Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 4, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $17.9000 (-5.14%) ($17.8900 - $18.6500) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $17.9000(-5.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.61(-29.55%)
Resistance Level   $19.62
5 Day Moving Average   $18.75(-4.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.17(-6.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.62(-8.77%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2011	19.2	19.62	19.17	18.75			17.9(-5.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-55	-10000	-20	-160	0.17	42%	0	-57.4	1.37%	0	-2.6	23	0
2	Aug_3_2011	19.2	19.75	19.4	19.01			18.87(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-7	-138	0.06	47%	0.05	-51.7	1.21%	0	-1.7	32	0
3	Aug_2_2011	19.19	19.83	19.52	19.09			18.47(-4.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-54	-10000	-25	-140	0.05	44%	0	-45.5	1.18%	0	-2.8	20	0
4	Aug_1_2011	19.19	19.92	19.71	19.38			19.27(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-12	-101	0.01	50%	0	-24.1	1.07%	0	-1.7	35	0
5	Jul_29_2011	19.19	19.97	19.78	19.5			19.22(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-17	-89	0.05	50%	0.05	-1.2	1.07%	0	-2.2	32	0

6	Jul_28_2011	19.18	20	19.86	19.68			19.23(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-30	-10000	-16	-70	0.04	50%	0	26.7	1.08%	0	-2.6	28	0
7	Jul_27_2011	19.18	20.02	19.94	19.85			19.28(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-27	-10000	-16	-58	0.41	50%	0.05	60	1.08%	0	-2.7	27	0
8	Jul_26_2011	19.17	20.05	20.04	20.02			19.88(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-7	-33	0.02	55%	0.05	102.6	1.01%	0	-0.7	40	0
9	Jul_25_2011	19.16	20.01	20.05	20.02			19.91(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	0	-26	0.02	55%	0.05	96	1.01%	0	-0.3	41	0
10	Jul_22_2011	19.15	19.97	20.07	20.09			20.09(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	1	-28	0.01	55%	0.05	82.6	1%	0	0.3	49	0

11	Jul_21_2011	19.14	19.92	20.1	20.08			20.07(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.03	55%	0.1	78.7	1.01%	0	0.3	60	0
12	Jul_20_2011	19.12	19.86	20.13	20.06			20.13(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-1	4	0.04	57%	0.1	72.5	1.01%	0	0.6	64	0
13	Jul_19_2011	19.1	19.81	20.13	20.07			20.26(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	27	0.02	57%	0.05	73.7	1.02%	0	0.9	67	0
14	Jul_18_2011	19.09	19.73	20.14	20.01			19.91(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-4	46	0.01	55%	0.05	67.8	1%	0	0.3	70	0
15	Jul_15_2011	19.08	19.66	20.17	20.05			20.03(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-6	84	0.04	55%	0.1	66.3	1.01%	0	0.6	76	0

16	Jul_14_2011	19.06	19.59	20.14	20.11			19.95(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-10	117	0.02	55%	0.11	64.3	1.01%	0	0.5	74	0
17	Jul_13_2011	19.04	19.52	20.11	20.21			20.18(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	39	-10000	-2	163	0.02	57%	0.05	66	0.99%	0	0.9	82	0
18	Jul_12_2011	19.03	19.44	20.06	20.23			20(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	42	-10000	-6	186	0.4	57%	0.05	65.8	0.99%	0	0.8	74	0
19	Jul_11_2011	19.02	19.35	19.98	20.29			20.07(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	55	-10000	-1	221	0.02	57%	0.05	63.1	0.99%	0	1	81	0
20	Jul_8_2011	19.01	19.26	19.88	20.3			20.37(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	-10000	13	254	0.05	60%	0.05	59.1	0.97%	0	1.5	89	0

21	Jul_7_2011	19	19.17	19.74	20.17			20.42(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	-10000	17	252	0.06	57%	0.05	53.2	0.98%	0	1.8	91	0
22	Jul_6_2011	18.99	19.06	19.58	20			20.28(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	-10000	14	235	0.12	57%	0.05	44.2	1%	0	1.8	90	0
23	Jul_5_2011	18.98	18.98	19.45	19.86			20.29(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	-10000	23	232	0.39	57%	0.05	34.2	1%	0	2.2	84	0
24	Jul_1_2011	18.97	18.9	19.28	19.63			20.14(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	71	-10000	25	209	0.02	57%	0.05	18.5	0.99%	0	2.5	86	0
25	Jun_30_2011	18.96	18.83	19.11	19.39			19.72(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	57	-10000	16	181	0.03	56%		-3.1	0.95%	0	2.1	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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