Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $22.7800 (-0.44%) ($22.7200 - $22.8900) on Tue. Oct. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $22.7800(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.78(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.85(-0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.65(0.57%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2012	21.65	22.65		22.78			22.78(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	2	9	0.01	69%	0.05	64	0.88%	0	0.3	63	0
2	Oct_1_2012	21.64	22.6	22.85	22.76			22.88(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	4	-10000	-1	18	0.01	69%	0.05	62.1	0.88%	0	0.7	69	0
3	Sep_28_2012	21.63	22.54	22.84	22.77			22.85(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-4	33	0.01	73%	0.05	60.7	0.93%	0	0.7	69	0
4	Sep_27_2012	21.62	22.49	22.83	22.81			22.86(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-2	53	0.01	73%	0.05	62	0.93%	0	0.8	68	0
5	Sep_26_2012	21.61	22.44	22.83	22.83			22.52(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-8	72	0.02	71%	0.05	64.6	0.92%	0	0.2	67	0

6	Sep_25_2012	21.6	22.4	22.82	22.92			22.68(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	27	-10000	-2	112	0.02	65%	0.05	68.5	0.91%	0	0.6	80	0
7	Sep_24_2012	21.59	22.35	22.79	22.94			22.95(-0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	36	-10000	3	136	0.06	70%	0.05	67.1	0.92%	0	1.2	90	0
8	Sep_21_2012	21.58	22.28	22.72	22.91			23.04(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	5	147	0.04	63%	0.05	64.2	0.93%	0	1.5	90	0
9	Sep_20_2012	21.57	22.21	22.64	22.86			22.95(-0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	41	-10000	4	151	0.01	63%	0	61.3	0.97%	0	1.5	90	0
10	Sep_19_2012	21.57	22.14	22.56	22.82			22.98(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	11	158	0.02	63%	0.05	62.7	0.97%	0	1.8	81	0

11	Sep_18_2012	21.56	22.07	22.43	22.7			22.78(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	8	141	0.01	63%	0	62.7	0.97%	0	1.6	81	0
12	Sep_17_2012	21.56	22.01	22.33	22.61			22.8(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	10	130	0.01	63%	0.05	64.4	0.98%	0	1.9	83	0
13	Sep_14_2012	21.55	21.96	22.22	22.5			22.78(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	9	119	0.05	66%	0	67.6	0.98%	0	2.2	83	0
14	Sep_13_2012	21.55	21.9	22.11	22.4			22.74(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	37	-10000	12	110	0	61%	0.05	72.2	1%	0	2.5	84	0
15	Sep_12_2012	21.54	21.84	22.02	22.27			22.4(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	12	97	0.02	58%	0.05	75	1.02%	0	2.1	74	0

16	Sep_11_2012	21.53	21.79	21.94	22.13			22.31(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	11	77	0.03	54%	0	57.4	1.03%	0	2.1	70	0
17	Sep_10_2012	21.53	21.75	21.88	22			22.25(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	9	56	0	54%	0.05	45.3	1.06%	0	2.2	67	0
18	Sep_7_2012	21.52	21.71	21.81	21.9			22.29(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	10	36	0.09	54%	0	39.1	1.06%	0	2.9	61	0
19	Sep_6_2012	21.52	21.67	21.73	21.78			22.11(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	6	-10000	4	12	0.01	58%	0.05	47.8	1.06%	0	2.9	61	0
20	Sep_5_2012	21.51	21.64	21.73	21.73			21.67(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	5	0	54%	-0.05	76.5	1.07%	0	0.3	56	0

21	Sep_4_2012	21.52	21.65	21.73	21.74			21.68(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	1	13	0.01	54%	0	98.2	1.07%	0	0.3	61	0
22	Aug_31_2012	21.52	21.64	21.68	21.73			21.74(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	17	0.01	47%	0	96.7	1.17%	0	0.8	63	0
23	Aug_30_2012	21.52	21.63	21.68	21.7			21.7(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	3	22	0.03	45%	0	66.3	1.17%	0	0.4	58	0
24	Aug_29_2012	21.52	21.6	21.69	21.66			21.85(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	3	20	0.04	47%	0.05	46.1	1.18%	0	1.1	60	0
25	Aug_28_2012	21.51	21.56	21.66	21.62			21.71(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	1	13	0.02	47%		44.1	1.19%	0	0.7	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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