Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: PM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Philip Morris International Inc.)
PM latest price $69.1123 (1.12%) ($68.4376 - $69.2706) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $69.1123(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PM declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(64%)    IVE(57%)    VYM(57%)    SPY(53%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting PM price   PM will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    XHB(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $64.4(-6.82%)
Resistance Level   $70.21
5 Day Moving Average   $68.19(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.02(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.21(-1.56%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $107.627b

Philip Morris International, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in manufacturing and sale of cigarettes, tobacco and nicotine-containing products. It operates through the following geographical segments: European Union, Eastern Europe, Middles East & Africa, South & Southeast Asia, East Asia & Australia and Latin America & Canada. The company was founded by Philip Morris in 1847 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. PM price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	70.05	70.21	69.02	68.19			69.11(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-33	-10000	8	-154	5.95	48%	0.03	-53.8	0.96%	0	-0.7	34	0
2	Dec_19_2014	70.03	70.34	69.22	67.94			68.35(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-49	-10000	-7	-173	9.13	48%	0.03	-56.9	0.96%	0	-1.3	36	0
3	Dec_18_2014	70.01	70.46	69.55	68.16			69.14(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-49	-10000	-10	-167	6.7	50%	0.01	-61.2	0.95%	0	-0.9	37	0
4	Dec_17_2014	70	70.58	69.79	68.48			67.36(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-10000	-20	-164	6.67	45%	-0.01	-59.5	0.89%	0	-2.2	26	0
5	Dec_16_2014	70.01	70.81	70.28	69.1			66.98(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-52	-10000	-27	-128	8.41	45%	-0.03	-58.8	0.89%	0	-3	26	0

6	Dec_15_2014	70.03	71.07	70.8	69.95			67.85(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-37	-10000	-23	-79	7.29	47%	-0.01	-60.4	0.88%	0	-3.4	28	0
7	Dec_12_2014	70.04	71.25	71.16	70.67			69.47(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-22	-10000	-15	-44	4.92	52%	0	-75.9	0.83%	0	-3	33	0
8	Dec_11_2014	70.04	71.39	71.39	71.11			70.75(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-8	4.18	56%	0.01	-65.7	0.8%	0	-1.3	54	0
9	Dec_10_2014	70.03	71.47	71.45	71.31			70.44(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-9	-10000	-12	-0	4.63	56%	0.01	-69.6	0.8%	0	-2.1	43	0
10	Dec_9_2014	70.02	71.58	71.45	71.64			71.23(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-5	16	3.47	58%	0.03	-62.7	0.79%	0	-0.7	46	0

11	Dec_8_2014	70	71.65	71.52	71.78			71.42(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	2	21	3.27	54%	0.01	-54.7	0.79%	0	-0.4	46	0
12	Dec_5_2014	69.99	71.7	71.54	71.73			71.71(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	23	4.24	54%	0.04	-60.8	0.82%	0	0	57	0
13	Dec_4_2014	69.96	71.71	71.44	71.7			71.72(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	3	6	4.12	54%	0.04	-68.4	0.82%	0	0	45	0
14	Dec_3_2014	69.93	71.81	71.41	71.61			72.13(0.3%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	5	-10000	8	-5	3.87	54%	0.04	-46.2	0.82%	0	0.4	47	0
15	Dec_2_2014	69.9	71.88	71.35	71.39			71.92(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	5	-26	4.09	54%	0.04	-43.6	0.82%	0	0	44	0

16	Dec_1_2014	69.87	71.94	71.33	71.24			71.19(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-47	3.55	52%	0.01	-40.8	0.81%	0	-0.8	37	0
17	Nov_28_2014	69.86	72.05	71.32	71.32			71.54(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	6	-54	3.23	52%	0.04	-34.4	0.81%	0	-0.6	41	0
18	Nov_26_2014	69.83	72.1	71.38	71.14			71.27(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-67	2.67	52%	0.01	-38.4	0.8%	0	-0.9	45	0
19	Nov_25_2014	69.82	72.16	71.48	71.18			71.02(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-5	-83	5.05	54%	0.01	-36.9	0.8%	0	-1.3	31	0
20	Nov_24_2014	69.81	72.25	71.63	71.31			71.19(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-4	-85	3.89	54%	0.01	-31	0.81%	0	-1.3	35	0

21	Nov_21_2014	69.8	72.32	71.78	71.44			71.6(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	4	-81	6.85	52%	0.03	-23.4	0.82%	0	-0.9	39	0
22	Nov_20_2014	69.78	72.36	71.87	71.33			70.62(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-12	-105	6.33	49%	0.03	-18.3	0.8%	0	-2.2	33	0
23	Nov_19_2014	69.76	72.45	72.02	71.66			71.46(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-6	-93	4.53	52%	0.04	5.3	0.79%	0	-1.4	42	0
24	Nov_18_2014	69.73	72.49	72.26	71.84			71.7(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-6	-69	3.65	52%	0.04	35.2	0.79%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Nov_17_2014	69.7	72.51	72.45	72			71.84(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-6	-52	3.64	52%		63	0.79%	0	-1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.