Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $22.6800 (1.52%) ($22.4900 - $22.7400) on Fri. Apr. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $22.6800(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(59%)    IWM(58%)    VWO(57%)    XLY(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-4%)    LQD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.12(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.07(2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.02(3%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2008	22.83	22.02	22.07	22.12			22.68(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	12	-10000	13	9	0.03	59%	-0.09	50.3	1.43%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Apr_17_2008	22.85	21.97	22.02	21.92			22.34(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	3	-2	0.01	54%	-0.09	35.6	1.42%	0	1.3	69	0
3	Apr_16_2008	22.87	21.92	22.02	21.87			22.23(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	4	2	0.01	54%	-0.09	24.8	1.47%	0	1	60	0
4	Apr_15_2008	22.89	21.9	22	21.8			21.73(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.01	50%	-0.09	18.2	1.44%	0	-0.6	48	0
5	Apr_14_2008	22.91	21.87	22	21.89			21.62(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-8	10	0.01	50%	-0.13	21.2	1.46%	0	-0.8	43	0

6	Apr_11_2008	22.94	21.87	22.06	22.01			21.7(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	14	0.02	49%	-0.04	25.6	1.47%	0	-0.5	45	0
7	Apr_10_2008	22.95	21.86	22.04	22.12			22.09(0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	0.01	51%	-0.09	33.1	1.46%	0	0.7	58	0
8	Apr_9_2008	22.97	21.86	21.99	22.14			21.88(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-5	30	0.01	51%	-0.09	26.9	1.45%	0	0.1	62	0
9	Apr_8_2008	22.99	21.84	22	22.22			22.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-2	42	0.01	49%	-0.09	27.5	1.45%	0	0.9	56	0
10	Apr_7_2008	23.01	21.8	21.99	22.25			22.23(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	9	65	0.01	49%	-0.13	18	1.47%	0	1.2	65	0

11	Apr_4_2008	23.04	21.77	21.97	22.1			22.23(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	11	65	0.01	47%	-0.09	-1.9	1.47%	0	1.4	63	0
12	Apr_3_2008	23.06	21.77	21.91	21.93			22.2(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	6	44	0.01	47%	-0.13	-32	1.5%	0	1.4	55	0
13	Apr_2_2008	23.09	21.77	21.83	21.83			22.29(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	5	28	0.01	45%	-0.13	-51.3	1.5%	0	1.6	57	0
14	Apr_1_2008	23.12	21.75	21.77	21.75			22.28(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	2	19	0.01	45%	-0.09	-68.6	1.52%	0	1.6	54	0
15	Mar_31_2008	23.14	21.74	21.66	21.71			21.52(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-6	9	0.01	41%	-0.13	-82.1	1.45%	0	-0.6	53	0

16	Mar_28_2008	23.17	21.78	21.64	21.81			21.38(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-4	15	0.01	41%	-0.17	-70.9	1.45%	0	-1.1	48	0
17	Mar_27_2008	23.21	21.85	21.64	21.87			21.66(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	9	-10000	4	24	0.01	40%	-0.13	-53.6	1.44%	0	-0.5	48	0
18	Mar_26_2008	23.24	21.93	21.68	21.81			21.9(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	4	0.01	40%	-0.17	-42.6	1.45%	0	-0.1	44	0
19	Mar_25_2008	23.28	21.98	21.67	21.79			22.08(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-10000	11	-2	0.01	40%	-0.13	-35.1	1.45%	0	0.2	46	0
20	Mar_24_2008	23.31	22.02	21.6	21.61			22.04(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	10	-37	0.03	40%	-0.26	-36.9	1.46%	0	0	46	0

21	Mar_20_2008	23.37	22.04	21.56	21.46			21.69(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.01	40%	-0.21	-45.5	1.45%	0	-0.6	41	0
22	Mar_19_2008	23.42	22.08	21.57	21.47			21.34(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-4	-90	0.01	38%	-0.21	-46.3	1.43%	0	-1.2	30	0
23	Mar_18_2008	23.47	22.15	21.66	21.54			21.81(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-1	-101	0.02	40%	-0.17	-43.2	1.41%	0	-0.6	30	0
24	Mar_17_2008	23.51	22.18	21.71	21.55			21.16(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-33	-10000	-3	-121	0.04	35%	-0.21	-42.2	1.35%	0	-1.7	23	0
25	Mar_14_2008	23.56	22.25	21.82	21.59			21.29(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10000	-5	-131	0.03	35%		-41.7	1.36%	0	-1.7	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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