Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $29.2500 (0.1%) ($29.1800 - $29.2900) on Thu. Apr. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $29.2500(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(36%)    EEM(35%)    IWM(35%)    SPY(35%)    QQQ(34%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-9%)    LQD(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.36(-0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.3(-0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.18(0.24%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2012	27.56	29.18	29.3	29.36			29.25(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	2	48	0.03	75%	0.11	100	0.57%	0	0.3	53	0
2	Apr_4_2012	27.53	29.15	29.27	29.36			29.22(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	35	0.03	75%	0.11	76.8	0.58%	0	0.2	51	0
3	Apr_3_2012	27.5	29.1	29.26	29.34			29.45(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	37	0.11	81%	0.15	58.9	0.57%	0	1	60	0
4	Apr_2_2012	27.46	29.04	29.23	29.31			29.54(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	2	30	0.07	81%	0.11	50	0.57%	0	1.4	60	0
5	Mar_30_2012	27.43	28.99	29.19	29.29			29.35(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	45	0.03	79%	0.15	48.8	0.57%	0	1	68	0

6	Mar_29_2012	27.39	28.95	29.19	29.23			29.16(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	5	46	0.03	78%	0.15	46.2	0.57%	0	0.6	63	0
7	Mar_28_2012	27.35	28.93	29.17	29.19			29.19(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	2	57	0.02	78%	0.07	44.6	0.58%	0	0.7	67	0
8	Mar_27_2012	27.33	28.89	29.16	29.17			29.31(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	5	79	0.06	78%	0.15	47.5	0.6%	0	1.2	75	0
9	Mar_26_2012	27.29	28.86	29.14	29.13			29.43(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	31	-10000	6	107	0.08	78%	0.11	49.1	0.59%	0	1.7	81	0
10	Mar_23_2012	27.26	28.82	29.07	29.08			29.06(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	-2	105	0.03	74%	0.15	48.1	0.58%	0	0.8	63	0

11	Mar_22_2012	27.22	28.79	29.05	29.1			28.94(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-6	117	0.02	74%	0.11	50	0.58%	0	0.5	59	0
12	Mar_21_2012	27.19	28.77	29.01	29.1			29.11(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	0	128	0.02	80%	0.15	55.9	0.58%	0	1.1	59	0
13	Mar_20_2012	27.15	28.73	28.94	29.15			29.09(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-10000	-1	123	0.04	86%	0.11	55.6	0.58%	0	1.2	62	0
14	Mar_19_2012	27.12	28.7	28.85	29.16			29.2(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	10	100	0.04	86%	0.11	58.3	0.66%	0	1.6	60	0
15	Mar_16_2012	27.09	28.67	28.78	29.06			29.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	8	78	0.02	86%	0.11	59.4	0.68%	0	1.7	61	0

16	Mar_15_2012	27.06	28.64	28.72	28.98			29.2(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	12	67	0.02	86%	0.11	63.7	0.68%	0	2.2	62	0
17	Mar_14_2012	27.03	28.6	28.66	28.86			29.1(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	16	54	0.02	86%	0.15	57.5	0.68%	0	2.2	63	0
18	Mar_13_2012	26.99	28.56	28.6	28.7			29.15(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	26	-10000	22	36	0.03	86%	0.11	45.7	0.68%	0	3	67	0
19	Mar_12_2012	26.96	28.52	28.55	28.49			28.69(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-10000	4	-0	0.02	83%	0.11	30.2	0.68%	0	1.1	55	0
20	Mar_9_2012	26.93	28.5	28.53	28.45			28.76(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	1	-10000	3	-7	0.03	83%	0.15	21.4	0.7%	0	1.6	53	0

21	Mar_8_2012	26.89	28.48	28.51	28.42			28.58(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.03	66%	0.15	30.2	0.71%	0	0.7	48	0
22	Mar_7_2012	26.85	28.46	28.5	28.44			28.3(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-5	-11	0.07	62%	0.11	49.1	0.75%	0	-1.1	50	0
23	Mar_6_2012	26.82	28.47	28.51	28.49			28.12(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-9	-10000	-10	-7	0.1	62%	0.11	84.9	0.75%	0	-2.3	43	0
24	Mar_5_2012	26.79	28.48	28.55	28.6			28.5(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-2	16	0.09	73%	0.15	138.8	0.73%	0	0.1	54	0
25	Mar_2_2012	26.75	28.46	28.56	28.62			28.58(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	30	0.02	73%		152.8	0.73%	0	0.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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