Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 30, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $19.6400 (-0.41%) ($19.4600 - $19.7000) on Mon. Jan. 30, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $19.6400(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    QQQ(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.64(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.59(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.28(1.87%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2012	18.11	19.28	19.59	19.64			19.64(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	1	59	0.01	64%	0.17	67.4	1.38%	0	1	80	0
2	Jan_27_2012	18.08	19.24	19.55	19.62			19.72(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	-10000	3	67	0	69%	0.11	70.3	1.38%	0	1.3	83	0
3	Jan_26_2012	18.06	19.18	19.51	19.58			19.63(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-1	67	0.02	69%	0.11	75	1.47%	0	1.3	79	0
4	Jan_25_2012	18.04	19.14	19.46	19.6			19.7(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	2	79	0.02	69%	0.11	88.6	1.48%	0	1.5	84	0
5	Jan_24_2012	18.02	19.09	19.4	19.57			19.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	3	84	0.03	73%	0.06	103.3	1.51%	0	1.2	83	0

6	Jan_23_2012	18.01	19.04	19.33	19.53			19.53(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	3	81	0.03	73%	0.11	108.2	1.57%	0	1.4	82	0
7	Jan_20_2012	17.99	18.98	19.26	19.48			19.56(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	75	0.08	73%	0.11	117.3	1.59%	0	1.7	74	0
8	Jan_19_2012	17.97	18.92	19.19	19.42			19.69(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	24	-10000	7	75	0.04	73%	0.06	120.7	1.59%	0	2.3	83	0
9	Jan_18_2012	17.96	18.82	19.09	19.31			19.59(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	7	63	0.05	73%	0.06	109.7	1.62%	0	2.5	72	0
10	Jan_17_2012	17.95	18.74	19	19.2			19.3(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	6	51	0.06	73%	0.06	99.4	1.64%	0	1.9	71	0

11	Jan_13_2012	17.94	18.67	18.94	19.1			19.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	6	44	0.01	73%	0.11	64.5	1.66%	0	1.5	74	0
12	Jan_12_2012	17.92	18.59	18.89	19.01			19.26(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	5	42	0.05	73%	0.11	50.2	1.66%	0	1.6	75	0
13	Jan_11_2012	17.9	18.53	18.83	18.93			19.16(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	14	-10000	5	41	0.06	73%	0.11	40.5	1.66%	0	1.5	77	0
14	Jan_10_2012	17.88	18.49	18.79	18.85			19.02(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	0.01	76%	0.11	36.5	1.66%	0	1.3	83	0
15	Jan_9_2012	17.86	18.45	18.75	18.77			18.8(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	56	0.03	76%	0.17	35.5	1.72%	0	0.9	73	0

16	Jan_6_2012	17.83	18.41	18.72	18.75			18.81(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-1	64	0.42	78%	0.11	33.5	1.73%	0	1.1	73	0
17	Jan_5_2012	17.81	18.39	18.68	18.76			18.85(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	78	0.07	78%	0.06	35.7	1.75%	0	1.2	76	0
18	Jan_4_2012	17.8	18.36	18.63	18.71			18.75(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10000	-1	78	0.08	78%	0.06	42.9	1.77%	0	1.1	66	0
19	Jan_3_2012	17.79	18.34	18.53	18.71			18.66(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	70	0.05	70%	0	54.5	1.78%	0	0.9	55	0
20	Dec_30_2011	17.79	18.31	18.46	18.73			18.69(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	3	62	0	65%	0.06	75.6	1.86%	0	1.2	54	0

21	Dec_29_2011	17.78	18.29	18.38	18.68			18.83(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	56	0	65%	0.11	89.1	1.91%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Dec_28_2011	17.76	18.25	18.27	18.6			18.64(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	38	0.08	61%	0.06	101.9	1.92%	0	1.3	53	0
23	Dec_27_2011	17.75	18.21	18.21	18.52			18.81(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	12	30	0.01	61%	0.11	93.3	1.95%	0	2	57	0
24	Dec_23_2011	17.73	18.15	18.15	18.3			18.67(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	7	0.01	61%	0.06	56.9	1.96%	0	1.4	54	0
25	Dec_22_2011	17.72	18.07	18.12	18.15			18.45(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	7	-5	0.01	55%		35.2	1.95%	0	1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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