Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 25, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $19.7000 (1.03%) ($19.5500 - $19.7100) on Wed. Jan. 25, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $19.7000(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    QQQ(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.6(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.46(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.14(2.93%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2012	18.04	19.14	19.46	19.6			19.7(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	-10000	2	79	0.02	69%	0.11	88.6	1.48%	0	1.5	84	0
2	Jan_24_2012	18.02	19.09	19.4	19.57			19.5(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	3	84	0.03	73%	0.06	103.3	1.51%	0	1.2	83	0
3	Jan_23_2012	18.01	19.04	19.33	19.53			19.53(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	3	81	0.03	73%	0.11	108.2	1.57%	0	1.4	82	0
4	Jan_20_2012	17.99	18.98	19.26	19.48			19.56(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	4	75	0.08	73%	0.11	117.3	1.59%	0	1.7	74	0
5	Jan_19_2012	17.97	18.92	19.19	19.42			19.69(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	24	-10000	7	75	0.04	73%	0.06	120.7	1.59%	0	2.3	83	0

6	Jan_18_2012	17.96	18.82	19.09	19.31			19.59(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	7	63	0.05	73%	0.06	109.7	1.62%	0	2.5	72	0
7	Jan_17_2012	17.95	18.74	19	19.2			19.3(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	6	51	0.06	73%	0.06	99.4	1.64%	0	1.9	71	0
8	Jan_13_2012	17.94	18.67	18.94	19.1			19.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	6	44	0.01	73%	0.11	64.5	1.66%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Jan_12_2012	17.92	18.59	18.89	19.01			19.26(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	5	42	0.05	73%	0.11	50.2	1.66%	0	1.6	75	0
10	Jan_11_2012	17.9	18.53	18.83	18.93			19.16(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	14	-10000	5	41	0.06	73%	0.11	40.5	1.66%	0	1.5	77	0

11	Jan_10_2012	17.88	18.49	18.79	18.85			19.02(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	0.01	76%	0.11	36.5	1.66%	0	1.3	83	0
12	Jan_9_2012	17.86	18.45	18.75	18.77			18.8(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	56	0.03	76%	0.17	35.5	1.72%	0	0.9	73	0
13	Jan_6_2012	17.83	18.41	18.72	18.75			18.81(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-1	64	0.42	78%	0.11	33.5	1.73%	0	1.1	73	0
14	Jan_5_2012	17.81	18.39	18.68	18.76			18.85(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	78	0.07	78%	0.06	35.7	1.75%	0	1.2	76	0
15	Jan_4_2012	17.8	18.36	18.63	18.71			18.75(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10000	-1	78	0.08	78%	0.06	42.9	1.77%	0	1.1	66	0

16	Jan_3_2012	17.79	18.34	18.53	18.71			18.66(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	70	0.05	70%	0	54.5	1.78%	0	0.9	55	0
17	Dec_30_2011	17.79	18.31	18.46	18.73			18.69(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	3	62	0	65%	0.06	75.6	1.86%	0	1.2	54	0
18	Dec_29_2011	17.78	18.29	18.38	18.68			18.83(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	56	0	65%	0.11	89.1	1.91%	0	1.7	64	0
19	Dec_28_2011	17.76	18.25	18.27	18.6			18.64(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	38	0.08	61%	0.06	101.9	1.92%	0	1.3	53	0
20	Dec_27_2011	17.75	18.21	18.21	18.52			18.81(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	12	30	0.01	61%	0.11	93.3	1.95%	0	2	57	0

21	Dec_23_2011	17.73	18.15	18.15	18.3			18.67(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	7	0.01	61%	0.06	56.9	1.96%	0	1.4	54	0
22	Dec_22_2011	17.72	18.07	18.12	18.15			18.45(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	7	-5	0.01	55%	-0.06	35.2	1.95%	0	1.1	53	0
23	Dec_21_2011	17.73	18	18.07	18.03			18.42(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	7	-16	0.02	55%	0	12.2	2.09%	0	1.1	54	0
24	Dec_20_2011	17.73	17.96	18.07	17.9			18.26(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	3	-28	0.04	55%	-0.06	-7.6	2.09%	0	0.8	50	0
25	Dec_19_2011	17.74	17.93	18.06	17.85			17.7(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.01	52%		-20.2	2.05%	0	-0.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.