Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $21.2400 (0.66%) ($21.2000 - $21.2600) on Wed. Jan. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $21.2400(0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(45%)    SPY(45%)    VWO(44%)    EEM(43%)    QQQ(43%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-14%)    GLD(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.22(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.08(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.9(1.63%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2010	19.95	20.9	21.08	21.22			21.24(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	4	60	0	56%	0.1	83.3	0.96%	0	1.4	68	0
2	Jan_12_2010	19.93	20.87	21.04	21.22			21.1(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	0	60	0.01	56%	0.15	84.2	0.96%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Jan_11_2010	19.9	20.84	21.02	21.18			21.34(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	8	78	0	58%	0.1	87.5	0.95%	0	2	85	0
4	Jan_8_2010	19.88	20.79	20.97	21.1			21.21(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	10	77	0	58%	0.15	91	0.95%	0	1.8	73	0
5	Jan_7_2010	19.85	20.74	20.93	21			21.2(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	8	62	0.01	58%	0.15	79.3	0.95%	0	2	61	0

6	Jan_6_2010	19.82	20.7	20.88	20.92			21.06(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	4	53	0	61%	0.15	71.2	0.95%	0	1.6	63	0
7	Jan_5_2010	19.79	20.66	20.84	20.88			21.07(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	4	49	0	63%	0.15	74.8	0.97%	0	1.8	62	0
8	Jan_4_2010	19.76	20.62	20.77	20.84			20.95(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	1	38	0.01	63%	0.15	76.6	0.98%	0	1.5	64	0
9	Dec_31_2009	19.73	20.58	20.73	20.83			20.7(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-2	39	0	55%	0.1	68.8	0.99%	0	0.5	61	0
10	Dec_30_2009	19.71	20.56	20.74	20.85			20.82(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	1	56	0	55%	0.15	69.2	1.01%	0	1.1	68	0

11	Dec_29_2009	19.68	20.53	20.71	20.84			20.88(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	5	66	0	55%	0.1	68.4	1.01%	0	1.5	71	0
12	Dec_28_2009	19.66	20.49	20.69	20.79			20.86(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	9	67	0.01	58%	0.2	60.7	1.02%	0	1.5	63	0
13	Dec_24_2009	19.62	20.45	20.65	20.69			20.89(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	7	56	0	55%	0.1	50.4	1.03%	0	1.8	67	0
14	Dec_23_2009	19.6	20.43	20.6	20.62			20.8(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	1	47	0	55%	0.15	45.4	1.06%	0	1.7	68	0
15	Dec_22_2009	19.57	20.4	20.54	20.61			20.75(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	3	47	0	55%	0.1	42.9	1.07%	0	1.8	62	0

16	Dec_21_2009	19.55	20.37	20.49	20.58			20.67(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	42	0	55%	0.15	32.3	1.07%	0	1.6	62	0
17	Dec_18_2009	19.52	20.34	20.47	20.57			20.35(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	11	-10000	-2	51	0	53%	0.1	29.5	1.05%	0	0.1	61	0
18	Dec_17_2009	19.5	20.34	20.46	20.59			20.52(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	-10000	3	62	0	53%	0.1	36.6	1.05%	0	1	63	0
19	Dec_16_2009	19.48	20.33	20.43	20.56			20.75(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	9	57	0	57%	0.15	37.1	1.04%	0	2.3	59	0
20	Dec_15_2009	19.45	20.33	20.38	20.46			20.59(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	6	41	0.01	57%	0.15	35.4	1.05%	0	1.8	59	0

21	Dec_14_2009	19.42	20.31	20.34	20.4			20.63(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	5	31	0	57%	0.1	38	1.05%	0	2	61	0
22	Dec_11_2009	19.4	20.29	20.28	20.35			20.46(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	4	23	0.02	57%	0.15	45.9	1.05%	0	1.1	62	0
23	Dec_10_2009	19.37	20.29	20.28	20.31			20.39(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	4	15	0.01	58%	0.16	48.6	1.05%	0	0.9	56	0
24	Dec_9_2009	19.34	20.26	20.28	20.31			20.25(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	0	5	0	58%	0.16	71.6	1.06%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Dec_8_2009	19.31	20.25	20.24	20.27			20.25(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	0	0	0	58%		101.4	1.07%	0	0	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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