Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 10, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $17.2100 (4.05%) ($17.0300 - $17.2300) on Mon. Oct. 10, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $17.2100(4.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(78%)    XLY(76%)    XAR(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $8.72(-49.33%)
5 Day Moving Average   $16.49(4.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.52(4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.99(1.29%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 4.06% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2011	18.42		16.52	16.49			17.21(4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	0	-10000	15	-44	0.04	37%	-0.11	-37.9	2.65%	0	0.3	43	0
2	Oct_7_2011	18.44	16.99	16.51	16.16			16.54(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	4	-84	0.01	34%	-0.22	-53.9	2.6%	0	-0.7	35	0
3	Oct_6_2011	18.48	17.03	16.51	16.08			16.65(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-27	-10000	-1	-105	0.03	34%	-0.16	-63.3	2.6%	0	-0.5	38	0
4	Oct_5_2011	18.51	17.08	16.54	16.1			16.22(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	-10000	-7	-122	0.09	32%	-0.16	-67.1	2.57%	0	-1.2	34	0
5	Oct_4_2011	18.54	17.17	16.69	16.24			15.85(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-15	-117	0.3	32%	-0.16	-68.2	2.55%	0	-1.9	31	0

6	Oct_3_2011	18.57	17.26	16.89	16.55			15.53(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-10000	-16	-90	0.11	32%	-0.21	-66.6	2.56%	0	-2.7	32	0
7	Sep_30_2011	18.61	17.38	17.15	16.9			16.17(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-6	-53	0.04	35%	-0.21	-67	2.53%	0	-2.5	40	0
8	Sep_29_2011	18.65	17.48	17.32	16.9			16.72(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	0	-32	0.51	37%	-0.16	-56.7	2.51%	0	-1.7	47	0
9	Sep_28_2011	18.68	17.57	17.44	17.04			16.92(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.01	38%	-0.16	-47.7	2.51%	0	-1.4	41	0
10	Sep_27_2011	18.71	17.65	17.44	17.21			17.43(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.01	41%	-0.11	-25.6	2.5%	0	-0.5	43	0

11	Sep_26_2011	18.73	17.69	17.44	17.29			17.27(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.03	41%	-0.11	-5.9	2.5%	0	-0.9	47	0
12	Sep_23_2011	18.75	17.71	17.52	17.45			16.87(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-10	-17	0.01	41%	-0.16	13.6	2.48%	0	-1.8	41	0
13	Sep_22_2011	18.78	17.73	17.56	17.66			16.73(-5.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0.02	41%	-0.11	31.5	2.48%	0	-2.2	33	0
14	Sep_21_2011	18.8	17.79	17.67	17.87			17.75(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	1	-3	0	46%	-0.11	49.8	2.38%	0	-0.1	38	0
15	Sep_20_2011	18.82	17.77	17.68	17.86			17.84(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-10000	4	-11	0.01	46%	-0.05	41.3	2.4%	0	0.2	37	0

16	Sep_19_2011	18.83	17.72	17.66	17.77			18.07(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	8	-25	0	46%	-0.05	15	2.4%	0	0.8	46	0
17	Sep_16_2011	18.84	17.65	17.61	17.6			17.89(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	7	-39	0.02	46%	-0.11	-6.8	2.39%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Sep_15_2011	18.86	17.65	17.63	17.45			17.82(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.01	46%	-0.05	-22.7	2.39%	0	0.4	59	0
19	Sep_14_2011	18.87	17.59	17.69	17.43			17.69(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.1	47%	-0.05	-16	2.39%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Sep_13_2011	18.88	17.61	17.77	17.48			17.37(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.37	47%	-0.11	-9.7	2.39%	0	-0.4	51	0

21	Sep_12_2011	18.9	17.65	17.86	17.53			17.24(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.01	47%	-0.11	6.5	2.39%	0	-0.7	59	0
22	Sep_9_2011	18.92	17.68	17.91	17.62			17.14(-3.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-10	25	0.02	46%	-0.11	12	2.4%	0	-1	59	0
23	Sep_8_2011	18.94	17.72	17.91	17.83			17.72(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-8	50	0.01	47%	-0.05	22.6	2.36%	0	0	63	0
24	Sep_7_2011	18.95	17.68	17.93	17.99			17.95(1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-6	62	0.01	47%	-0.05	13.4	2.36%	0	0.5	51	0
25	Sep_6_2011	18.96	17.66	17.88	18.11			17.62(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-6	67	0.02	46%		12.8	2.35%	0	-0.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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