Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $76.7817 (-1.01%) ($76.3536 - $77.5167) on Mon. Dec. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $76.7817(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(63%)    SDY(58%)    IVE(57%)    IWD(57%)    VYM(57%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    DIA(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.26(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.82(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.66(2.84%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $119.571b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2015	72.35	74.66	75.82	76.26			76.78(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	6	101	3.93	75%	0.06	9.9	1.05%	0	1.5	76	0
2	Dec_4_2015	72.31	74.54	75.58	76.01			77.57(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	35	-10000	10	110	7.2	68%	0.07	0	1.05%	0	2.3	85	0
3	Dec_3_2015	72.26	74.45	75.27	75.62			75.53(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	1	104	6.06	65%	0.07	-12.9	1.07%	0	0.9	73	0
4	Dec_2_2015	72.21	74.47	75.12	75.59			75.49(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	2	107	3.52	67%	0.07	-17.4	1.07%	0	0.8	63	0
5	Dec_1_2015	72.16	74.5	74.84	75.52			75.91(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	5	102	3.86	61%	0.07	-20.2	1.07%	0	1.1	66	0

6	Nov_30_2015	72.11	74.52	74.54	75.32			75.57(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	6	87	5.97	61%	0.08	-25.7	1.12%	0	0.8	62	0
7	Nov_27_2015	72.05	74.55	74.21	75.07			75.6(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	5	61	1.94	63%	0.11	-33.5	1.12%	0	0.7	53	0
8	Nov_25_2015	71.97	74.61	73.91	74.87			75.38(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	7	30	2.68	64%	0.07	-34.8	1.18%	0	0.5	42	0
9	Nov_24_2015	71.92	74.69	73.71	74.57			75.15(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	12	4	2.82	59%	0.08	-38.2	1.19%	0	0.3	41	0
10	Nov_23_2015	71.86	74.75	73.53	74.04			74.88(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	8	-34	3.03	59%	0.04	-44.8	1.27%	0	0.1	39	0

11	Nov_20_2015	71.83	74.87	73.53	73.65			74.36(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	9	-64	4.82	55%	0.07	-45.9	1.3%	0	-0.3	33	0
12	Nov_19_2015	71.78	75.02	73.4	73.21			74.59(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	8	-90	4.51	55%	0.07	-47.8	1.31%	0	-0.2	37	0
13	Nov_18_2015	71.73	75.16	73.53	72.82			73.88(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-27	-10000	2	-113	4.19	55%	0.08	-46.6	1.3%	0	-0.7	29	0
14	Nov_17_2015	71.67	75.31	73.73	72.75			72.5(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-10000	-4	-128	3.17	53%	0.06	-38.6	1.28%	0	-1.5	17	0
15	Nov_16_2015	71.63	75.53	74.1	72.95			72.94(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-3	-125	3.72	53%	0.06	-29.5	1.28%	0	-1.5	25	0

16	Nov_13_2015	71.59	75.72	74.48	73.1			72.12(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-41	-10000	-11	-129	3.47	51%	0.03	-20.5	1.28%	0	-2.2	14	0
17	Nov_12_2015	71.57	75.93	74.92	73.62			72.66(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-42	-10000	-15	-121	3.95	51%	0.06	-4.1	1.28%	0	-2.2	16	0
18	Nov_11_2015	71.53	76.04	75.38	74.33			73.55(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-11	-100	2.56	51%	0.06	15.3	1.27%	0	-1.7	20	0
19	Nov_10_2015	71.49	76.05	75.76	74.86			73.47(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-12	-82	2.54	51%	0.06	29.6	1.27%	0	-1.7	26	0
20	Nov_9_2015	71.45	76.05	76.12	75.44			73.72(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-13	-63	4.03	51%	0.06	47.7	1.28%	0	-1.5	30	0

21	Nov_6_2015	71.41	76.06	76.52	76.06			74.69(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-7	-35	5.46	53%	0.06	64.6	1.27%	0	-0.9	38	0
22	Nov_5_2015	71.37	75.99	76.81	76.41			76.24(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-4	-14	2.63	56%	0.1	76.4	1.24%	0	0.1	56	0
23	Nov_4_2015	71.3	75.83	76.93	76.6			76.16(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	9	3.98	56%	0.11	80.8	1.24%	0	0.2	68	0
24	Nov_3_2015	71.22	75.61	77.02	76.83			76.39(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-2	41	3.45	56%	0.11	80.8	1.24%	0	0.4	76	0
25	Nov_2_2015	71.14	75.34	77.07	76.91			76.8(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	-3	67	2.86	56%		80.9	1.24%	0	0.6	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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