Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $19.0200 (1.17%) ($18.9300 - $19.0400) on Tue. Jan. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $19.0200(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    EWG(68%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.85(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.79(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.49(2.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.22% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2012	17.88	18.49	18.79	18.85			19.02(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	17	-10000	5	53	0.01	76%	0.11	36.5	1.66%	0	1.3	83	0
2	Jan_9_2012	17.86	18.45	18.75	18.77			18.8(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	56	0.03	76%	0.17	35.5	1.72%	0	0.9	73	0
3	Jan_6_2012	17.83	18.41	18.72	18.75			18.81(-0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-1	64	0.42	78%	0.11	33.5	1.73%	0	1.1	73	0
4	Jan_5_2012	17.81	18.39	18.68	18.76			18.85(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	3	78	0.07	78%	0.06	35.7	1.75%	0	1.2	76	0
5	Jan_4_2012	17.8	18.36	18.63	18.71			18.75(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10000	-1	78	0.08	78%	0.06	42.9	1.77%	0	1.1	66	0

6	Jan_3_2012	17.79	18.34	18.53	18.71			18.66(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	70	0.05	70%	0	54.5	1.78%	0	0.9	55	0
7	Dec_30_2011	17.79	18.31	18.46	18.73			18.69(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	3	62	0	65%	0.06	75.6	1.86%	0	1.2	54	0
8	Dec_29_2011	17.78	18.29	18.38	18.68			18.83(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	56	0	65%	0.11	89.1	1.91%	0	1.7	64	0
9	Dec_28_2011	17.76	18.25	18.27	18.6			18.64(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	4	38	0.08	61%	0.06	101.9	1.92%	0	1.3	53	0
10	Dec_27_2011	17.75	18.21	18.21	18.52			18.81(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	12	30	0.01	61%	0.11	93.3	1.95%	0	2	57	0

11	Dec_23_2011	17.73	18.15	18.15	18.3			18.67(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	7	0.01	61%	0.06	56.9	1.96%	0	1.4	54	0
12	Dec_22_2011	17.72	18.07	18.12	18.15			18.45(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	7	-5	0.01	55%	-0.06	35.2	1.95%	0	1.1	53	0
13	Dec_21_2011	17.73	18	18.07	18.03			18.42(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	7	-16	0.02	55%	0	12.2	2.09%	0	1.1	54	0
14	Dec_20_2011	17.73	17.96	18.07	17.9			18.26(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	3	-28	0.04	55%	-0.06	-7.6	2.09%	0	0.8	50	0
15	Dec_19_2011	17.74	17.93	18.06	17.85			17.7(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.01	52%	-0.06	-20.2	2.05%	0	-0.6	53	0

16	Dec_16_2011	17.75	17.93	18.13	17.98			17.9(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-7	0.01	52%	-0.06	-19.8	2.05%	0	-0.1	57	0
17	Dec_15_2011	17.76	17.94	18.16	18.08			17.89(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-2	21	0.05	52%	-0.11	-14.7	2.05%	0	-0.1	67	0
18	Dec_14_2011	17.78	17.96	18.19	18.11			17.76(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-6	38	0.05	52%	-0.11	-11.7	2.05%	0	-0.5	64	0
19	Dec_13_2011	17.8	17.99	18.24	18.23			18.01(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-3	61	0.05	52%	-0.11	-4.3	2.06%	0	0	58	0
20	Dec_12_2011	17.82	18.01	18.22	18.23			18.35(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	0	71	0.01	52%	-0.11	-2.1	2.05%	0	0.8	62	0

21	Dec_9_2011	17.84	18.02	18.16	18.29			18.4(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	2	71	0.03	49%	-0.06	-1.6	2.05%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Dec_8_2011	17.85	18.02	18.03	18.26			18.01(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-2	53	0.02	46%	-0.17	-7.1	2.07%	0	0	51	0
23	Dec_7_2011	17.88	18	17.95	18.29			18.4(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	43	0.01	48%	-0.06	-7.9	2.06%	0	0.9	52	0
24	Dec_6_2011	17.89	18.01	17.86	18.26			18.3(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	7	29	0.01	48%	-0.11	-2.4	2.07%	0	0.6	44	0
25	Dec_5_2011	17.91	18.02	17.79	18.13			18.36(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	7	6	0.02	48%		-9	2.07%	0	0.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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