Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 13, 2003

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $28.6600 (-0.62%) ($28.5400 - $28.9900) on Tue. May. 13, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $28.6600(-0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   QQQ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(92%)    SPY(91%)    XLY(84%)    IWM(82%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    REMX(-0%)    LQD(15%)    OIH(50%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.39(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.19(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.67(3.58%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average Volume    million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)   1.4
One Month Target Price   > $29.23
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price   < $27.1

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. The price is -0.6% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2% away from the target price of 29.23.
$. QQQ price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2003	27.06	27.67	28.19	28.39			28.66(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	1	71	65.19	74%	0.19	91.9	1.46%	0	1.4	60	0
2	May_12_2003	27.01	27.54	28.09	28.38			28.84(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	5	77	67.62	74%	0.26	87.3	1.47%	0	1.7	63	0
3	May_9_2003	26.94	27.38	27.95	28.27			28.41(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	7	77	58.58	73%	0.19	75.3	1.48%	0	1.3	65	0
4	May_8_2003	26.89	27.25	27.81	28.12			27.77(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-10000	1	66	80.34	69%	0.15	64.6	1.47%	0	0.6	62	0
5	May_7_2003	26.85	27.14	27.79	28.11			28.29(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	9	89	70.38	77%	0.19	55.2	1.43%	0	1.3	74	0

6	May_6_2003	26.8	27.03	27.72	27.94			28.61(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	9	96	77.63	77%	0.3	54.7	1.42%	0	1.8	77	0
7	May_5_2003	26.72	26.9	27.59	27.76			28.25(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	8	102	80.68	77%	0.26	0	1.44%	0	1.6	77	0
8	May_2_2003	26.65	26.78	27.46	27.61			27.69(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10000	8	111	0	74%	0.15	0	1.43%	0	1.2	78	0
9	May_1_2003	26.61	26.72	27.37	27.46			27.69(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	2	112	66.07	74%	0.23	0	1.46%	0	1.3	72	0
10	Apr_30_2003	26.55	26.65	27.23	27.42			27.45(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-10000	-1	118	60.44	74%	0.15	0	1.5%	0	1.1	74	0

11	Apr_29_2003	26.51	26.55	27.12	27.45			27.73(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	3	129	80.37	74%	0.23	0	1.5%	0	1.6	66	0
12	Apr_28_2003	26.45	26.55	26.95	27.39			27.48(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	5	2	59.69	74%	0.23	0	1.54%	0	39.8	64	0
13	Apr_25_2003	26.39	26.55	26.76	27.28			26.95(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	1	0	63.36	70%	0.11	0	1.53%	0	40.2	61	0
14	Apr_24_2003	26.36	26.55	26.65	27.26			27.48(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	13	5	72.54	81%	0.27	0	1.47%	0	41	60	0
15	Apr_23_2003	26.29	26.55	26.45	27			27.63(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	14	6	70.58	81%	0.34	0	1.49%	0	43.9	63	0

16	Apr_22_2003	26.2	26.55	26.28	26.73			27.43(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	14	6	70.91	81%	0.34	0	1.54%	0	50.8	70	0
17	Apr_21_2003	26.11	26.55	26.14	26.45			26.92(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	14	6	52.75	77%	0.27	0	1.55%	0	61.2	50	0
18	Apr_17_2003	26.04	26.55	26.04	26.17			26.82(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	9	-10000	10	4	70.28	77%	0.23	0	1.62%	0	67.1	50	0
19	Apr_16_2003	25.98	26.55	25.99	25.96			26.22(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	7	3	70.75	71%	0.08	0	1.59%	0	77.1	50	0
20	Apr_15_2003	25.96	26.55	26	25.81			26.28(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	2	-10000	2	1	64.67	71%	0.12	0	1.66%	0	75.1	50	0

21	Apr_14_2003	25.93	26.55	25.92	25.77			26.03(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	-0	0	53.43	71%	0.08	0	1.73%	0	74.4	50	0
22	Apr_11_2003	25.91	26.55	25.92	25.78			25.51(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-5	-2	68	61%	-0.23	0	1.71%	0	70.9	50	0
23	Apr_10_2003	25.97	26.55	25.92	25.89			25.77(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-6	-2	57.25	61%	-0.08	0	1.78%	0	71.6	50	0
24	Apr_9_2003	25.99	26.55	25.92	26.03			25.46(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-6	-10000	-7	-3	76.56	61%	-0.35	0	1.87%	0	68.8	50	0
25	Apr_8_2003	26.08	26.55	25.92	26.21			26.06(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	5	2	54.29	100%		0	1.7%	0	79	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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