Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $28.3400 (0.21%) ($28.2600 - $28.4500) on Wed. May. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $28.3400(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(73%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.13(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.97(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.42(3.36%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2013	25.61	27.42	27.97	28.13			28.34(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	7	133	0.04	64%	0.12	58.5	0.87%	0	1.4	75	0
2	May_14_2013	25.58	27.32	27.85	28.05			28.28(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	5	131	0.02	64%	0.2	55	0.88%	0	1.5	78	0
3	May_13_2013	25.53	27.23	27.75	27.99			28.01(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	3	136	0.02	63%	0.24	55.3	0.87%	0	1.2	73	0
4	May_10_2013	25.47	27.14	27.64	27.96			28.16(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	-10000	8	149	0.04	63%	0.2	54.4	0.85%	0	1.6	80	0
5	May_9_2013	25.42	27.08	27.53	27.87			27.86(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	8	152	0.02	62%	0.2	61.9	0.85%	0	1.4	79	0

6	May_8_2013	25.37	27.03	27.45	27.78			27.93(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	-10000	14	170	0.03	63%	0.2	67.5	0.86%	0	1.7	84	0
7	May_7_2013	25.32	26.96	27.33	27.61			28(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	50	-10000	13	159	0.03	63%	0.24	69.3	0.86%	0	2	77	0
8	May_6_2013	25.26	26.88	27.21	27.46			27.83(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	-10000	15	146	0.06	63%	0.24	69.6	0.86%	0	2.1	67	0
9	May_3_2013	25.2	26.81	27.09	27.28			27.73(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	-10000	12	128	0.02	60%	0.2	65.6	0.88%	0	2.2	71	0
10	May_2_2013	25.15	26.73	26.96	27.14			27.42(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	5	94	0.03	58%	0.2	57.7	0.88%	0	1.8	54	0

11	May_1_2013	25.1	26.67	26.82	27.08			27.09(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	6	69	0.02	59%	0.2	52.5	0.88%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Apr_30_2013	25.05	26.61	26.74	27.01			27.23(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	7	50	0.01	60%	0.2	45.5	0.88%	0	1.8	55	0
13	Apr_29_2013	25	26.57	26.68	26.93			26.95(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	7	43	0.02	59%	0.2	45.2	0.88%	0	1.2	56	0
14	Apr_26_2013	24.95	26.54	26.61	26.85			26.99(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	9	28	0.01	59%	0.2	41.3	0.87%	0	1.4	58	0
15	Apr_25_2013	24.9	26.51	26.6	26.74			27.12(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	18	36	0.01	59%	0.2	42.5	0.88%	0	2	63	0

16	Apr_24_2013	24.85	26.47	26.57	26.53			26.75(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	8	19	0.01	57%	0.16	28.4	0.86%	0	1	59	0
17	Apr_23_2013	24.81	26.46	26.56	26.44			26.84(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	3	21	0.02	57%	0.2	27.6	0.86%	0	1.5	62	0
18	Apr_22_2013	24.76	26.42	26.52	26.4			26.55(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	6	19	0.02	55%	0.16	27.4	0.85%	0	0.5	53	0
19	Apr_19_2013	24.72	26.41	26.51	26.33			26.46(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-6	-10000	-9	5	0.01	55%	0.16	20	0.86%	0	0.2	53	0
20	Apr_18_2013	24.68	26.39	26.49	26.43			26.05(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-10000	-15	10	0.02	52%	0.12	25.5	0.85%	0	-1.3	43	0

21	Apr_17_2013	24.65	26.4	26.51	26.6			26.3(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-8	34	0.07	56%	0.16	48	0.83%	0	-0.4	49	0
22	Apr_16_2013	24.61	26.38	26.49	26.69			26.62(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	2	43	0.15	59%	0.2	56.9	0.83%	0	0.9	54	0
23	Apr_15_2013	24.56	26.38	26.46	26.67			26.21(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	8	-10000	-4	43	0.03	56%	0.16	52.8	0.81%	0	-0.5	52	0
24	Apr_12_2013	24.52	26.35	26.48	26.71			26.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	18	69	0.02	64%	0.08	60.4	0.71%	0	2.3	67	0
25	Apr_11_2013	24.5	26.32	26.43	26.54			26.91(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	15	56	0.04	64%		62.6	0.71%	0	2.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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