Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $20.8000 (1.07%) ($20.3800 - $20.8000) on Fri. Jul. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $20.8000(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(43%)    SPY(43%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(42%)    QQQ(41%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.77(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.64(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.51(1.41%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2010	21.38	20.51	20.64	20.77			20.8(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	18	0	39%	-0.05	46.8	1.4%	0	0.9	58	0
2	Jul_29_2010	21.39	20.46	20.59	20.74			20.58(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	1	13	0.01	41%	-0.05	31	1.4%	0	0.3	55	0
3	Jul_28_2010	21.4	20.43	20.61	20.72			20.68(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	5	20	0	41%	-0.05	17	1.42%	0	0.7	58	0
4	Jul_27_2010	21.41	20.39	20.62	20.65			20.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	5	25	0	40%	-0.05	-0.6	1.41%	0	1.3	68	0
5	Jul_26_2010	21.42	20.38	20.61	20.58			20.93(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	6	35	0.01	40%	0	-13	1.42%	0	1.5	72	0

6	Jul_23_2010	21.42	20.36	20.56	20.49			20.64(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	4	39	0	41%	-0.05	-30.5	1.41%	0	0.8	73	0
7	Jul_22_2010	21.43	20.35	20.53	20.43			20.5(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-4	42	0	42%	-0.05	-46.1	1.41%	0	0.4	67	0
8	Jul_21_2010	21.44	20.37	20.52	20.49			20.31(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-6	58	0.01	42%	-0.05	-47.1	1.41%	0	-0.2	62	0
9	Jul_20_2010	21.45	20.4	20.51	20.58			20.51(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-4	73	0	43%	0	-41.9	1.4%	0	0.3	62	0
10	Jul_19_2010	21.45	20.43	20.45	20.64			20.5(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	1	70	0	43%	-0.05	-33.8	1.41%	0	0.2	46	0

11	Jul_16_2010	21.46	20.46	20.38	20.63			20.34(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-1	51	0.01	43%	0	-26.2	1.41%	0	-0.3	44	0
12	Jul_15_2010	21.46	20.51	20.33	20.64			20.78(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	6	42	0	47%	-0.05	-18	1.38%	0	0.5	52	0
13	Jul_14_2010	21.47	20.53	20.24	20.56			20.77(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	10	16	0	47%	0.05	-12.8	1.39%	0	0.5	46	0
14	Jul_13_2010	21.46	20.56	20.15	20.42			20.82(1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	13	-18	0	47%	-0.05	-10.8	1.39%	0	0.5	44	0
15	Jul_12_2010	21.47	20.57	20.12	20.24			20.44(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	12	-52	0.01	44%	0	-15.1	1.37%	0	-0.2	32	0

16	Jul_9_2010	21.47	20.58	20.13	20.08			20.4(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	9	-87	0.01	44%	0	-20.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	29	0
17	Jul_8_2010	21.47	20.58	20.14	19.96			20.37(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-24	-10000	7	-118	0	44%	-0.05	-30.9	1.37%	0	-0.4	28	0
18	Jul_7_2010	21.48	20.6	20.18	19.87			20.08(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	-10000	1	-144	0.02	42%	0	-41.9	1.36%	0	-0.9	21	0
19	Jul_6_2010	21.48	20.62	20.26	19.85			19.91(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-10000	-11	-161	0	42%	0	-47.6	1.35%	0	-1.3	15	0
20	Jul_2_2010	21.48	20.65	20.39	20			19.66(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-48	-10000	-14	-148	0	44%	-0.05	-48	1.34%	0	-1.9	18	0

21	Jul_1_2010	21.49	20.7	20.56	20.19			19.8(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-12	-116	0	44%	0	-46.1	1.34%	0	-1.9	30	0
22	Jun_30_2010	21.49	20.78	20.72	20.35			19.88(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-10000	-14	-89	0.01	44%	0	-33.5	1.33%	0	-2	36	0
23	Jun_29_2010	21.49	20.84	20.87	20.54			20(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-14	-48	0.01	44%	0	-18.7	1.33%	0	-2.2	50	0
24	Jun_28_2010	21.49	20.88	21.01	20.73			20.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0	47%	0.05	-2.5	1.28%	0	-0.7	62	0
25	Jun_25_2010	21.48	20.9	21.06	20.84			20.64(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-11	23	0	46%		10.4	1.29%	0	-0.8	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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