Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: PGR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Progressive Corporation)
PGR latest price $31.8460 (-1.04%) ($31.7164 - $32.0820) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $31.8460(-1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PGR declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PGR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(57%)    IVE(54%)    IWD(54%)    VYM(54%)    SDY(52%)
Factors Impacting PGR price   PGR will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $31.97
5 Day Moving Average   $32.3(-1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.34(-1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.97(-0.39%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $18.643b

Progressive Corp. is an insurance holding company, which engages in the provision of personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and other specialty property-casualty insurance and related services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Property, and Other Indemnity. The Personal Lines segment includes agency and direct businesses. The Commercial Lines segment writes primary liability and physical damage insurance for automobiles and trucks owned and operated predominately by small business in the auto, for-hire transportation, contractor, for-hire specialty, tow, and for-hire livery markets. The Property segment covers residential property insurance for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. The Other Indemnity segment manages run-off businesses. The company was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Mayfield Village, OH.

$. PGR price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2016	29.13	31.97	32.34	32.3			31.85(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-7	-1	3.37	65%	0.14	52.9	1.11%	0	-0.2	52	0
2	Apr_6_2016	29.09	31.91	32.41	32.43			32.18(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-3	29	3.52	65%	0.14	54.9	1.13%	0	0.3	65	0
3	Apr_5_2016	29.05	31.84	32.44	32.48			32.07(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-4	57	4.07	65%	0.17	56.6	1.14%	0	0.3	72	0
4	Apr_4_2016	29	31.78	32.47	32.55			32.55(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	2	96	2.75	63%	0.17	65.2	1.12%	0	0.9	83	0
5	Apr_1_2016	28.95	31.69	32.43	32.52			32.84(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	6	114	2.63	63%	0.17	70.1	1.15%	0	1.4	84	0

6	Mar_31_2016	28.9	31.59	32.33	32.52			32.52(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	0	125	2.88	60%	0.17	76.2	1.16%	0	1.1	85	0
7	Mar_30_2016	28.85	31.49	32.23	32.52			32.42(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	35	-10000	0	140	2.33	60%	0.14	84	1.18%	0	1.1	79	0
8	Mar_29_2016	28.81	31.38	32.08	32.4			32.41(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	1	147	3.32	62%	0.14	86.4	1.19%	0	1.2	79	0
9	Mar_28_2016	28.77	31.24	31.91	32.39			32.42(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	4	146	2.1	62%	0.14	81.2	1.2%	0	1.3	72	0
10	Mar_24_2016	28.73	31.1	31.75	32.31			32.22(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	3	142	2.5	62%	0.07	78.9	1.2%	0	1.2	72	0

11	Mar_23_2016	28.71	30.98	31.57	32.25			32.55(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	12	135	3.7	62%	0.1	76.8	1.19%	0	1.7	70	0
12	Mar_22_2016	28.68	30.82	31.37	32.03			32.43(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	17	122	3.65	64%	0.07	74.1	1.19%	0	1.9	74	0
13	Mar_21_2016	28.66	30.68	31.18	31.71			32.33(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	18	99	3.24	64%	0.1	70.1	1.22%	0	2	76	0
14	Mar_18_2016	28.63	30.54	31.02	31.36			32.03(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	32	-10000	14	87	6.53	61%	0.07	67.8	1.22%	0	2	79	0
15	Mar_17_2016	28.61	30.41	30.88	31.1			31.89(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	16	79	3.81	61%	0.03	74.1	1.25%	0	2.2	75	0

16	Mar_16_2016	28.6	30.29	30.77	30.8			31.49(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	9	69	4.39	62%	0.07	79	1.25%	0	2	71	0
17	Mar_15_2016	28.58	30.19	30.67	30.62			30.8(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	3	66	3.15	60%	0.04	85.7	1.26%	0	1.1	70	0
18	Mar_14_2016	28.57	30.12	30.6	30.57			30.58(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-10000	-3	70	3.52	62%	0.04	91.3	1.26%	0	0.8	66	0
19	Mar_11_2016	28.56	30.05	30.51	30.57			30.74(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	0	76	5.76	60%	0.04	95.3	1.27%	0	1.2	67	0
20	Mar_10_2016	28.55	29.91	30.41	30.62			30.39(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-6	77	4.26	60%	0.04	76.9	1.28%	0	0.7	65	0

21	Mar_9_2016	28.54	29.83	30.36	30.74			30.57(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	1	95	1.96	60%	0.04	80.5	1.28%	0	1	67	0
22	Mar_8_2016	28.53	29.73	30.26	30.72			30.57(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	4	94	3.92	60%	0.04	80.7	1.29%	0	1.1	65	0
23	Mar_7_2016	28.52	29.63	30.16	30.64			30.85(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	14	97	3.8	60%	0.07	78.7	1.28%	0	1.6	74	0
24	Mar_4_2016	28.5	29.5	30.03	30.37			30.72(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	83	3.66	62%	0.07	72.4	1.28%	0	1.6	76	0
25	Mar_3_2016	28.48	29.38	29.91	30.17			30.99(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	31	-10000	12	88	7.48	60%		73	1.32%	0	2.2	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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