Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $35.2800 (0.6%) ($35.1100 - $35.3600) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $35.2800(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    IVE(77%)    SPY(77%)    VT(75%)    XAR(73%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.77(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.73(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.7(1.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	33.61	34.7	34.73	34.77			35.28(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	11	7	0.05	52%	0.06	60.9	1.05%	0	1.8	56	0
2	Dec_19_2014	33.59	34.63	34.67	34.57			35.07(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.01	52%	0.06	38.9	1.06%	0	1.3	57	0
3	Dec_18_2014	33.57	34.57	34.65	34.54			35.03(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-2	-10000	2	-14	0.04	52%	0.06	29.7	1.06%	0	1.3	50	0
4	Dec_17_2014	33.55	34.52	34.6	34.51			34.67(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	2	-16	0.01	52%	0	24	1.06%	0	0.4	52	0
5	Dec_16_2014	33.55	34.49	34.61	34.47			33.8(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-10000	-11	-22	0.01	49%	0	21.5	1.01%	0	-1.9	43	0

6	Dec_15_2014	33.55	34.49	34.71	34.66			34.3(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-5	5	0.03	51%	0.03	36.5	0.99%	0	-0.6	51	0
7	Dec_12_2014	33.54	34.5	34.71	34.75			34.89(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-1	25	0.02	53%	0.03	50	0.97%	0	1.1	67	0
8	Dec_11_2014	33.53	34.47	34.74	34.76			34.89(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	3	45	0.02	53%	0.03	57.8	0.98%	0	1.2	68	0
9	Dec_10_2014	33.52	34.43	34.7	34.71			34.48(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-4	47	0.03	51%	0	61.6	0.97%	0	0.1	61	0
10	Dec_9_2014	33.52	34.41	34.71	34.71			34.76(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	0	63	0.02	51%	0.03	66.7	0.96%	0	1	64	0

11	Dec_8_2014	33.51	34.37	34.67	34.77			34.74(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	3	74	0.01	51%	0.03	63.7	0.96%	0	1.1	66	0
12	Dec_5_2014	33.5	34.32	34.6	34.77			34.95(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	0	64	0.02	51%	0.06	52.4	0.96%	0	1.8	61	0
13	Dec_4_2014	33.48	34.27	34.49	34.72			34.62(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	2	60	0.02	51%	0.03	53.5	0.96%	0	1	57	0
14	Dec_3_2014	33.47	34.22	34.43	34.69			34.76(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-10000	3	57	0.02	51%	0.03	50	0.95%	0	1.5	61	0
15	Dec_2_2014	33.46	34.18	34.36	34.64			34.76(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	0.02	51%	0.03	50.5	0.96%	0	1.8	63	0

16	Dec_1_2014	33.45	34.15	34.27	34.56			34.5(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	7	46	0.01	51%	0.03	62.5	0.95%	0	1.2	61	0
17	Nov_28_2014	33.44	34.13	34.25	34.45			34.94(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	22	-10000	14	46	0.03	53%	0	68.2	0.94%	0	2.8	76	0
18	Nov_26_2014	33.44	34.09	34.17	34.23			34.5(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-10000	6	29	0.05	51%	0.03	80.6	0.92%	0	1.8	66	0
19	Nov_25_2014	33.43	34.05	34.13	34.13			34.48(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	5	26	0.06	53%	0	96.8	0.92%	0	2	68	0
20	Nov_24_2014	33.43	34.01	34.08	34.05			34.39(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	6	20	0.06	53%	0.03	101.5	0.93%	0	1.7	60	0

21	Nov_21_2014	33.42	33.96	34.04	33.95			33.92(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-5	1	0.08	50%	0	101.4	0.91%	0	-0.2	41	0
22	Nov_20_2014	33.42	33.94	34.04	34.02			33.88(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-5	-0	0.02	50%	-0.03	106.6	0.91%	0	-0.2	41	0
23	Nov_19_2014	33.43	33.9	34.03	34.09			33.98(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-3	5	0.01	50%	0	111.3	0.91%	0	0.2	49	0
24	Nov_18_2014	33.43	33.85	34.01	34.13			34.07(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	1	10	0.05	52%	0	121.5	0.91%	0	0.5	58	0
25	Nov_17_2014	33.43	33.79	33.99	34.12			33.91(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-1	12	0.01	52%		118.8	0.91%	0	0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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