Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $33.6200 (-0.09%) ($33.5700 - $33.6700) on Thu. Aug. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $33.6200(-0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    VT(75%)    XAR(73%)    XLY(73%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.6(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.42(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.41(0.63%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2014	33.19	33.41	33.42	33.6			33.62(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	0.02	57%	-0.03	-13.3	0.69%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Aug_20_2014	33.2	33.42	33.34	33.56			33.65(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	4	48	0.01	57%	-0.03	-10.2	0.71%	0	0.6	58	0
3	Aug_19_2014	33.21	33.43	33.26	33.51			33.7(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	10	23	0.02	57%	-0.03	-12.6	0.72%	0	0.7	47	0
4	Aug_18_2014	33.22	33.43	33.21	33.39			33.63(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	7	-8	0.02	57%	0	-17.1	0.72%	0	0.5	44	0
5	Aug_15_2014	33.22	33.44	33.2	33.31			33.39(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	8	-24	0.01	55%	0	-24.6	0.72%	0	-0.1	41	0

6	Aug_14_2014	33.22	33.44	33.18	33.22			33.41(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	11	-50	0.01	51%	0	-29.8	0.72%	0	-0.1	43	0
7	Aug_13_2014	33.22	33.46	33.16	33.09			33.41(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	10	-84	0.07	51%	-0.03	-43.6	0.74%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	Aug_12_2014	33.23	33.48	33.18	32.97			33.11(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	-2	-110	0.01	53%	-0.06	-55.2	0.74%	0	-0.9	35	0
9	Aug_11_2014	33.25	33.51	33.25	33			33.24(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-32	-10000	-7	-107	0.01	53%	-0.06	-57.5	0.77%	0	-0.7	37	0
10	Aug_8_2014	33.27	33.53	33.31	33.09			32.95(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-4	-92	0.01	46%	-0.06	-56.6	0.76%	0	-1.5	40	0

11	Aug_7_2014	33.29	33.58	33.4	33.14			32.72(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-7	-87	0.02	46%	-0.06	-67.3	0.78%	0	-2.5	33	0
12	Aug_6_2014	33.31	33.64	33.52	33.23			32.84(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-10000	-14	-70	0.02	43%	-0.09	-77.5	0.78%	0	-2.7	44	0
13	Aug_5_2014	33.34	33.7	33.64	33.41			33.27(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-9	-43	0.01	46%	-0.06	-83.1	0.79%	0	-1.8	42	0
14	Aug_4_2014	33.36	33.73	33.71	33.53			33.66(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-10000	-4	-20	0.01	49%	-0.06	-71.6	0.77%	0	-0.3	52	0
15	Aug_1_2014	33.38	33.75	33.7	33.58			33.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-9	-19	0.02	44%	-0.06	-64.9	0.76%	0	-2.2	42	0

16	Jul_31_2014	33.4	33.81	33.77	33.7			33.17(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-9	-10000	-11	-3	0.03	44%	-0.06	-44.2	0.77%	0	-2.5	41	0
17	Jul_30_2014	33.42	33.87	33.77	33.85			33.76(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	12	0.02	50%	-0.06	-27.9	0.74%	0	-0.5	49	0
18	Jul_29_2014	33.44	33.87	33.81	33.89			33.88(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-10000	-1	13	0.01	55%	-0.03	-10.8	0.74%	0	-0.1	46	0
19	Jul_28_2014	33.45	33.9	33.79	33.9			33.9(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	5	13	0.01	50%	-0.06	-6.8	0.76%	0	0	52	0
20	Jul_25_2014	33.47	33.91	33.77	33.84			33.81(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-6	0.02	44%	-0.06	-8.1	0.79%	0	-0.4	42	0

21	Jul_24_2014	33.49	33.91	33.76	33.85			33.9(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	7	-15	0.03	44%	-0.06	-4.1	0.84%	0	-0.1	40	0
22	Jul_23_2014	33.51	33.93	33.75	33.75			33.95(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	1	-37	0.01	40%	-0.03	-10.8	0.84%	0	0.1	44	0
23	Jul_22_2014	33.52	33.93	33.76	33.73			33.95(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	5	-45	0.01	45%	-0.03	-9.1	0.86%	0	0.1	42	0
24	Jul_21_2014	33.53	33.92	33.74	33.66			33.6(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-2	-60	0.01	43%	-0.06	-6.5	0.88%	0	-1.2	44	0
25	Jul_18_2014	33.55	33.93	33.8	33.69			33.84(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	1	-55	0.01	43%		6.8	0.88%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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