Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $29.5700 (-0.1%) ($29.3800 - $29.6000) on Wed. May. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $29.5700(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(36%)    IWM(35%)    SPY(35%)    EEM(34%)    QQQ(34%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-9%)    LQD(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.52(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.3(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.14(1.48%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2012	28.18	29.14	29.3	29.52			29.57(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	7	78	0.1	62%	0.11	20.4	0.68%	0	1.4	60	0
2	May_1_2012	28.15	29.13	29.25	29.45			29.6(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	13	83	0.04	64%	0.14	18	0.68%	0	1.6	68	0
3	Apr_30_2012	28.11	29.13	29.21	29.32			29.42(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	11	83	0.04	64%	0.11	6	0.68%	0	1	69	0
4	Apr_27_2012	28.08	29.12	29.16	29.21			29.56(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	9	65	0.1	64%	0.14	1	0.68%	0	1.6	59	0
5	Apr_26_2012	28.04	29.09	29.09	29.12			29.44(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	-10000	8	40	0.02	64%	0.11	-5.6	0.68%	0	1.3	51	0

6	Apr_25_2012	28.01	29.09	29.05	29.04			29.25(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	2	22	0.12	64%	0.11	-12.8	0.68%	0	0.7	49	0
7	Apr_24_2012	27.98	29.08	28.99	29.02			28.91(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-7	-7	0.05	62%	0.07	-11.2	0.67%	0	-0.7	40	0
8	Apr_23_2012	27.96	29.11	28.95	29.09			28.89(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.06	62%	0.11	0	0.67%	0	-0.8	38	0
9	Apr_20_2012	27.93	29.12	28.96	29.1			29.12(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	5	-32	0.01	65%	0.11	-1.1	0.66%	0	0	45	0
10	Apr_19_2012	27.9	29.12	28.97	29.1			29.05(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	0	-40	0.03	65%	0.11	-10.1	0.67%	0	-0.2	48	0

11	Apr_18_2012	27.87	29.12	28.98	29.05			29.12(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	9	-36	0.05	65%	0.14	-10.1	0.66%	0	0	49	0
12	Apr_17_2012	27.83	29.11	29.01	28.96			29.28(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	17	-45	0.05	65%	0.14	-20.2	0.67%	0	0.7	49	0
13	Apr_16_2012	27.79	29.1	29.02	28.96			28.92(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-10000	0	-79	0.12	62%	0.14	-30.3	0.66%	0	-0.7	40	0
14	Apr_13_2012	27.75	29.12	29.07	28.8			28.86(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-8	-74	0.01	62%	0.04	-22.5	0.67%	0	-1	48	0
15	Apr_12_2012	27.74	29.12	29.1	28.88			29.08(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-16	-10000	-3	-55	0.07	65%	0.18	-4.7	0.66%	0	-0.2	53	0

16	Apr_11_2012	27.69	29.14	29.11	28.91			28.68(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-16	-56	0.02	62%	0.14	12.8	0.64%	0	-1.8	44	0
17	Apr_10_2012	27.65	29.16	29.17	29.06			28.44(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-25	-10000	-24	-27	0.18	59%	0.11	56	0.63%	0	-3.3	40	0
18	Apr_9_2012	27.62	29.16	29.28	29.28			28.94(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	0	-10000	-9	27	0.08	68%	0.22	103.1	0.6%	0	-1.3	45	0
19	Apr_5_2012	27.56	29.18	29.3	29.36			29.25(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	2	48	0.03	75%	0.11	100	0.57%	0	0.3	53	0
20	Apr_4_2012	27.53	29.15	29.27	29.36			29.22(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	35	0.03	75%	0.11	76.8	0.58%	0	0.2	51	0

21	Apr_3_2012	27.5	29.1	29.26	29.34			29.45(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	37	0.11	81%	0.15	58.9	0.57%	0	1	60	0
22	Apr_2_2012	27.46	29.04	29.23	29.31			29.54(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	2	30	0.07	81%	0.11	50	0.57%	0	1.4	60	0
23	Mar_30_2012	27.43	28.99	29.19	29.29			29.35(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	45	0.03	79%	0.15	48.8	0.57%	0	1	68	0
24	Mar_29_2012	27.39	28.95	29.19	29.23			29.16(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	5	46	0.03	78%	0.15	46.2	0.57%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Mar_28_2012	27.35	28.93	29.17	29.19			29.19(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	2	57	0.02	78%		44.6	0.58%	0	0.7	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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