Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $70.1068 (1.56%) ($69.2548 - $70.5033) on Thu. Jun. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $70.1068(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    VYM(58%)    IVE(57%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.15(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.79(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.54(0.82%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $109.176b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2015	68.51	69.54	68.79	69.15			70.11(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	3	-13	3.88	71%	0.04	-69	1.43%	0	0.5	48	0
2	Jun_17_2015	68.48	69.62	68.67	69.01			69.03(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-1	-31	4.14	69%	0.01	-64.1	1.42%	0	-0.5	35	0
3	Jun_16_2015	68.47	69.78	68.7	69.08			69.02(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	-10000	4	-36	3.89	69%	0	-54.3	1.42%	0	-0.5	35	0
4	Jun_15_2015	68.47	69.94	68.78	68.9			68.55(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	4	-46	3.92	69%	0	-49.8	1.42%	0	-0.9	36	0
5	Jun_12_2015	68.47	70.16	68.93	68.71			69.05(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	7	-56	6.12	66%	-0.03	-47.1	1.43%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Jun_11_2015	68.49	70.36	69.02	68.35			69.38(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	1	-81	3.68	62%	-0.01	-45	1.43%	0	-0.6	33	0
7	Jun_10_2015	68.5	70.46	69.17	68.28			69.42(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-22	-10000	-0	-89	6.31	59%	-0.01	-45.4	1.45%	0	-0.6	32	0
8	Jun_9_2015	68.51	70.54	69.31	68.3			68.12(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-7	-99	3.82	56%	0	-43	1.45%	0	-1.5	20	0
9	Jun_8_2015	68.51	70.7	69.56	68.67			67.61(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-10	-100	4.31	56%	-0.01	-37.6	1.45%	0	-2	14	0
10	Jun_5_2015	68.52	70.92	69.91	69.19			67.23(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-32	-10000	-11	-95	6.15	52%	-0.03	-27.6	1.47%	0	-2.7	8	0

11	Jun_4_2015	68.54	71.13	70.39	69.75			69.03(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-28	-10000	-8	-87	3.28	57%	-0.01	-19	1.43%	0	-1.9	10	0
12	Jun_3_2015	68.55	71.23	70.69	70.16			69.52(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-6	-70	2.94	57%	0.01	-5.1	1.43%	0	-1.7	40	0
13	Jun_2_2015	68.54	71.26	70.96	70.47			69.97(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-54	3.74	57%	0.01	3	1.43%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Jun_1_2015	68.53	71.28	71.22	70.6			70.17(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-3	-42	3.38	57%	0.01	12.1	1.43%	0	-1.2	47	0
15	May_29_2015	68.52	71.3	71.5	70.76			70.07(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-7	-33	4.48	57%	0.01	20	1.44%	0	-1.3	40	0

16	May_28_2015	68.51	71.33	71.81	71.11			71.08(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-4	-9	2.85	57%	0.04	30.5	1.44%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	May_27_2015	68.48	71.28	71.85	71.3			71.04(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-5	-0	3.44	57%	0.06	30.9	1.45%	0	-0.2	54	0
18	May_26_2015	68.44	71.23	71.86	71.55			70.62(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	13	2.96	57%	0.06	32.4	1.45%	0	-0.6	58	0
19	May_22_2015	68.4	71.17	71.92	71.94			70.98(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-8	30	2.73	57%	0.04	30.3	1.42%	0	-0.2	58	0
20	May_21_2015	68.37	71.12	72.02	72.34			71.82(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-5	54	3.04	57%	0.06	32.1	1.42%	0	0.6	62	0

21	May_20_2015	68.33	71.05	71.94	72.62			72.05(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	3	70	2.41	57%	0.04	34.8	1.43%	0	0.9	63	0
22	May_19_2015	68.3	70.98	71.82	72.47			72.26(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	5	73	2.95	57%	0.06	52.3	1.43%	0	1.2	68	0
23	May_18_2015	68.26	70.9	71.59	72.22			72.57(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	6	66	3.17	57%	0.04	68.2	1.43%	0	1.6	69	0
24	May_15_2015	68.23	70.84	71.36	71.9			73.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	5	62	3.7	57%	0.07	92.9	1.42%	0	2.2	76	0
25	May_14_2015	68.18	70.77	71.08	71.66			73.21(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	-10000	9	60	6.19	57%		129.1	1.43%	0	2.7	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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