Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 5, 2003

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $33.9400 (-0.64%) ($33.6700 - $34.3400) on Fri. Sep. 5, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $33.9400(-0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(76%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(15%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.84(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.3(1.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.38(4.82%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.3
One Month Target Price   > $33.94
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $31.56

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1% away from the target price of 33.94.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2003	30.35	32.38	33.3	33.84			33.94(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	120	91.06	57%	0.23	67.9	1.4%	0	1.3	87	0
2	Sep_4_2003	30.28	32.2	33.17	33.67			34.16(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	12	135	63.96	61%	0.3	57.9	1.39%	0	1.6	92	0
3	Sep_3_2003	30.19	32	32.97	33.4			33.85(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	41	-10000	11	132	85.27	61%	0.23	48.5	1.43%	0	1.5	92	0
4	Sep_2_2003	30.12	31.82	32.82	33.14			33.87(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	11	134	80.53	61%	0.43	38.3	1.43%	0	1.8	92	0
5	Aug_29_2003	29.99	31.68	32.63	32.87			33.39(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	8	135	53.2	61%	0.27	34.1	1.43%	0	1.6	93	0

6	Aug_28_2003	29.91	31.58	32.41	32.68			33.09(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	4	137	55.37	61%	0.27	29.9	1.42%	0	1.6	93	0
7	Aug_27_2003	29.83	31.5	32.19	32.59			32.8(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	5	141	47.29	64%	0.2	32.5	1.42%	0	1.4	85	0
8	Aug_26_2003	29.77	31.43	32.01	32.48			32.54(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	36	-10000	1	139	79.93	64%	0.24	30.7	1.48%	0	1.3	85	0
9	Aug_25_2003	29.7	31.37	31.84	32.45			32.51(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	5	149	43.09	64%	0.24	32.6	1.49%	0	1.4	84	0
10	Aug_22_2003	29.63	31.33	31.64	32.34			32.44(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	10	134	93.04	64%	0.2	36.1	1.49%	0	1.4	58	0

11	Aug_21_2003	29.57	31.29	31.4	32.09			32.64(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	15	103	77.28	64%	0.2	31.7	1.49%	0	1.8	60	0
12	Aug_20_2003	29.51	31.21	31.16	31.73			32.29(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	12	60	58.29	64%	0.24	20.4	1.49%	0	1.6	52	0
13	Aug_19_2003	29.44	31.17	30.95	31.45			32.37(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	13	26	68.43	59%	0.1	5.7	1.49%	0	1.8	57	0
14	Aug_18_2003	29.41	31.11	30.72	31.15			31.97(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	13	-12	67.54	59%	0.1	-14.7	1.56%	0	1.5	51	0
15	Aug_15_2003	29.38	31.05	30.65	30.83			31.17(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	9	-41	28.14	57%	0.07	-42.2	1.53%	0	0.2	39	0

16	Aug_14_2003	29.36	31.06	30.66	30.61			30.87(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	5	-63	0	57%	0.03	-57.8	1.53%	0	-0.3	37	0
17	Aug_13_2003	29.35	31.07	30.74	30.5			30.87(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	6	-65	58.08	57%	0.07	-62.7	1.53%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	Aug_12_2003	29.33	31.13	30.79	30.37			30.86(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	6	-77	59.79	58%	0.07	-65	1.54%	0	-0.4	42	0
19	Aug_11_2003	29.31	31.2	30.86	30.24			30.4(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-9	-90	63.75	58%	0.03	-68.4	1.54%	0	-1.2	41	0
20	Aug_8_2003	29.3	31.29	31	30.45			30.07(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-11	-66	66.71	58%	0.03	-60.1	1.56%	0	-1.9	44	0

21	Aug_7_2003	29.29	31.38	31.18	30.72			30.31(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-12	-43	67.37	58%	0.03	-44.7	1.57%	0	-1.8	42	0
22	Aug_6_2003	29.28	31.45	31.28	31.02			30.19(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-10000	-10	-23	96.86	58%	0.03	-28.1	1.58%	0	-2.3	42	0
23	Aug_5_2003	29.27	31.56	31.43	31.27			30.21(-3.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-12	-10000	-12	-13	111.22	60%	0.03	-1.9	1.58%	0	-2.7	34	0
24	Aug_4_2003	29.26	31.66	31.56	31.56			31.45(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-3	-0	96.44	65%	0.07	45.5	1.52%	0	-0.5	41	0
25	Aug_1_2003	29.24	31.69	31.51	31.64			31.46(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-3	-9	73.58	65%		74.6	1.52%	0	-0.6	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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