Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 5, 2011

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.7200 (1.19%) ($18.4500 - $18.7500) on Wed. Jan. 5, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $18.7200(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.59(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.66(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.7(0.11%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2011	17.09	18.7	18.66	18.59			18.72(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	3	-25	0.03	67%	0.29	-23.1	0.99%	0	0.1	59	0
2	Jan_4_2011	17.04	18.71	18.68	18.56			18.5(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-1	-18	0.02	66%	0.24	-4.4	1.02%	0	-1.2	51	0
3	Jan_3_2011	17	18.71	18.68	18.57			18.68(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	-2	-10	0.11	66%	0.24	14.3	1.01%	0	-0.3	52	0
4	Dec_31_2010	16.96	18.73	18.72	18.59			18.47(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0.07	64%	0.24	30.8	1.01%	0	-1.5	37	0
5	Dec_30_2010	16.92	18.75	18.75	18.66			18.56(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-9	-8	0.02	64%	0.3	56.5	1.01%	0	-1.2	44	0

6	Dec_29_2010	16.87	18.74	18.75	18.74			18.6(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-9	-6	0.02	64%	0.18	78	1.01%	0	-0.8	43	0
7	Dec_28_2010	16.84	18.72	18.74	18.82			18.55(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-5	-10000	-6	-1	0.02	64%	0.24	70.3	1.01%	0	-0.8	40	0
8	Dec_27_2010	16.8	18.7	18.75	18.88			18.76(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	2	-10000	1	6	0.02	67%	0.36	70.9	1%	0	0.2	47	0
9	Dec_23_2010	16.74	18.68	18.77	18.87			18.84(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	3	9	0.02	71%	0.18	73.4	1.04%	0	0.6	52	0
10	Dec_22_2010	16.71	18.66	18.76	18.84			18.95(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	10	11	0.04	71%	0.3	77.9	1.05%	0	1.1	58	0

11	Dec_21_2010	16.66	18.61	18.75	18.74			19.02(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	10	6	0.02	71%	0.24	69.6	1.06%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Dec_20_2010	16.62	18.57	18.74	18.64			18.85(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	4	10	0.03	73%	0.24	66	1.07%	0	0.9	70	0
13	Dec_17_2010	16.58	18.53	18.73	18.6			18.7(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-5	18	0.03	73%	0.24	64.1	1.09%	0	0.5	66	0
14	Dec_16_2010	16.54	18.49	18.73	18.65			18.69(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-2	42	0.02	73%	0.24	65.9	1.09%	0	0.6	62	0
15	Dec_15_2010	16.5	18.45	18.73	18.67			18.44(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-9	53	0.05	72%	0.18	57.9	1.09%	0	-0	56	0

16	Dec_14_2010	16.47	18.4	18.74	18.76			18.54(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-8	81	0.03	72%	0.24	52.6	1.09%	0	0.3	67	0
17	Dec_13_2010	16.43	18.37	18.71	18.84			18.63(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10000	-4	97	0.05	74%	0.24	53.3	1.08%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Dec_10_2010	16.39	18.33	18.67	18.88			18.95(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	4	113	0.02	78%	0.24	55	1.08%	0	1.4	71	0
19	Dec_9_2010	16.35	18.28	18.6	18.84			18.8(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	2	116	0.03	78%	0.31	57	1.08%	0	1.2	71	0
20	Dec_8_2010	16.3	18.24	18.55	18.82			18.86(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	10	135	0.02	78%	0.25	60.4	1.08%	0	1.5	76	0

21	Dec_7_2010	16.26	18.18	18.46	18.72			18.94(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	-10000	16	139	0.04	78%	0.31	58.1	1.08%	0	1.9	82	0
22	Dec_6_2010	16.21	18.14	18.38	18.56			18.85(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	14	120	0.02	78%	0.31	61.1	1.1%	0	2	66	0
23	Dec_3_2010	16.16	18.09	18.3	18.42			18.77(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	10	102	0.03	78%	0.25	69.3	1.11%	0	2.3	66	0
24	Dec_2_2010	16.12	18.05	18.22	18.32			18.66(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	7	84	0.04	81%	0.25	81.3	1.12%	0	2.3	59	0
25	Dec_1_2010	16.08	18	18.12	18.25			18.4(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	8	63	0.03	82%		92.2	1.2%	0	1.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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