Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $22.7800 (0.18%) ($22.7600 - $22.9600) on Fri. Sep. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $22.7800(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(77%)    XLY(74%)    XAR(72%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.5(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.22(2.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.96(3.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2012	21.55	21.96	22.22	22.5			22.78(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	9	119	0.05	66%	0	67.6	0.98%	0	2.2	83	0
2	Sep_13_2012	21.55	21.9	22.11	22.4			22.74(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	37	-10000	12	110	0	61%	0.05	72.2	1%	0	2.5	84	0
3	Sep_12_2012	21.54	21.84	22.02	22.27			22.4(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	12	97	0.02	58%	0.05	75	1.02%	0	2.1	74	0
4	Sep_11_2012	21.53	21.79	21.94	22.13			22.31(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	11	77	0.03	54%	0	57.4	1.03%	0	2.1	70	0
5	Sep_10_2012	21.53	21.75	21.88	22			22.25(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	9	56	0	54%	0.05	45.3	1.06%	0	2.2	67	0

6	Sep_7_2012	21.52	21.71	21.81	21.9			22.29(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	10	36	0.09	54%	0	39.1	1.06%	0	2.9	61	0
7	Sep_6_2012	21.52	21.67	21.73	21.78			22.11(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	6	-10000	4	12	0.01	58%	0.05	47.8	1.06%	0	2.9	61	0
8	Sep_5_2012	21.51	21.64	21.73	21.73			21.67(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	5	0	54%	-0.05	76.5	1.07%	0	0.3	56	0
9	Sep_4_2012	21.52	21.65	21.73	21.74			21.68(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	1	13	0.01	54%	0	98.2	1.07%	0	0.3	61	0
10	Aug_31_2012	21.52	21.64	21.68	21.73			21.74(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	17	0.01	47%	0	96.7	1.17%	0	0.8	63	0

11	Aug_30_2012	21.52	21.63	21.68	21.7			21.7(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	3	22	0.03	45%	0	66.3	1.17%	0	0.4	58	0
12	Aug_29_2012	21.52	21.6	21.69	21.66			21.85(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	3	20	0.04	47%	0.05	46.1	1.18%	0	1.1	60	0
13	Aug_28_2012	21.51	21.56	21.66	21.62			21.71(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	1	13	0.02	47%	0	44.1	1.19%	0	0.7	54	0
14	Aug_27_2012	21.51	21.53	21.63	21.61			21.65(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10000	-1	1	0	47%	0	52	1.2%	0	0.5	41	0
15	Aug_24_2012	21.51	21.52	21.61	21.62			21.6(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-4	-1	0	47%	0	60.8	1.2%	0	0.4	52	0

16	Aug_23_2012	21.51	21.51	21.6	21.67			21.51(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-3	6	0.01	47%	0	61.7	1.2%	0	0	53	0
17	Aug_22_2012	21.51	21.5	21.61	21.71			21.62(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	1	25	0.03	47%	-0.05	44.4	1.2%	0	0.4	68	0
18	Aug_21_2012	21.52	21.46	21.6	21.7			21.66(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	39	0.01	50%	0	22.9	1.2%	0	0.7	69	0
19	Aug_20_2012	21.52	21.42	21.62	21.65			21.71(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	5	45	0.01	50%	0	2.9	1.22%	0	1	61	0
20	Aug_17_2012	21.52	21.39	21.61	21.59			21.84(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	5	43	0.01	46%	0	-10	1.23%	0	1.5	60	0

21	Aug_16_2012	21.52	21.37	21.57	21.52			21.72(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	2	33	0.05	46%	0	-18.6	1.3%	0	1.1	56	0
22	Aug_15_2012	21.52	21.38	21.5	21.49			21.55(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-1	25	0.02	46%	-0.05	-11.3	1.3%	0	0.5	59	0
23	Aug_14_2012	21.53	21.39	21.45	21.5			21.41(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-6	28	0.02	44%	0	-5.2	1.3%	0	0.1	64	0
24	Aug_13_2012	21.53	21.41	21.45	21.59			21.43(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-2	50	0	44%	0	5	1.31%	0	0.1	65	0
25	Aug_10_2012	21.53	21.42	21.43	21.62			21.51(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	1	61	0.01	44%		5	1.31%	0	0.3	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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