Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.0500 (0.5%) ($17.8400 - $18.1600) on Thu. Nov. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $18.0500(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.98(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.8(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.5(3.14%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2010	15.59	17.5	17.8	17.98			18.05(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	3	84	0.04	70%	0.19	66.8	1.3%	0	1.4	68	0
2	Nov_10_2010	15.56	17.45	17.73	17.95			17.96(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	5	86	0.02	70%	0.19	74.8	1.37%	0	1.3	74	0
3	Nov_9_2010	15.53	17.4	17.66	17.89			17.74(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	1	87	0.02	70%	0.13	79.8	1.37%	0	0.9	72	0
4	Nov_8_2010	15.51	17.37	17.63	17.88			18.08(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	12	110	0.02	74%	0.13	85	1.35%	0	1.9	85	0
5	Nov_5_2010	15.49	17.3	17.57	17.74			18.06(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	11	98	0.03	74%	0.19	87.1	1.35%	0	2.2	71	0

6	Nov_4_2010	15.46	17.24	17.49	17.61			17.91(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	11	87	0.03	74%	0.13	88.5	1.35%	0	2	68	0
7	Nov_3_2010	15.44	17.17	17.39	17.48			17.68(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	23	-10000	8	67	0.01	74%	0.13	86	1.35%	0	1.6	66	0
8	Nov_2_2010	15.42	17.11	17.32	17.39			17.68(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	3	50	0.01	74%	0.19	87.3	1.36%	0	1.8	65	0
9	Nov_1_2010	15.39	17.06	17.23	17.35			17.36(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-2	39	0.02	72%	0.13	84.5	1.36%	0	0.9	61	0
10	Oct_29_2010	15.37	17	17.2	17.37			17.4(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	1	48	0.01	72%	0.13	82	1.36%	0	1.1	66	0

11	Oct_28_2010	15.35	16.95	17.17	17.36			17.26(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	6	58	0.01	72%	0.2	78.9	1.36%	0	0.8	66	0
12	Oct_27_2010	15.32	16.9	17.15	17.29			17.26(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	5	60	0.02	72%	0.13	76.6	1.36%	0	0.9	70	0
13	Oct_26_2010	15.3	16.85	17.13	17.23			17.49(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	-10000	13	68	0.02	74%	0.26	74.7	1.35%	0	1.6	79	0
14	Oct_25_2010	15.26	16.78	17.08	17.08			17.42(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	5	53	0.02	74%	0.13	69	1.37%	0	1.6	74	0
15	Oct_22_2010	15.24	16.72	17.02	17.02			17.35(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	18	-10000	4	59	0.02	76%	0.13	67.9	1.38%	0	1.7	79	0

16	Oct_21_2010	15.22	16.66	16.96	16.97			16.94(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-2	61	0	75%	0.07	65.8	1.41%	0	0.7	71	0
17	Oct_20_2010	15.21	16.6	16.93	16.99			16.93(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-3	73	0.02	75%	0.13	64	1.43%	0	0.8	73	0
18	Oct_19_2010	15.19	16.55	16.89	17.02			16.77(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	-10000	-3	87	0.02	75%	0.13	66.5	1.43%	0	0.5	71	0
19	Oct_18_2010	15.17	16.52	16.88	17.06			17.09(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	3	108	0.05	79%	0.07	72.2	1.4%	0	1.4	81	0
20	Oct_15_2010	15.16	16.47	16.8	17.02			17.1(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	5	100	0.09	70%	0.13	73.1	1.5%	0	1.5	82	0

21	Oct_14_2010	15.14	16.41	16.72	16.95			17.04(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	96	0.03	70%	0.13	73.8	1.5%	0	1.6	80	0
22	Oct_13_2010	15.12	16.35	16.63	16.85			17.08(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	8	96	0.01	73%	0.13	76.3	1.5%	0	1.9	88	0
23	Oct_12_2010	15.1	16.29	16.54	16.75			16.99(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	27	-10000	6	88	0.02	73%	0.13	80.9	1.54%	0	2	79	0
24	Oct_11_2010	15.08	16.23	16.47	16.67			16.87(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	10	85	0.03	73%	0.13	89.8	1.54%	0	2	69	0
25	Oct_8_2010	15.06	16.18	16.39	16.54			16.76(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	7	67	0.03	73%		89.7	1.55%	0	1.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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