Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $33.0800 (-0.84%) ($33.0000 - $33.5100) on Wed. Nov. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $33.0800(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.15(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.03(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.56(1.6%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2013	30.58	32.56	33.03	33.15			33.08(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	2	72	0.04	60%	0.13	69.3	0.87%	0	0.7	72	0
2	Nov_5_2013	30.54	32.45	32.97	33.12			33.36(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	5	83	0.1	60%	0.16	57	0.87%	0	1.2	80	0
3	Nov_4_2013	30.49	32.33	32.91	33.05			33.22(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	6	104	0.07	60%	0.16	49.4	0.87%	0	1.2	82	0
4	Nov_1_2013	30.44	32.23	32.84	32.96			33.01(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	1	109	0.05	63%	0.16	47	0.87%	0	1.1	71	0
5	Oct_31_2013	30.39	32.16	32.8	32.94			33.1(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	123	0.05	63%	0.16	47.6	0.9%	0	1.3	74	0

6	Oct_30_2013	30.34	32.08	32.69	32.88			32.91(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	5	132	0.07	63%	0.17	47.2	0.9%	0	1.2	76	0
7	Oct_29_2013	30.29	32.02	32.59	32.8			33.01(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	3	146	0.32	63%	0.17	50.7	0.9%	0	1.5	82	0
8	Oct_28_2013	30.24	31.96	32.43	32.75			32.78(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	3	155	0.05	63%	0.13	56.9	0.9%	0	1.3	79	0
9	Oct_25_2013	30.2	31.89	32.33	32.7			32.88(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	5	162	0.03	63%	0.17	59.7	0.91%	0	1.6	69	0
10	Oct_24_2013	30.15	31.82	32.21	32.63			32.81(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	11	160	0.07	63%	0.17	63.1	0.91%	0	1.8	62	0

11	Oct_23_2013	30.1	31.75	32.06	32.47			32.5(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	9	141	0.15	59%	0.13	57.5	0.91%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Oct_22_2013	30.06	31.68	31.89	32.33			32.76(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	18	111	0.05	59%	0.17	50	0.91%	0	2.2	59	0
13	Oct_21_2013	30.01	31.6	31.7	32.07			32.57(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	12	60	0.05	59%	0.13	37.3	0.91%	0	2.2	56	0
14	Oct_18_2013	29.97	31.53	31.57	31.9			32.53(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	19	-10000	12	38	0.06	59%	0.13	31.5	0.92%	0	2.6	61	0
15	Oct_17_2013	29.93	31.47	31.47	31.73			31.97(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	9	20	0.05	57%	0.13	29.3	0.9%	0	1.6	54	0

16	Oct_16_2013	29.89	31.45	31.41	31.6			31.84(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	16	6	0.09	57%	0.1	31.6	0.9%	0	1.3	53	0
17	Oct_15_2013	29.86	31.45	31.4	31.38			31.42(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	8	-12	0.02	55%	0.07	25.8	0.89%	0	-0.1	54	0
18	Oct_14_2013	29.84	31.44	31.44	31.27			31.75(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	7	-14	0.03	57%	0.1	22.8	0.88%	0	1.1	58	0
19	Oct_11_2013	29.81	31.41	31.41	31.18			31.66(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-5	-10000	1	-22	0.03	59%	0.13	26.1	0.88%	0	0.9	58	0
20	Oct_10_2013	29.77	31.38	31.39	31.17			31.35(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.08	57%	0.13	37.4	0.88%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Oct_9_2013	29.73	31.36	31.41	31.2			30.74(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-10000	-16	-28	0.23	54%	0.07	47.6	0.85%	0	-1.9	35	0
22	Oct_8_2013	29.71	31.36	31.47	31.41			30.83(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-10000	-16	-9	0.08	54%	0.1	79.4	0.85%	0	-1.7	37	0
23	Oct_7_2013	29.68	31.37	31.52	31.62			31.31(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-2	19	0.07	57%	0.1	100	0.83%	0	-0.2	49	0
24	Oct_4_2013	29.65	31.33	31.51	31.65			31.64(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	25	0.05	63%	0.14	92.1	0.84%	0	0.7	61	0
25	Oct_3_2013	29.61	31.26	31.49	31.64			31.47(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-1	30	0.03	63%		82.8	0.84%	0	0.4	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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