Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $21.5900 (-0.14%) ($21.5600 - $21.6300) on Fri. Mar. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $21.5900(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.49(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.19(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.92(3.2%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2012	19.25	20.92	21.19	21.49			21.59(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	-10000	9	151	0.01	92%	0.1	71.5	0.82%	0	1.7	73	0
2	Mar_15_2012	19.23	20.87	21.1	21.41			21.62(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	14	145	0.01	92%	0.21	73.3	0.82%	0	2.1	74	0
3	Mar_14_2012	19.19	20.8	21.01	21.29			21.54(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	16	136	0.03	92%	0.21	68.7	0.82%	0	2.2	73	0
4	Mar_13_2012	19.15	20.74	20.92	21.15			21.57(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	-10000	25	114	0.05	92%	0.16	69.3	0.85%	0	2.9	74	0
5	Mar_12_2012	19.12	20.69	20.84	20.93			21.13(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	9	72	0	91%	0.21	69.8	0.86%	0	2	62	0

6	Mar_9_2012	19.08	20.65	20.77	20.85			21.17(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	-10000	11	53	0.01	92%	0.21	63.7	0.86%	0	2.5	60	0
7	Mar_8_2012	19.04	20.61	20.7	20.75			21.06(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	13	-10000	7	30	0.01	81%	0.16	71.3	0.89%	0	2.5	62	0
8	Mar_7_2012	19.01	20.57	20.65	20.69			20.8(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	2	24	0.01	79%	0.16	90.4	0.93%	0	1.5	64	0
9	Mar_6_2012	18.98	20.55	20.62	20.67			20.49(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-5	18	0.01	77%	0.21	108.2	0.92%	0	-0.4	52	0
10	Mar_5_2012	18.94	20.54	20.62	20.72			20.73(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	4	35	0.02	84%	0.16	129.5	0.91%	0	1.2	56	0

11	Mar_2_2012	18.91	20.51	20.63	20.68			20.65(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	3	39	0.01	84%	0.16	139.7	0.91%	0	0.9	61	0
12	Mar_1_2012	18.88	20.48	20.62	20.65			20.8(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	6	41	0.03	84%	0.16	115.3	0.9%	0	1.6	60	0
13	Feb_29_2012	18.85	20.43	20.57	20.59			20.67(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	3	27	0.01	87%	0.21	102.8	0.97%	0	1.1	60	0
14	Feb_28_2012	18.81	20.38	20.56	20.56			20.77(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	3	27	0.01	90%	0.16	80.3	0.97%	0	1.4	64	0
15	Feb_27_2012	18.78	20.33	20.53	20.53			20.5(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-4	25	0.01	89%	0.27	75	1.07%	0	0.6	60	0

16	Feb_24_2012	18.73	20.29	20.51	20.58			20.51(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	34	0.03	89%	0.21	74.8	1.07%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Feb_23_2012	18.69	20.25	20.5	20.59			20.52(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	4	51	0.01	78%	0.21	71.7	1.08%	0	0.8	69	0
18	Feb_22_2012	18.65	20.21	20.49	20.55			20.5(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	53	0.02	78%	0.27	68.5	1.14%	0	0.8	70	0
19	Feb_21_2012	18.6	20.16	20.47	20.54			20.64(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	70	0.05	78%	0.43	68.1	1.14%	0	1.3	79	0
20	Feb_17_2012	18.52	20.11	20.43	20.52			20.72(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	7	85	0.03	78%	0.22	68	1.15%	0	1.6	81	0

21	Feb_16_2012	18.48	20.05	20.39	20.44			20.57(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	3	85	0.06	78%	0.22	69.7	1.17%	0	1.4	75	0
22	Feb_15_2012	18.44	20	20.32	20.41			20.31(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-1	86	0.01	77%	0.16	77.2	1.2%	0	0.9	73	0
23	Feb_14_2012	18.41	19.97	20.29	20.42			20.48(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	3	96	0.03	77%	0.16	81.6	1.19%	0	1.3	76	0
24	Feb_13_2012	18.38	19.91	20.2	20.38			20.52(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	4	96	0.05	77%	0.22	88.2	1.2%	0	1.6	81	0
25	Feb_10_2012	18.34	19.84	20.12	20.33			20.31(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	1	90	0.01	79%		93.4	1.23%	0	1.3	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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