Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $21.0900 (1.2%) ($21.0000 - $21.0900) on Mon. Jun. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $21.0900(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(44%)    SPY(44%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(42%)    XLY(42%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-13%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.94(-19.68%)
5 Day Moving Average   $20.65(2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.73(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.83(1.25%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2010	21.41	20.83	20.73	20.65			21.09(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	10	-6	0	47%	0.05	-71.6	1.28%	0	0.6	58	0
2	Jun_11_2010	21.4	20.86	20.72	20.52			20.84(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	4	-19	0.01	47%	0	-68.7	1.27%	0	-0	52	0
3	Jun_10_2010	21.4	20.91	20.74	20.47			20.71(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	-8	-18	0.01	47%	0	-57.8	1.27%	0	-0.4	54	0
4	Jun_9_2010	21.4	20.98	20.72	20.57			20.28(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-12	-28	0	45%	-0.05	-44.6	1.24%	0	-1.2	35	0
5	Jun_8_2010	21.41	21.06	20.75	20.73			20.32(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10000	-7	-27	0	45%	-0.05	-39.3	1.24%	0	-1.3	36	0

6	Jun_7_2010	21.42	21.13	20.78	20.82			20.46(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-9	-41	0	45%	-0.05	-42.6	1.24%	0	-1.2	34	0
7	Jun_4_2010	21.43	21.16	20.81	20.93			20.58(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-47	0	46%	-0.05	-50.4	1.24%	0	-1.1	36	0
8	Jun_3_2010	21.44	21.21	20.8	21.04			21.23(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	12	-61	0	50%	0	-59.2	1.19%	0	0	37	0
9	Jun_2_2010	21.44	21.24	20.82	20.89			21.06(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	10	-100	0.01	50%	0	-68.2	1.18%	0	-0.3	33	0
10	Jun_1_2010	21.44	21.29	20.85	20.77			20.78(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	3	-130	0.01	49%	0	-77.2	1.17%	0	-0.9	36	0

11	May_28_2010	21.44	21.38	20.94	20.73			21.01(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-30	-10000	5	-136	0	49%	0	-74	1.17%	0	-0.6	41	0
12	May_27_2010	21.44	21.45	21	20.67			21.1(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	10	-129	0	49%	0	-74.3	1.18%	0	-0.5	52	0
13	May_26_2010	21.44	21.53	21.08	20.55			20.48(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-10000	-17	-153	0.02	44%	-0.05	-77.6	1.12%	0	-1.4	40	0
14	May_25_2010	21.45	21.63	21.25	20.75			20.47(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-10000	-17	-122	0	44%	-0.05	-72.7	1.12%	0	-1.6	35	0
15	May_24_2010	21.46	21.75	21.4	20.95			20.57(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-10000	-19	-102	0	44%	0	-67.5	1.12%	0	-1.7	35	0

16	May_21_2010	21.46	21.87	21.52	21.18			20.72(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-10000	-16	-90	0.01	43%	0	-56.9	1.11%	0	-1.6	32	0
17	May_20_2010	21.46	21.99	21.56	21.37			20.49(-4.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-46	-10000	-27	-101	0.01	41%	-0.05	-48.5	1.11%	0	-2.2	31	0
18	May_19_2010	21.47	22.11	21.67	21.69			21.5(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-13	-99	0.01	48%	0.05	-40.1	0.95%	0	-1.1	34	0
19	May_18_2010	21.46	22.17	21.72	21.83			21.46(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-8	-91	0	48%	0.05	-31.9	0.95%	0	-1.2	38	0
20	May_17_2010	21.45	22.24	21.78	21.91			21.75(0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-23	-10000	1	-95	0.01	52%	0	-27.2	0.93%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	May_14_2010	21.45	22.28	21.85	21.9			21.67(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-16	-10000	13	-102	0.01	55%	0.05	-26.5	0.95%	0	-1.2	35	0
22	May_13_2010	21.44	22.32	21.93	21.77			22.05(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	12	-142	0	58%	0.05	-31.8	0.93%	0	-0.5	37	0
23	May_12_2010	21.43	22.32	22	21.65			22.23(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-38	-10000	5	-168	0.01	58%	0.05	-35.5	0.93%	0	-0.2	41	0
24	May_11_2010	21.42	22.35	22.02	21.6			21.85(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-51	-10000	-4	-192	0	57%	0.09	-37.3	0.9%	0	-1	40	0
25	May_10_2010	21.4	22.38	22.11	21.64			21.71(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-62	-10000	-18	-192	0.01	57%		-35.9	0.91%	0	-1.3	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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