Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PKW: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $24.2000 (1.68%) ($23.9700 - $24.2000) on Mon. Aug. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $24.2000(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(41%)    SPY(41%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(40%)    XLY(39%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-11%)    GLD(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.11(-45.83%)
Resistance Level   $25.18
5 Day Moving Average   $23.58(2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.95(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.18(-3.89%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 5.72% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2011	26.42	25.18	23.95	23.58			24.2(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-38	-10000	16	-198	0	40%	-0.08	-54.2	1.49%	0	-0.7	32	0
2	Aug_12_2011	26.44	25.3	24.07	23.31			23.8(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-67	-10000	-5	-253	0.01	40%	-0.08	-61.3	1.47%	0	-1	28	0
3	Aug_11_2011	26.46	25.44	24.28	23.4			23.57(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-71	-10000	-7	-262	0.01	39%	-0.11	-62.9	1.47%	0	-1.3	25	0
4	Aug_10_2011	26.49	25.6	24.54	23.53			22.72(-3.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-96	-10000	-31	-291	0.02	36%	-0.08	-66	1.38%	0	-2.1	17	0
5	Aug_9_2011	26.51	25.82	24.91	24.05			23.62(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-80	-10000	-20	-260	0.03	38%	-0.08	-65.2	1.32%	0	-1.8	24	0

6	Aug_8_2011	26.53	25.99	25.23	24.37			22.82(-6.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-90	-10000	-36	-253	0.05	34%	-0.11	-65.8	1.24%	0	-2.9	11	0
7	Aug_5_2011	26.56	26.21	25.65	24.93			24.28(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-79	-10000	-28	-233	0.06	39%	-0.04	-70.4	1%	0	-2.2	26	0
8	Aug_4_2011	26.57	26.37	25.93	25.29			24.21(-4.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-69	-10000	-31	-183	0.05	39%	-0.04	-64.7	1%	0	-2.8	23	0
9	Aug_3_2011	26.58	26.54	26.22	25.69			25.33(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-10000	-19	-147	0.02	44%	0	-59.7	0.85%	0	-2	30	0
10	Aug_2_2011	26.58	26.64	26.37	25.9			25.21(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-55	-10000	-30	-129	0.02	44%	0	-51.2	0.84%	0	-2.6	25	0

11	Aug_1_2011	26.58	26.74	26.54	26.23			25.63(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-10000	-22	-80	0.01	46%	0	-33.9	0.83%	0	-2.5	30	0
12	Jul_29_2011	26.58	26.83	26.63	26.47			26.08(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-19	-56	0.04	48%	0	-7.2	0.81%	0	-2	34	0
13	Jul_28_2011	26.58	26.87	26.69	26.67			26.22(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-14	-41	0.01	48%	0	17.6	0.8%	0	-2	31	0
14	Jul_27_2011	26.58	26.9	26.75	26.82			26.34(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-14	-10000	-7	-36	0.02	50%	0	38.9	0.81%	0	-1.9	28	0
15	Jul_26_2011	26.58	26.92	26.81	26.82			26.86(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	0	-31	0.01	53%	0.08	51	0.78%	0	-0.2	43	0

16	Jul_25_2011	26.56	26.89	26.8	26.9			26.86(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-3	-10000	9	-37	0.02	53%	0.04	44.3	0.79%	0	-0.1	44	0
17	Jul_22_2011	26.55	26.86	26.81	26.81			27.08(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	9	-61	0.01	54%	0	32.8	0.78%	0	0.6	44	0
18	Jul_21_2011	26.55	26.82	26.82	26.72			26.98(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	6	-69	0.01	54%	0.08	27.5	0.78%	0	0.4	52	0
19	Jul_20_2011	26.53	26.79	26.87	26.66			26.74(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.02	55%	0.04	28.9	0.78%	0	-0.1	53	0
20	Jul_19_2011	26.52	26.78	26.91	26.66			26.83(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.01	55%	0.04	33.8	0.8%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Jul_18_2011	26.51	26.75	26.95	26.7			26.43(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-10	-20	0.05	51%	0	35.3	0.77%	0	-0.8	57	0
22	Jul_15_2011	26.51	26.74	27.04	26.8			26.62(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-12	28	0.05	51%	0.04	40.4	0.78%	0	-0.3	64	0
23	Jul_14_2011	26.5	26.72	27.07	26.93			26.7(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-16	64	0.01	51%	0.08	44	0.78%	0	-0	59	0
24	Jul_13_2011	26.48	26.68	27.08	27.1			26.91(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-6	105	0.02	52%	0.04	50	0.77%	0	0.5	59	0
25	Jul_12_2011	26.47	26.65	27.05	27.16			26.85(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	-10000	-7	119	0.06	52%		54.4	0.77%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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