Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $16.7600 (1.15%) ($16.5200 - $16.8400) on Fri. Oct. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $16.7600(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    SPY(79%)    XLY(77%)    QQQ(71%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-1%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.54(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.39(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.18(3.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2010	15.06	16.18	16.39	16.54			16.76(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	7	67	0.03	73%	0.13	89.7	1.55%	0	1.9	62	0
2	Oct_7_2010	15.04	16.12	16.34	16.45			16.57(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	6	64	0.02	75%	0.07	82.8	1.56%	0	1.5	67	0
3	Oct_6_2010	15.03	16.06	16.25	16.37			16.54(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	5	52	0.02	75%	0	86.5	1.6%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Oct_5_2010	15.03	16.01	16.19	16.31			16.61(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	6	44	0.02	75%	0.07	97	1.6%	0	1.9	65	0
5	Oct_4_2010	15.02	15.95	16.19	16.23			16.23(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	1	37	0.03	73%	0	120.3	1.59%	0	1	59	0

6	Oct_1_2010	15.02	15.91	16.13	16.22			16.3(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	2	43	0.06	73%	0	139.6	1.6%	0	1.3	61	0
7	Sep_30_2010	15.02	15.87	16.08	16.2			16.19(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	7	49	0.04	73%	0	152.9	1.6%	0	1.1	67	0
8	Sep_29_2010	15.02	15.8	16.04	16.11			16.2(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	5	45	0.01	66%	0	125.6	1.6%	0	1.1	70	0
9	Sep_28_2010	15.02	15.7	16.01	16.05			16.25(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	3	44	0.02	66%	0	91.5	1.72%	0	1.1	71	0
10	Sep_27_2010	15.02	15.6	15.97	16.01			16.18(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-1	49	0.03	66%	0.07	77.4	1.72%	0	1	71	0

11	Sep_24_2010	15.01	15.52	15.94	16.02			16.2(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	60	0.03	62%	0.07	75.6	1.72%	0	1.1	63	0
12	Sep_23_2010	15	15.42	15.88	15.94			15.73(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-2	54	0.11	60%	0	67.1	1.72%	0	0.5	62	0
13	Sep_22_2010	15	15.35	15.86	15.94			15.88(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	0	72	0.03	57%	-0.07	60.5	1.71%	0	0.8	75	0
14	Sep_21_2010	15.01	15.26	15.82	15.96			16.07(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	2	101	0.13	57%	-0.07	54.8	1.73%	0	1.1	85	0
15	Sep_20_2010	15.02	15.17	15.75	15.93			16.2(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	4	125	0.01	57%	0	54.1	1.74%	0	1.4	86	0

16	Sep_17_2010	15.02	15.07	15.69	15.87			15.84(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	40	-10000	4	147	0.05	55%	-0.07	55.4	1.71%	0	1.1	75	0
17	Sep_16_2010	15.03	15	15.64	15.82			15.79(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	-10000	6	171	0	55%	-0.07	54.2	1.71%	0	1.1	78	0
18	Sep_15_2010	15.04	14.94	15.54	15.74			15.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	50	-10000	7	179	0.01	57%	-0.07	54.3	1.71%	0	1.4	79	0
19	Sep_14_2010	15.05	14.86	15.37	15.65			15.9(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	7	173	0.01	57%	-0.07	50.8	1.73%	0	1.6	81	0
20	Sep_13_2010	15.06	14.78	15.21	15.55			15.91(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	-10000	5	162	0.04	57%	-0.07	43.1	1.73%	0	1.9	74	0

21	Sep_10_2010	15.07	14.69	15.06	15.48			15.59(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	4	162	0	57%	-0.13	38.5	1.72%	0	1.6	69	0
22	Sep_9_2010	15.09	14.63	14.92	15.43			15.41(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	-10000	10	155	0.02	57%	-0.07	34.1	1.75%	0	1.5	67	0
23	Sep_8_2010	15.1	14.58	14.8	15.3			15.44(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	20	135	0.01	57%	-0.07	23.6	1.75%	0	1.8	61	0
24	Sep_7_2010	15.11	14.54	14.65	15.04			15.38(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	18	91	0.01	54%	-0.2	9.2	1.75%	0	1.9	62	0
25	Sep_3_2010	15.14	14.52	14.54	14.81			15.6(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	27	-10000	17	58	0.03	50%		-5	1.83%	0	2.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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