.88%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.9
One Month Target Price   > $38.34
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $36.19

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2.7% away from the target price of 38.34.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2004	36.12	36.64	36.71	36.87			37.33(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	9	15	81.03	55%	0.03	93.9	1.12%	0	1.9	62	0
2	Jun_24_2004	36.11	36.58	36.66	36.69			37.05(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	6	10	92.39	57%	0.03	110	1.17%	0	1.4	62	0
3	Jun_23_2004	36.1	36.53	36.61	36.56			37.12(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	3	-10000	4	1	95.34	57%	0	119.3	1.17%	0	1.8	57	0
4	Jun_22_2004	36.1	36.44	36.59	36.48			36.68(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-1	1	101.64	53%	0	126.1	1.17%	0	0.8	52	0
5	Jun_21_2004	36.1	36.36	36.62	36.5			36.15(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-1	9	65.47	51%	-0.03	104.4	1.17%	0	-0.5	46	0

6	Jun_18_2004	36.11	36.31	36.64	36.53			36.44(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	7	78.79	49%	-0.03	83.9	1.19%	0	0.2	51	0
7	Jun_17_2004	36.12	36.23	36.6	36.61			36.39(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-2	12	77.86	51%	-0.03	72	1.19%	0	0.3	54	0
8	Jun_16_2004	36.13	36.15	36.61	36.65			36.73(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-4	20	65.49	51%	-0.03	61.2	1.2%	0	0.8	61	0
9	Jun_15_2004	36.14	36.04	36.59	36.73			36.79(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-2	43	92	49%	-0.06	58.8	1.2%	0	1	68	0
10	Jun_14_2004	36.16	35.94	36.56	36.78			36.32(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	1	68	85.29	47%	-0.08	55	1.21%	0	0.5	68	0

11	Jun_10_2004	36.19	35.88	36.57	36.75			36.84(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	8	89	57.14	50%	-0.06	51.3	1.21%	0	1.1	76	0
12	Jun_9_2004	36.21	35.79	36.51	36.58			36.58(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	1	94	98.25	50%	-0.06	46	1.22%	0	0.9	76	0
13	Jun_8_2004	36.23	35.72	36.45	36.55			37.1(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	-10000	5	112	72.58	49%	0.03	46.1	1.21%	0	1.7	84	0
14	Jun_7_2004	36.22	35.6	36.27	36.43			37.05(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	32	-10000	5	113	107.69	49%	-0.06	42	1.24%	0	1.9	85	0
15	Jun_4_2004	36.24	35.49	36.07	36.33			36.19(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10000	-2	112	91.3	46%	-0.06	44	1.21%	0	1	72	0

16	Jun_3_2004	36.26	35.44	35.95	36.37			35.98(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	28	-10000	-2	117	97.73	46%	-0.06	45.1	1.21%	0	0.8	65	0
17	Jun_2_2004	36.28	35.41	35.83	36.42			36.42(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	5	120	103.56	46%	-0.03	43.8	1.2%	0	1.5	66	0
18	Jun_1_2004	36.29	35.35	35.66	36.32			36.5(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	11	111	90.72	48%	-0.11	30.9	1.21%	0	1.8	68	0
19	May_28_2004	36.33	35.27	35.46	36.08			36.55(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	14	90	56.42	48%	-0.03	8.5	1.22%	0	2.2	74	0
20	May_27_2004	36.34	35.18	35.27	35.77			36.42(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	14	65	110.23	48%	-0.03	-28.3	1.23%	0	2.4	66	0

21	May_26_2004	36.35	35.13	35.11	35.46			36.19(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	14	38	93.85	48%	-0.05	-60.6	1.23%	0	2.2	59	0
22	May_25_2004	36.37	35.12	35.01	35.16			35.96(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	12	11	146.47	48%	-0.03	-66	1.23%	0	1.5	52	0
23	May_24_2004	36.38	35.15	34.92	34.91			35.26(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	8	-11	100.16	45%	-0.03	-58.5	1.2%	0	0.2	49	0
24	May_21_2004	36.39	35.22	34.86	34.74			35.02(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	2	-33	111.49	44%	-0.03	-53.8	1.2%	0	-0.3	49	0
25	May_20_2004	36.4	35.32	34.85	34.69			34.85(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-36	95.04	44%		-46.2	1.21%	0	-0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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