Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 22, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $20.0900 (0.1%) ($20.0800 - $20.2000) on Fri. Jul. 22, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $20.0900(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.09(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.07(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.97(0.6%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2011	19.15	19.97	20.07	20.09			20.09(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	1	-28	0.01	55%	0.05	82.6	1%	0	0.3	49	0
2	Jul_21_2011	19.14	19.92	20.1	20.08			20.07(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.03	55%	0.1	78.7	1.01%	0	0.3	60	0
3	Jul_20_2011	19.12	19.86	20.13	20.06			20.13(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10000	-1	4	0.04	57%	0.1	72.5	1.01%	0	0.6	64	0
4	Jul_19_2011	19.1	19.81	20.13	20.07			20.26(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	27	0.02	57%	0.05	73.7	1.02%	0	0.9	67	0
5	Jul_18_2011	19.09	19.73	20.14	20.01			19.91(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-4	46	0.01	55%	0.05	67.8	1%	0	0.3	70	0

6	Jul_15_2011	19.08	19.66	20.17	20.05			20.03(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-10000	-6	84	0.04	55%	0.1	66.3	1.01%	0	0.6	76	0
7	Jul_14_2011	19.06	19.59	20.14	20.11			19.95(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-10	117	0.02	55%	0.11	64.3	1.01%	0	0.5	74	0
8	Jul_13_2011	19.04	19.52	20.11	20.21			20.18(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	39	-10000	-2	163	0.02	57%	0.05	66	0.99%	0	0.9	82	0
9	Jul_12_2011	19.03	19.44	20.06	20.23			20(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	42	-10000	-6	186	0.4	57%	0.05	65.8	0.99%	0	0.8	74	0
10	Jul_11_2011	19.02	19.35	19.98	20.29			20.07(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	55	-10000	-1	221	0.02	57%	0.05	63.1	0.99%	0	1	81	0

11	Jul_8_2011	19.01	19.26	19.88	20.3			20.37(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	73	-10000	13	254	0.05	60%	0.05	59.1	0.97%	0	1.5	89	0
12	Jul_7_2011	19	19.17	19.74	20.17			20.42(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	76	-10000	17	252	0.06	57%	0.05	53.2	0.98%	0	1.8	91	0
13	Jul_6_2011	18.99	19.06	19.58	20			20.28(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	-10000	14	235	0.12	57%	0.05	44.2	1%	0	1.8	90	0
14	Jul_5_2011	18.98	18.98	19.45	19.86			20.29(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	75	-10000	23	232	0.39	57%	0.05	34.2	1%	0	2.2	84	0
15	Jul_1_2011	18.97	18.9	19.28	19.63			20.14(2.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	71	-10000	25	209	0.02	57%	0.05	18.5	0.99%	0	2.5	86	0

16	Jun_30_2011	18.96	18.83	19.11	19.39			19.72(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	57	-10000	16	181	0.03	56%	0	-3.1	0.95%	0	2.1	82	0
17	Jun_29_2011	18.96	18.8	18.98	19.24			19.59(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	-10000	15	150	0.02	56%	0.05	-16.9	0.97%	0	2	70	0
18	Jun_28_2011	18.95	18.8	18.86	19.1			19.57(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	-10000	12	123	0.02	56%	0	-26.3	0.97%	0	1.9	71	0
19	Jun_27_2011	18.95	18.78	18.76	18.99			19.15(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	14	105	0.02	53%	0	-34.1	0.94%	0	0.9	57	0
20	Jun_24_2011	18.95	18.8	18.66	18.87			18.94(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	11	68	0.02	54%	0	-37.2	0.93%	0	0.3	54	0

21	Jun_23_2011	18.95	18.84	18.6	18.77			18.97(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	11	29	0.01	54%	0.05	-39.6	0.96%	0	0.3	49	0
22	Jun_22_2011	18.94	18.86	18.55	18.67			18.85(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	9	-12	0.01	54%	0	-45.2	0.96%	0	-0	40	0
23	Jun_21_2011	18.94	18.89	18.51	18.59			19.02(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	10	-55	0.05	57%	0	-48.7	0.96%	0	0.2	39	0
24	Jun_20_2011	18.94	18.91	18.47	18.5			18.56(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	8	-109	0.03	53%	0.05	-49	0.94%	0	-0.6	22	0
25	Jun_17_2011	18.93	18.97	18.48	18.43			18.47(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	-10000	5	-157	0.06	53%		-50.5	0.94%	0	-0.9	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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