Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.8500 (0.43%) ($18.6800 - $18.8600) on Mon. Dec. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $18.8500(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.56(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.38(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.14(3.91%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2010	16.21	18.14	18.38	18.56			18.85(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	14	120	0.02	78%	0.31	61.1	1.1%	0	2	66	0
2	Dec_3_2010	16.16	18.09	18.3	18.42			18.77(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	10	102	0.03	78%	0.25	69.3	1.11%	0	2.3	66	0
3	Dec_2_2010	16.12	18.05	18.22	18.32			18.66(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	7	84	0.04	81%	0.25	81.3	1.12%	0	2.3	59	0
4	Dec_1_2010	16.08	18	18.12	18.25			18.4(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	8	63	0.03	82%	0.19	92.2	1.2%	0	1.7	58	0
5	Nov_30_2010	16.05	17.96	18.03	18.16			18.1(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-2	36	0.03	77%	0.25	90.2	1.28%	0	0.6	58	0

6	Nov_29_2010	16.01	17.92	18	18.18			18.17(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	2	35	0.15	77%	0.19	80.7	1.31%	0	1	51	0
7	Nov_26_2010	15.98	17.89	17.97	18.16			18.26(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	5	29	0.02	78%	0.38	74.8	1.32%	0	1.4	53	0
8	Nov_24_2010	15.92	17.84	17.95	18.1			18.3(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	10	27	0.15	78%	0.32	67.9	1.31%	0	1.5	56	0
9	Nov_23_2010	15.87	17.79	17.91	17.98			17.96(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	9	17	0.01	77%	0.13	64.4	1.33%	0	0.6	56	0
10	Nov_22_2010	15.85	17.76	17.89	17.87			18.2(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	5	1	0.06	77%	0.25	65.6	1.32%	0	1.5	61	0

11	Nov_19_2010	15.81	17.72	17.89	17.81			18.06(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	3	7	0.07	73%	0.32	67.1	1.32%	0	1.2	65	0
12	Nov_18_2010	15.76	17.69	17.87	17.77			17.98(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	3	-10000	-1	15	0.01	73%	0.25	61.7	1.34%	0	0.9	63	0
13	Nov_17_2010	15.72	17.64	17.87	17.78			17.71(1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-4	31	0.03	72%	0.26	56.5	1.34%	0	0.2	62	0
14	Nov_16_2010	15.68	17.6	17.86	17.83			17.42(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	8	-10000	-5	48	0.04	71%	0.13	53.2	1.34%	0	-0.5	57	0
15	Nov_15_2010	15.66	17.58	17.89	17.89			17.86(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-4	66	0.02	76%	0.19	54.5	1.29%	0	0.7	60	0

16	Nov_12_2010	15.63	17.54	17.85	17.94			17.86(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-3	72	0.06	76%	0.26	60.8	1.31%	0	0.8	62	0
17	Nov_11_2010	15.59	17.5	17.8	17.98			18.05(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	84	0.04	70%	0.19	66.8	1.3%	0	1.4	68	0
18	Nov_10_2010	15.56	17.45	17.73	17.95			17.96(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	5	86	0.02	70%	0.19	74.8	1.37%	0	1.3	74	0
19	Nov_9_2010	15.53	17.4	17.66	17.89			17.74(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	1	87	0.02	70%	0.13	79.8	1.37%	0	0.9	72	0
20	Nov_8_2010	15.51	17.37	17.63	17.88			18.08(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	12	110	0.02	74%	0.13	85	1.35%	0	1.9	85	0

21	Nov_5_2010	15.49	17.3	17.57	17.74			18.06(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	11	98	0.03	74%	0.19	87.1	1.35%	0	2.2	71	0
22	Nov_4_2010	15.46	17.24	17.49	17.61			17.91(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	11	87	0.03	74%	0.13	88.5	1.35%	0	2	68	0
23	Nov_3_2010	15.44	17.17	17.39	17.48			17.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	23	-10000	8	67	0.01	74%	0.13	86	1.35%	0	1.6	66	0
24	Nov_2_2010	15.42	17.11	17.32	17.39			17.68(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	3	50	0.01	74%	0.19	87.3	1.36%	0	1.8	65	0
25	Nov_1_2010	15.39	17.06	17.23	17.35			17.36(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-2	39	0.02	72%		84.5	1.36%	0	0.9	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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