Trading Signals: PH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: PH Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Parker-Hannifin Corporation)
PH latest price $44.9600 (1.28%) ($44.4800 - $44.9600) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $44.9600(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PH advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PH advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PH advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(76%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(69%)    XLY(69%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting PH price   PH will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-12%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.59(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.01(2.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.83(4.97%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $5.755b

Parker-Hannifin Corp. engages in the manufacture of motion and control technologies and systems. The firm also provides engineered solutions for mobile, industrial, and aerospace markets. It operates through the following segments: Diversified Industrial and Aerospace Systems. The Diversified Industrial segment offers products to original equipment manufacturers. The Aerospace Systems segment supplies aftermarket services, commercial transports, engines, helicopters, military aircraft, missiles, and unmanned aerial vehicles. The company was founded by Arthur L. Parker in 1918 and is headquartered in Cleveland, OH.

$. PH price fluctuates within 3.29% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2005	42.92	42.83	44.01	44.59			44.96(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	7	154	0.55	62%	0.07	55.3	1.26%	0	1.5	87	0
2	Nov_15_2005	42.89	42.67	43.82	44.38			44.39(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	-10000	3	159	0.45	62%	0.09	56.4	1.3%	0	1.3	78	0
3	Nov_14_2005	42.85	42.51	43.62	44.3			44.43(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	-10000	8	171	0.69	62%	0.09	57.5	1.31%	0	1.5	76	0
4	Nov_11_2005	42.81	42.38	43.37	44.08			44.61(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	-10000	14	166	0.61	62%	0.07	60.1	1.31%	0	1.9	72	0
5	Nov_10_2005	42.78	42.24	43.06	43.68			44.58(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	47	-10000	12	153	0.77	62%	0.07	56.9	1.31%	0	2.1	76	0

6	Nov_9_2005	42.75	42.06	42.66	43.35			43.88(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	6	127	0.63	60%	0.07	55.8	1.29%	0	1.9	66	0
7	Nov_8_2005	42.72	41.92	42.37	43.19			44.02(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	12	113	1.17	60%	0.07	55.2	1.3%	0	2.4	62	0
8	Nov_7_2005	42.69	41.78	42.08	42.85			43.33(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	11	93	1.57	59%	0.05	47.5	1.29%	0	2.1	62	0
9	Nov_4_2005	42.67	41.67	41.89	42.54			42.6(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	8	71	0.73	56%	0.02	27.6	1.28%	0	1.4	53	0
10	Nov_3_2005	42.66	41.62	41.71	42.32			42.92(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	18	48	1.29	56%	0.05	11.3	1.28%	0	2.1	54	0

11	Nov_2_2005	42.64	41.53	41.54	41.84			43.09(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	16	-10000	15	19	1.08	57%	0.07	-20.5	1.28%	0	2.8	61	0
12	Nov_1_2005	42.61	41.53	41.4	41.43			42.29(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	5	-10000	8	-3	1.05	55%	0.02	-54.9	1.26%	0	1.8	57	0
13	Oct_31_2005	42.6	41.44	41.29	41.21			41.79(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	2	-21	1.09	55%	0.05	-57.8	1.26%	0	0.6	52	0
14	Oct_28_2005	42.58	41.49	41.3	41.17			41.51(2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	6	-13	1.1	55%	0.02	-51.3	1.27%	0	0	53	0
15	Oct_27_2005	42.57	41.55	41.35	41.02			40.53(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-6	-26	1.12	52%	-0.02	-57.8	1.27%	0	-1.6	41	0

16	Oct_26_2005	42.58	41.64	41.43	41.18			41.04(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-6	-14	0.73	52%	-0.02	-61.6	1.27%	0	-1	51	0
17	Oct_25_2005	42.59	41.7	41.45	41.35			41.18(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0.98	51%	0.02	-58.2	1.27%	0	-0.9	48	0
18	Oct_24_2005	42.58	41.76	41.48	41.38			41.59(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-3	-13	0.81	51%	0.02	-62.9	1.27%	0	-0.3	44	0
19	Oct_21_2005	42.57	41.82	41.44	41.46			40.74(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-10	-33	0.99	49%	0	-65.6	1.24%	0	-1.6	33	0
20	Oct_20_2005	42.57	41.93	41.55	41.73			41.37(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	-10000	1	-23	1.44	53%	0.02	-64.8	1.23%	0	-0.8	39	0

21	Oct_19_2005	42.56	42.02	41.53	41.7			41.87(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	5	-34	1.33	55%	0.02	-72.2	1.28%	0	-0.2	47	0
22	Oct_18_2005	42.55	42.06	41.5	41.57			41.33(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-1	-52	0.95	56%	-0.02	-83	1.28%	0	-1	43	0
23	Oct_17_2005	42.56	42.16	41.59	41.59			42(-0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	6	-49	0.56	58%	0.05	-84	1.29%	0	-0.2	47	0
24	Oct_14_2005	42.54	42.26	41.69	41.42			42.07(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	-10000	2	-58	0.78	60%	0.02	-85.6	1.3%	0	-0.2	43	0
25	Oct_13_2005	42.53	42.37	41.75	41.36			41.23(0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	1	-64	0.81	58%		-85.7	1.3%	0	-1.1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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