Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 26, 2007

Trading Signals: PKW Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 20, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco BuyBack Achievers ETF)
PKW latest price $24.8700 (-0.08%) ($24.6600 - $24.8800) on Wed. Dec. 26, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $24.8700(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PKW advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PKW declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PKW advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(60%)    IWM(58%)    VWO(57%)    XLY(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PKW price   PKW will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-4%)    LQD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.58(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.5(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.65(0.89%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PKW price fluctuates within 1.26% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2007	24.87	24.65	24.5	24.58			24.87(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	9	-35	0.02	45%	0.04	44.4	1.12%	0	0.7	51	0
2	Dec_24_2007	24.86	24.6	24.47	24.45			24.89(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	13	-48	0.02	45%	0	22.6	1.12%	0	0.7	56	0
3	Dec_21_2007	24.86	24.54	24.5	24.28			24.64(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	4	-61	0.04	45%	0	0.6	1.11%	0	0.3	51	0
4	Dec_20_2007	24.86	24.52	24.54	24.23			24.32(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-6	-65	0.03	42%	-0.04	-6.1	1.1%	0	-0.5	44	0
5	Dec_19_2007	24.87	24.5	24.62	24.31			24.18(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-8	-47	0.02	42%	0	-8.2	1.1%	0	-0.8	43	0

6	Dec_18_2007	24.87	24.5	24.68	24.42			24.2(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-6	-31	0.01	47%	-0.04	-9.9	1.11%	0	-0.7	44	0
7	Dec_17_2007	24.88	24.51	24.72	24.5			24.04(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-17	-12	0.01	47%	-0.04	-5.8	1.16%	0	-1.1	57	0
8	Dec_14_2007	24.89	24.54	24.79	24.75			24.43(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-9	37	0.02	49%	-0.04	11.4	1.15%	0	-0.3	66	0
9	Dec_13_2007	24.9	24.55	24.79	24.88			24.71(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-6	67	0.02	49%	-0.04	16.8	1.14%	0	0.4	59	0
10	Dec_12_2007	24.91	24.54	24.82	24.97			24.71(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-10000	-1	95	0.01	49%	-0.08	19.8	1.15%	0	0.4	63	0

11	Dec_11_2007	24.93	24.55	24.81	24.99			24.63(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	29	-10000	2	109	0.04	51%	-0.08	14.6	1.15%	0	0.2	57	0
12	Dec_10_2007	24.95	24.54	24.75	24.96			25.25(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	9	108	0.01	55%	-0.04	2.3	1.12%	0	1.7	65	0
13	Dec_7_2007	24.96	24.49	24.59	24.83			25.12(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	6	75	0.02	52%	-0.08	-17.6	1.12%	0	1.6	56	0
14	Dec_6_2007	24.98	24.48	24.5	24.75			25.15(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	7	60	0.02	52%	-0.04	-33.8	1.14%	0	1.8	57	0
15	Dec_5_2007	24.99	24.46	24.37	24.65			24.78(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	2	33	0.03	50%	-0.08	-58.7	1.13%	0	0.9	51	0

16	Dec_4_2007	25.01	24.49	24.31	24.62			24.5(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	9	16	0.01	48%	-0.08	-55	1.12%	0	0	42	0
17	Dec_3_2007	25.03	24.53	24.28	24.49			24.6(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	-10000	13	-1	0.01	48%	-0.12	-65	1.13%	0	0.2	53	0
18	Nov_30_2007	25.06	24.56	24.27	24.31			24.72(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	7	-24	0.01	48%	-0.08	-71.6	1.14%	0	0.3	52	0
19	Nov_29_2007	25.08	24.6	24.24	24.21			24.66(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	12	-42	0.04	52%	-0.04	-69.2	1.14%	0	0.1	46	0
20	Nov_28_2007	25.09	24.67	24.23	24.05			24.61(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	6	-67	0.01	48%	-0.08	-63.1	1.17%	0	-0.1	46	0

21	Nov_27_2007	25.11	24.72	24.25	23.97			23.88(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-4	-95	0.04	44%	-0.12	-60	1.14%	0	-1.2	30	0
22	Nov_26_2007	25.14	24.82	24.3	24.03			23.68(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-13	-112	0.02	44%	-0.12	-54	1.14%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Nov_23_2007	25.17	24.93	24.39	24.21			24.21(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-4	-109	0	49%	-0.08	-45.3	1.12%	0	-1.1	33	0
24	Nov_21_2007	25.19	24.99	24.46	24.27			23.89(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-11	-122	0.01	49%	-0.12	-47.6	1.11%	0	-1.7	26	0
25	Nov_20_2007	25.22	25.07	24.56	24.42			24.18(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-12	-130	0.01	51%		-48.5	1.1%	0	-1.5	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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