Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $33.8600 (0.18%) ($33.7300 - $33.9100) on Thu. Jun. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $33.8600(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    VT(75%)    XAR(73%)    XLY(73%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.54(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.55(0.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.36(1.5%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2014	33.42	33.36	33.55	33.54			33.86(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	15	0.02	35%	0.06	121.3	1.15%	0	1.4	64	0
2	Jun_18_2014	33.4	33.27	33.52	33.41			33.8(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	3	8	0.05	35%	0.03	94.7	1.17%	0	1.2	61	0
3	Jun_17_2014	33.39	33.17	33.48	33.41			33.53(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	0	6	0.02	35%	0.06	68.7	1.17%	0	0.7	60	0
4	Jun_16_2014	33.37	33.09	33.45	33.36			33.29(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-5	6	0.01	35%	0	58.7	1.17%	0	0.3	56	0
5	Jun_13_2014	33.37	33.01	33.45	33.45			33.24(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-5	25	0.01	34%	0	54.5	1.17%	0	0.3	65	0

6	Jun_12_2014	33.37	32.93	33.47	33.55			33.19(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-5	45	0.01	34%	0	52.8	1.18%	0	0.3	69	0
7	Jun_11_2014	33.37	32.86	33.48	33.65			33.54(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	2	75	0.01	34%	0	52.5	1.18%	0	0.9	81	0
8	Jun_10_2014	33.37	32.79	33.44	33.61			33.54(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	4	95	0.03	34%	0	51.3	1.18%	0	1	84	0
9	Jun_9_2014	33.37	32.73	33.4	33.54			33.73(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	3	110	0.03	34%	0	48.3	1.18%	0	1.3	81	0
10	Jun_6_2014	33.37	32.64	33.3	33.49			33.76(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	6	124	0.02	34%	0	41.3	1.18%	0	1.5	83	0

11	Jun_5_2014	33.37	32.53	33.16	33.38			33.67(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	5	130	0.02	34%	0	34.4	1.18%	0	1.6	83	0
12	Jun_4_2014	33.37	32.46	33	33.29			33.36(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	2	128	0.01	37%	-0.03	33	1.18%	0	1.3	74	0
13	Jun_3_2014	33.38	32.4	32.84	33.25			33.2(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	1	116	0.01	36%	0	34.5	1.2%	0	1.3	63	0
14	Jun_2_2014	33.38	32.37	32.7	33.23			33.48(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	113	0.03	36%	0	44.1	1.2%	0	1.8	63	0
15	May_30_2014	33.38	32.33	32.51	33.06			33.18(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	97	0.02	36%	0	45.5	1.2%	0	1.5	67	0

16	May_29_2014	33.38	32.29	32.35	32.91			33.25(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	13	84	0.03	36%	-0.03	37.8	1.21%	0	1.8	69	0
17	May_28_2014	33.39	32.24	32.19	32.66			33.12(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	-10000	15	59	0.02	36%	-0.03	23	1.22%	0	1.8	59	0
18	May_27_2014	33.4	32.18	32.09	32.36			33.11(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	13	31	0.04	36%	0	-5.8	1.22%	0	2.1	57	0
19	May_23_2014	33.4	32.11	32	32.1			32.66(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	11	2	0.02	36%	-0.06	-37.2	1.2%	0	1.4	46	0
20	May_22_2014	33.42	32.07	31.91	31.89			32.39(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	-0	-10000	10	-31	0.02	36%	-0.03	-57.8	1.2%	0	0.8	42	0

21	May_21_2014	33.43	32.09	31.84	31.71			32.03(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	3	-60	0.04	36%	-0.06	-68.7	1.2%	0	-0.1	44	0
22	May_20_2014	33.45	32.12	31.85	31.66			31.6(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-6	-72	0.04	35%	-0.06	-59.5	1.19%	0	-1.1	41	0
23	May_19_2014	33.47	32.21	31.92	31.78			31.83(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-6	-59	0.2	35%	-0.09	-47.7	1.2%	0	-0.8	47	0
24	May_16_2014	33.5	32.25	32.02	31.89			31.58(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.01	35%	-0.06	-36.8	1.19%	0	-1.4	52	0
25	May_15_2014	33.52	32.31	32.14	31.94			31.52(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.21	35%		-33.1	1.2%	0	-1.7	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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