Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $24.3500 (-1.1%) ($24.3500 - $25.0200) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $24.3500(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(39%)    SPY(39%)    VWO(39%)    EEM(38%)    QQQ(37%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-7%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.37(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.89(1.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.78(2.4%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2011	26.12	23.78	23.89	24.37			24.35(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	9	44	0.01	42%	-0.08	-30.4	1.61%	0	1	56	0
2	Aug_31_2011	26.14	23.77	23.79	24.19			24.62(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	10	26	0.01	42%	-0.04	-48.4	1.62%	0	1.3	62	0
3	Aug_30_2011	26.15	23.79	23.73	23.99			24.61(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	10	29	0	42%	-0.08	-59.5	1.62%	0	1.2	69	0
4	Aug_29_2011	26.17	23.81	23.68	23.79			24.46(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	15	23	0.01	42%	-0.08	-69.8	1.63%	0	0.8	57	0
5	Aug_26_2011	26.19	23.85	23.68	23.51			23.8(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	10	17	0.01	40%	-0.08	-75.3	1.59%	0	-0.1	59	0

6	Aug_25_2011	26.21	23.96	23.63	23.33			23.45(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	1	-9	0.01	40%	-0.11	-76.5	1.58%	0	-0.5	45	0
7	Aug_24_2011	26.24	24.09	23.65	23.32			23.63(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-5	-22	0	40%	-0.11	-73.8	1.58%	0	-0.4	46	0
8	Aug_23_2011	26.27	24.21	23.65	23.42			23.61(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-7	-51	0	39%	-0.11	-66.3	1.58%	0	-0.5	39	0
9	Aug_22_2011	26.3	24.37	23.57	23.56			23.06(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-12	-66	0	37%	-0.11	-59.8	1.55%	0	-1	36	0
10	Aug_19_2011	26.33	24.55	23.55	23.78			22.92(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-10	-87	0.01	37%	-0.11	-52.3	1.55%	0	-1.2	33	0

11	Aug_18_2011	26.36	24.76	23.69	23.96			23.37(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-2	-96	0.01	39%	-0.11	-47.4	1.53%	0	-1	33	0
12	Aug_17_2011	26.39	24.94	23.77	24			24.16(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	16	-119	0	41%	-0.08	-46.3	1.49%	0	-0.6	35	0
13	Aug_16_2011	26.41	25.06	23.87	23.71			24.27(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-36	-10000	7	-165	0.01	40%	-0.04	-51.7	1.49%	0	-0.6	35	0
14	Aug_15_2011	26.42	25.18	23.95	23.58			24.2(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-38	-10000	16	-198	0	40%	-0.08	-54.2	1.49%	0	-0.7	32	0
15	Aug_12_2011	26.44	25.3	24.07	23.31			23.8(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-67	-10000	-5	-253	0.01	40%	-0.08	-61.3	1.47%	0	-1	28	0

16	Aug_11_2011	26.46	25.44	24.28	23.4			23.57(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-71	-10000	-7	-262	0.01	39%	-0.11	-62.9	1.47%	0	-1.3	25	0
17	Aug_10_2011	26.49	25.6	24.54	23.53			22.72(-3.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-96	-10000	-31	-291	0.02	36%	-0.08	-66	1.38%	0	-2.1	17	0
18	Aug_9_2011	26.51	25.82	24.91	24.05			23.62(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-80	-10000	-20	-260	0.03	38%	-0.08	-65.2	1.32%	0	-1.8	24	0
19	Aug_8_2011	26.53	25.99	25.23	24.37			22.82(-6.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-90	-10000	-36	-253	0.05	34%	-0.11	-65.8	1.24%	0	-2.9	11	0
20	Aug_5_2011	26.56	26.21	25.65	24.93			24.28(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-79	-10000	-28	-233	0.06	39%	-0.04	-70.4	1%	0	-2.2	26	0

21	Aug_4_2011	26.57	26.37	25.93	25.29			24.21(-4.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-69	-10000	-31	-183	0.05	39%	-0.04	-64.7	1%	0	-2.8	23	0
22	Aug_3_2011	26.58	26.54	26.22	25.69			25.33(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10000	-19	-147	0.02	44%	0	-59.7	0.85%	0	-2	30	0
23	Aug_2_2011	26.58	26.64	26.37	25.9			25.21(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-55	-10000	-30	-129	0.02	44%	0	-51.2	0.84%	0	-2.6	25	0
24	Aug_1_2011	26.58	26.74	26.54	26.23			25.63(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-10000	-22	-80	0.01	46%	0	-33.9	0.83%	0	-2.5	30	0
25	Jul_29_2011	26.58	26.83	26.63	26.47			26.08(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-19	-56	0.04	48%		-7.2	0.81%	0	-2	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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