Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.6700 (1.19%) ($18.5700 - $18.6800) on Fri. Dec. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $18.6700(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(75%)    XAR(71%)    QQQ(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.3(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.15(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.15(2.87%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2011	17.73	18.15	18.15	18.3			18.67(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	8	7	0.01	61%	0.06	56.9	1.96%	0	1.4	54	0
2	Dec_22_2011	17.72	18.07	18.12	18.15			18.45(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	7	-5	0.01	55%	-0.06	35.2	1.95%	0	1.1	53	0
3	Dec_21_2011	17.73	18	18.07	18.03			18.42(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	7	-16	0.02	55%	0	12.2	2.09%	0	1.1	54	0
4	Dec_20_2011	17.73	17.96	18.07	17.9			18.26(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	3	-28	0.04	55%	-0.06	-7.6	2.09%	0	0.8	50	0
5	Dec_19_2011	17.74	17.93	18.06	17.85			17.7(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.01	52%	-0.06	-20.2	2.05%	0	-0.6	53	0

6	Dec_16_2011	17.75	17.93	18.13	17.98			17.9(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-7	0.01	52%	-0.06	-19.8	2.05%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	Dec_15_2011	17.76	17.94	18.16	18.08			17.89(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-2	21	0.05	52%	-0.11	-14.7	2.05%	0	-0.1	67	0
8	Dec_14_2011	17.78	17.96	18.19	18.11			17.76(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-6	38	0.05	52%	-0.11	-11.7	2.05%	0	-0.5	64	0
9	Dec_13_2011	17.8	17.99	18.24	18.23			18.01(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-3	61	0.05	52%	-0.11	-4.3	2.06%	0	0	58	0
10	Dec_12_2011	17.82	18.01	18.22	18.23			18.35(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	0	71	0.01	52%	-0.11	-2.1	2.05%	0	0.8	62	0

11	Dec_9_2011	17.84	18.02	18.16	18.29			18.4(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	2	71	0.03	49%	-0.06	-1.6	2.05%	0	0.9	57	0
12	Dec_8_2011	17.85	18.02	18.03	18.26			18.01(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-2	53	0.02	46%	-0.17	-7.1	2.07%	0	0	51	0
13	Dec_7_2011	17.88	18	17.95	18.29			18.4(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	43	0.01	48%	-0.06	-7.9	2.06%	0	0.9	52	0
14	Dec_6_2011	17.89	18.01	17.86	18.26			18.3(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	7	29	0.01	48%	-0.11	-2.4	2.07%	0	0.6	44	0
15	Dec_5_2011	17.91	18.01	17.79	18.13			18.36(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	7	6	0.02	48%	-0.11	-9	2.07%	0	0.7	48	0

16	Dec_2_2011	17.93	18.02	17.73	18			18.22(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	13	-14	0.01	46%	-0.06	-19.5	2.09%	0	0.4	43	0
17	Dec_1_2011	17.94	18.03	17.7	17.75			18.15(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	11	-39	0.02	46%	-0.17	-38.3	2.12%	0	0.3	50	0
18	Nov_30_2011	17.97	18.04	17.69	17.55			18.25(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-9	-10000	8	-58	0.03	46%	-0.06	-49.2	2.11%	0	0.4	52	0
19	Nov_29_2011	17.98	18.02	17.7	17.41			17.68(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-19	-10000	1	-77	0.06	46%	-0.17	-58.2	2.08%	0	-0.7	36	0
20	Nov_28_2011	18.01	18.06	17.77	17.4			17.68(3.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	-10000	-2	-81	0.07	46%	-0.11	-59.2	2.13%	0	-0.8	39	0

21	Nov_25_2011	18.03	18.12	17.85	17.44			17.01(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-10000	-10	-82	0.01	43%	-0.33	-45.9	2.1%	0	-2.3	29	0
22	Nov_23_2011	18.09	18.21	17.97	17.63			17.12(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-11	-72	0.05	47%	-0.17	-25	2.11%	0	-2.5	31	0
23	Nov_22_2011	18.12	18.28	18.08	17.84			17.58(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-10	-57	0.09	49%	-0.06	-4.6	2.16%	0	-1.9	40	0
24	Nov_21_2011	18.13	18.3	18.19	18.03			17.59(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-8	-30	0.03	49%	-0.11	13.3	2.16%	0	-2.2	47	0
25	Nov_18_2011	18.15	18.35	18.29	18.19			17.9(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-7	-16	0.06	44%		43.2	2.15%	0	-1.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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