Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $37.7300 (1.42%) ($37.2500 - $37.7800) on Mon. Oct. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $37.7300(1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    IWN(82%)    JETS(82%)    IWO(81%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.8(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.38(3.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.56(3.2%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2015	36.78	36.56	36.38	36.8			37.73(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	7	40	0.03	44%	0.03	3	1.37%	0	1.6	57	0
2	Oct_9_2015	36.77	36.51	36.12	36.63			37.2(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	9	6	0.03	45%	0.03	2.1	1.39%	0	1	47	0
3	Oct_8_2015	36.76	36.51	36.02	36.4			36.66(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	8	-17	0.02	41%	-0.03	0	1.38%	0	0.2	45	0
4	Oct_7_2015	36.77	36.51	35.99	36.21			36.4(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	6	-44	0.01	43%	-0.03	-2.1	1.39%	0	-0.1	38	0
5	Oct_6_2015	36.78	36.5	36.02	36.06			36.02(-2.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	8	-61	0.02	43%	-0.05	3.2	1.39%	0	-0.7	39	0

6	Oct_5_2015	36.8	36.54	36.07	35.87			36.86(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-9	-10000	14	-78	0.06	45%	0	3.7	1.37%	0	0.5	47	0
7	Oct_2_2015	36.8	36.54	36.1	35.54			36.08(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-29	-10000	-3	-106	0.09	42%	-0.05	-7.8	1.35%	0	-0.6	42	0
8	Oct_1_2015	36.82	36.5	36.19	35.6			35.71(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-7	-104	0.01	42%	-0.03	-2.6	1.34%	0	-1.1	37	0
9	Sep_30_2015	36.83	36.51	36.39	35.76			35.64(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-9	-85	0.02	42%	-0.05	6.8	1.34%	0	-1.2	41	0
10	Sep_29_2015	36.85	36.48	36.56	35.98			35.06(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-13	-64	0.15	37%	-0.05	17.3	1.33%	0	-1.8	37	0

11	Sep_28_2015	36.87	36.51	36.77	36.3			35.19(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-23	-10000	-17	-41	0.02	37%	-0.05	38.5	1.37%	0	-1.8	36	0
12	Sep_25_2015	36.89	36.55	36.97	36.72			36.41(-0.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-4	-10000	-6	1	0.01	41%	-0.03	60.4	1.31%	0	-0.2	58	0
13	Sep_24_2015	36.9	36.52	37.03	36.87			36.49(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-10	21	0.02	41%	0	58.5	1.31%	0	-0	60	0
14	Sep_23_2015	36.9	36.46	37.06	37.12			36.77(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-5	52	0.02	41%	0	49.8	1.31%	0	0.4	65	0
15	Sep_22_2015	36.9	36.34	37.04	37.23			36.64(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-4	82	0.13	41%	0	30	1.31%	0	0.3	73	0

16	Sep_21_2015	36.9	36.23	37.06	37.32			37.31(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	3	109	0.02	42%	0	11.7	1.29%	0	1.1	68	0
17	Sep_18_2015	36.9	36.14	36.94	37.25			37.13(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	1	108	0.03	44%	0.03	1.1	1.3%	0	1	63	0
18	Sep_17_2015	36.89	36.09	36.83	37.22			37.73(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	-10000	9	117	0.02	46%	0.03	-4.5	1.29%	0	1.7	71	0
19	Sep_16_2015	36.88	36.09	36.63	37			37.34(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	7	111	0.07	46%	-0.03	-9	1.28%	0	1.3	72	0
20	Sep_15_2015	36.89	36.07	36.38	36.83			37.07(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	3	106	0.03	46%	0	-11.7	1.28%	0	1	76	0

21	Sep_14_2015	36.89	36.11	36.22	36.77			36.96(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	8	123	0.02	46%	-0.05	-9.5	1.28%	0	0.8	77	0
22	Sep_11_2015	36.91	36.13	36.1	36.59			36.98(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	9	115	0.13	46%	-0.03	-12.8	1.28%	0	0.8	58	0
23	Sep_10_2015	36.92	36.14	35.95	36.38			36.66(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	8	90	0.02	46%	0	-17.4	1.28%	0	0.5	50	0
24	Sep_9_2015	36.92	36.16	35.8	36.2			36.5(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	15	53	0.04	46%	-0.05	-25.4	1.28%	0	0.3	42	0
25	Sep_8_2015	36.94	36.19	35.59	35.85			36.76(2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	11	-16	0.02	44%		-36.5	1.28%	0	0.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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