Trading Signals: PENN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: PENN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Penn National Gaming, Inc.)
PENN latest price $19.8100 (1.64%) ($19.4900 - $20.0200) on Thu. May. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $19.8100(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PENN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PENN advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PENN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(37%)    DIA(27%)    PEJ(23%)    VUG(22%)    XLY(22%)
Factors Impacting PENN price   PENN will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-15%)    BWX(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    GDX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.58(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.35(2.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.05(3.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36.9%
Market Cap   $2.723b

Penn National Gaming, Inc. owns and manages gaming and racing facilities and video gaming terminal operations with a focus on slot machine entertainment. It operates through the following business segments: Northeast, South, West and Midwest.. The Northeast segment consists of the following properties: Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races, Hollywood Casino Bangor, Hollywood Casino at Penn National Race Course, Hollywood Casino Toledo, Hollywood Casino Columbus, Hollywood Gaming at Dayton Raceway, Hollywood Gaming at Mahoning Valley Race Course, and Plain ridge Park Casino. The South and West segment comprises of the following properties: Zia Park Casino, Hollywood Casino Tunica, Hollywood Casino Gulf Coast, Boomtown Biloxi, M Resort, Tropicana Las Vegas, 1st Jackpot and Resorts. The Midwest segment controls the following properties: Hollywood Casino Aurora, Hollywood Casino Joliet, Argosy Casino Alton, Argosy Casino Riverside, Hollywood Casino Lawrenceburg, Hollywood Casino St. Louis, and Prairie State Gaming. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Wyomissing, PA.

$. PENN price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.74%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.83%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.19%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2017	16.29	19.05	19.35	19.58	19.61	19.61	19.81(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	0	9	62	0.95	73%	0.37	52.7	2.06%	0	1.8	61	0
2	May_24_2017	16.23	18.99	19.24	19.44	19.49	19.59	19.49(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	40	8	51	0.71	73%	0.31	52	2.07%	0	1.3	60	0
3	May_23_2017	16.18	18.96	19.21	19.44	19.34	19.61	19.57(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	100	7	46	0.63	73%	0.25	49.5	2.07%	0	1.7	57	0
4	May_22_2017	16.14	18.92	19.13	19.32	19.2	19.39	19.67(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	50	16	53	1.24	73%	0.37	51.7	2.07%	0	2.2	63	0
5	May_19_2017	16.08	18.87	19.02	19.18	19.15	19.07	19.36(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-30	7	43	1.14	73%	0.31	46.8	2.06%	0	1.7	63	0

6	May_18_2017	16.03	18.83	18.97	19.09	19.09	19.02	19.12(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-30	-1	39	1.99	73%	0.38	45.6	2.07%	0	1	58	0
7	May_17_2017	15.97	18.8	18.97	19.01	19.06	19.23	18.88(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	70	-2	30	1.4	73%	0.31	34.7	2.08%	0	0.3	51	0
8	May_16_2017	15.92	18.79	18.93	19.08	19.02	19.17	19.55(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	24	50	17	45	1.23	79%	0.19	38.2	2.04%	0	2.8	56	0
9	May_15_2017	15.89	18.74	18.83	18.91	18.92	18.9	18.99(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10	6	23	1.12	79%	0.32	36.4	2.03%	0	1.3	53	0
10	May_12_2017	15.84	18.73	18.76	18.84	18.84	18.86	18.92(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	10	-1	9	1.58	79%	0.32	30.8	2.07%	0	1	54	0

11	May_11_2017	15.79	18.73	18.72	18.84	18.81	18.94	18.7(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	50	3	8	1.19	79%	0.25	24.1	2.09%	0	0	52	0
12	May_10_2017	15.75	18.7	18.73	18.83	18.76	18.83	19.25(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	10	10	8	14	1.95	84%	0.32	37.5	2.06%	0	2.6	62	0
13	May_9_2017	15.7	18.68	18.73	18.76	18.72	18.68	18.71(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-20	1	10	0.82	83%	0.32	42.7	2.06%	0	0.2	51	0
14	May_8_2017	15.65	18.68	18.69	18.72	18.73	18.7	18.63(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10	2	7	0.68	83%	0.26	35.3	2.06%	0	-0.2	46	0
15	May_5_2017	15.61	18.67	18.7	18.66	18.69	18.76	18.86(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	30	5	1	1.34	78%	0.32	29.4	2.12%	0	1	52	0

16	May_4_2017	15.56	18.65	18.67	18.59	18.61	18.75	18.68(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	60	3	-1	0.78	78%	0.32	20.6	2.13%	0	0.2	58	0
17	May_3_2017	15.51	18.63	18.66	18.61	18.58	18.61	18.94(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	10	3	-3	1.14	78%	0.32	12.7	2.14%	0	1.4	52	0
18	May_2_2017	15.46	18.61	18.63	18.62	18.55	18.47	18.51(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-40	-5	-9	1.26	79%	0.26	18.6	2.14%	0	-0.5	43	0
19	May_1_2017	15.42	18.6	18.66	18.66	18.65	18.54	18.32(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-5	-40	-6	-1	0.87	79%	0.26	27.4	2.22%	0	-1.3	50	0
20	Apr_28_2017	15.38	18.6	18.7	18.73	18.73	18.62	18.48(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-40	-5	8	1.89	79%	0.26	56.1	2.2%	0	-0.6	50	0

21	Apr_27_2017	15.34	18.61	18.69	18.76	18.73	18.75	18.81(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-0	1	10	3.82	80%	0.33	90.7	2.2%	0	1	56	0
22	Apr_26_2017	15.29	18.6	18.68	18.7	18.76	18.83	18.96(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	40	5	15	1.75	77%	0.33	152.8	2.2%	0	1.8	66	0
23	Apr_25_2017	15.24	18.57	18.67	18.64	18.7	18.76	18.75(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	30	0	13	1.16	77%	0.4	234	2.23%	0	1	53	0
24	Apr_24_2017	15.18	18.55	18.65	18.66	18.71	18.7	18.66(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	5	0	1	15	0.76	77%	0.33	306.2	2.23%	0	0.6	54	0
25	Apr_21_2017	15.13	18.5	18.64	18.67	18.7	18.63	18.64(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-20	1	18	0.9	78%		248.9	2.22%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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