Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $45.8305 (-0.84%) ($45.7740 - $46.1981) on Wed. Oct. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $45.8305(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PGR advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PGR declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(58%)    IWD(55%)    IVE(54%)    VYM(54%)    SDY(52%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-8%)    XHB(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $46.06
5 Day Moving Average   $46.03(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.93(-0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.06(-0.5%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $26.829b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2017	44.01	46.06	45.93	46.03			45.83(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	4	-19	1.96	57%	0.11	50.5	1.19%	0	-0.5	45	0
2	Oct_24_2017	43.96	46.03	45.98	45.93			46.22(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	-10000	3	-26	3.22	58%	0.14	41	1.18%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Oct_23_2017	43.9	45.97	46.01	45.84			46.09(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-10000	-0	-30	3	58%	0.14	36.5	1.18%	0	0.3	48	0
4	Oct_20_2017	43.84	45.93	46.05	45.85			46.1(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	2	-25	3.09	60%	0.11	50.5	1.19%	0	0.3	48	0
5	Oct_19_2017	43.79	45.89	46.08	45.81			45.9(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-0	-21	2.5	60%	0.14	60.2	1.2%	0	0	56	0

6	Oct_18_2017	43.73	45.85	46.12	45.82			45.33(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-8	-15	4.1	59%	0.14	71	1.2%	0	-0.9	55	0
7	Oct_17_2017	43.67	45.84	46.23	46.04			45.76(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-5	13	5.52	59%	0.05	90.7	1.19%	0	-0.1	66	0
8	Oct_16_2017	43.65	45.8	46.28	46.19			46.17(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-3	35	3.14	59%	0.16	85.2	1.18%	0	0.5	70	0
9	Oct_13_2017	43.58	45.68	46.29	46.28			45.88(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-4	51	3.22	60%	0.14	75.1	1.19%	0	0.2	64	0
10	Oct_12_2017	43.52	45.57	46.28	46.4			45.95(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-2	64	3.06	60%	0.14	74.4	1.19%	0	0.4	65	0

11	Oct_11_2017	43.46	45.45	46.22	46.45			46.42(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	0	75	2.34	58%	0.18	80.7	1.18%	0	0.9	79	0
12	Oct_10_2017	43.38	45.31	46.09	46.44			46.54(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	2	76	2.2	58%	0.16	85.9	1.19%	0	1.2	81	0
13	Oct_9_2017	43.31	45.18	45.95	46.38			46.61(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	77	2.29	58%	0.19	95.7	1.19%	0	1.3	84	0
14	Oct_6_2017	43.23	45.03	45.81	46.3			46.45(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-10000	6	91	1.82	60%	0.19	94.3	1.19%	0	1.3	90	0
15	Oct_5_2017	43.15	44.85	45.68	46.14			46.24(-0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	-10000	7	101	2.76	61%	0.16	74	1.2%	0	1.1	90	0

16	Oct_4_2017	43.08	44.61	45.56	45.95			46.35(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	10	109	3.56	61%	0.21	59.8	1.2%	0	1.3	91	0
17	Oct_3_2017	42.99	44.41	45.41	45.68			46.25(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	8	107	2.54	61%	0.21	43.4	1.21%	0	1.3	89	0
18	Oct_2_2017	42.9	44.18	45.27	45.45			46.22(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	7	105	3.46	61%	0.19	30	1.21%	0	1.5	78	0
19	Sep_29_2017	42.82	44.02	45.02	45.25			45.64(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	3	93	1.97	58%	0.19	18.5	1.21%	0	1.3	76	0
20	Sep_28_2017	42.74	43.92	44.8	45.17			45.3(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	3	96	4.02	58%	0.16	11.4	1.21%	0	1.2	81	0

21	Sep_27_2017	42.67	43.84	44.62	45.17			44.97(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	0	116	2.86	58%	0.19	1.9	1.21%	0	1	86	0
22	Sep_26_2017	42.59	43.82	44.48	45.1			45.1(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	-10000	1	131	2.94	58%	0.16	-2.7	1.21%	0	1.1	71	0
23	Sep_25_2017	42.52	43.82	44.36	45.06			45.25(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	12	161	4.71	58%	0.14	-9.3	1.21%	0	1.3	75	0
24	Sep_22_2017	42.46	43.79	44.2	44.74			45.23(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	14	152	3.04	57%	0.19	-17.4	1.21%	0	1.2	61	0
25	Sep_21_2017	42.38	43.78	43.96	44.37			44.94(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	12	120	3.92	57%		-27.3	1.21%	0	1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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