Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $68.9040 (-0.27%) ($68.6958 - $69.6787) on Fri. Jan. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $68.9040(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    IVE(57%)    VYM(57%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $65.91(-4.35%)
5 Day Moving Average   $68.12(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.32(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.54(0.53%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $107.303b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2015	70.1	68.54	68.32	68.12			68.9(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	9	-39	4.3	46%	-0.01	-86.4	0.94%	0	0.4	47	0
2	Jan_8_2015	70.11	68.6	68.34	67.83			69.09(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	8	-38	6.59	48%	0	-89.7	0.96%	0	0.5	61	0
3	Jan_7_2015	70.11	68.69	68.36	67.59			68.06(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-4	-37	7.53	46%	-0.01	-93.6	0.95%	0	-0.6	59	0
4	Jan_6_2015	70.12	68.85	68.46	67.72			67.55(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-11	-23	10.01	46%	-0.03	-80.2	0.95%	0	-1.1	50	0
5	Jan_5_2015	70.14	69.05	68.55	68.07			66.98(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-15	-16	6.21	46%	-0.03	-67	0.94%	0	-1.6	38	0

6	Jan_2_2015	70.16	69.29	68.78	68.56			67.49(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-11	-3	3.8	47%	0	-54.6	0.94%	0	-1.3	34	0
7	Dec_31_2014	70.16	69.52	68.8	68.91			67.85(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-10	-10	3.71	47%	-0.01	-40.7	0.94%	0	-1.1	37	0
8	Dec_30_2014	70.17	69.72	68.74	69.22			68.72(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-3	-27	2.71	51%	0.01	-32.6	0.93%	0	-0.7	37	0
9	Dec_29_2014	70.16	69.84	68.74	69.3			69.3(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-8	-10000	6	-50	2.63	51%	0.01	-32.4	0.93%	0	-0.4	38	0
10	Dec_26_2014	70.15	69.95	68.66	69.11			69.42(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10000	2	-80	1.71	51%	0.06	-32.7	0.94%	0	-0.3	37	0

11	Dec_24_2014	70.11	70.03	68.76	69.05			69.26(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	12	-89	1.75	51%	0.04	-34.1	0.94%	0	-0.5	36	0
12	Dec_23_2014	70.08	70.12	68.86	68.67			69.39(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	15	-122	4.44	48%	0.04	-43.1	0.94%	0	-0.5	34	0
13	Dec_22_2014	70.05	70.21	69.02	68.19			69.11(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-33	-10000	8	-154	5.95	48%	0.03	-53.8	0.96%	0	-0.7	34	0
14	Dec_19_2014	70.03	70.34	69.22	67.94			68.35(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-49	-10000	-7	-173	9.13	48%	0.03	-56.9	0.96%	0	-1.3	36	0
15	Dec_18_2014	70.01	70.46	69.55	68.16			69.14(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-49	-10000	-10	-167	6.7	50%	0.01	-61.2	0.95%	0	-0.9	37	0

16	Dec_17_2014	70	70.58	69.79	68.48			67.36(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-10000	-20	-164	6.67	45%	-0.01	-59.5	0.89%	0	-2.2	26	0
17	Dec_16_2014	70.01	70.81	70.28	69.1			66.98(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-10000	-27	-128	8.41	45%	-0.03	-58.8	0.89%	0	-3	26	0
18	Dec_15_2014	70.03	71.07	70.8	69.95			67.85(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-37	-10000	-23	-79	7.29	47%	-0.01	-60.4	0.88%	0	-3.4	28	0
19	Dec_12_2014	70.04	71.25	71.16	70.67			69.47(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-22	-10000	-15	-44	4.92	52%	0	-75.9	0.83%	0	-3	33	0
20	Dec_11_2014	70.04	71.39	71.39	71.11			70.75(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-8	4.18	56%	0.01	-65.7	0.8%	0	-1.3	54	0

21	Dec_10_2014	70.03	71.47	71.45	71.31			70.44(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-12	-0	4.63	56%	0.01	-69.6	0.8%	0	-2.1	43	0
22	Dec_9_2014	70.02	71.58	71.45	71.64			71.23(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-5	16	3.47	58%	0.03	-62.7	0.79%	0	-0.7	46	0
23	Dec_8_2014	70	71.65	71.52	71.78			71.42(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	2	21	3.27	54%	0.01	-54.7	0.79%	0	-0.4	46	0
24	Dec_5_2014	69.99	71.7	71.54	71.73			71.71(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	23	4.24	54%	0.04	-60.8	0.82%	0	0	57	0
25	Dec_4_2014	69.96	71.71	71.44	71.7			71.72(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	3	6	4.12	54%		-68.4	0.82%	0	0	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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