Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.4900 (1.71%) ($15.2300 - $15.4900) on Mon. May. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $15.4900(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.3(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.3(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.01(3.2%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2008	14.81	15.01	15.3	15.3			15.49(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	-10000	3	63	0.01	58%	-0.07	48.8	1.57%	0	1.2	82	0
2	May_9_2008	14.82	14.95	15.24	15.27			15.23(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-5	63	0.02	56%	-0.07	40.2	1.55%	0	0.7	64	0
3	May_8_2008	14.83	14.91	15.22	15.33			15.19(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-3	73	0.01	56%	-0.07	36.5	1.57%	0	0.7	59	0
4	May_7_2008	14.84	14.88	15.19	15.37			15.23(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	2	90	0.02	58%	-0.07	34.9	1.57%	0	0.9	66	0
5	May_6_2008	14.85	14.85	15.14	15.35			15.38(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	5	93	0.05	58%	-0.07	28.1	1.58%	0	1.4	72	0

6	May_5_2008	14.86	14.82	15.05	15.29			15.34(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	7	94	0.01	56%	-0.07	23.3	1.59%	0	1.5	76	0
7	May_2_2008	14.87	14.8	14.99	15.21			15.49(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	9	96	0.16	53%	-0.07	23.3	1.62%	0	2.1	78	0
8	May_1_2008	14.88	14.77	14.93	15.1			15.43(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	9	93	0.05	56%	-0.07	27.1	1.63%	0	2.2	71	0
9	Apr_30_2008	14.89	14.77	14.84	14.99			15.1(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	7	73	0.22	58%	-0.13	25.8	1.74%	0	1.3	58	0
10	Apr_29_2008	14.91	14.75	14.78	14.9			15.07(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	9	60	0.2	58%	-0.13	23	1.76%	0	1.2	58	0

11	Apr_28_2008	14.93	14.74	14.7	14.78			14.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	9	-10000	2	29	0	58%	-0.13	9.8	1.75%	0	0.7	50	0
12	Apr_25_2008	14.95	14.72	14.63	14.75			14.94(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	1	10	0.01	56%	-0.13	-2.1	1.76%	0	0.8	48	0
13	Apr_24_2008	14.97	14.69	14.57	14.74			14.88(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	5	-3	0	58%	-0.13	-8.4	1.77%	0	0.7	44	0
14	Apr_23_2008	14.99	14.68	14.55	14.68			14.66(1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	2	-22	0.01	60%	-0.13	-5.8	1.79%	0	-0.1	38	0
15	Apr_22_2008	15.01	14.69	14.54	14.65			14.49(-1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-6	-10000	4	-35	0.37	61%	-0.13	0.5	1.83%	0	-0.7	33	0

16	Apr_21_2008	15.03	14.72	14.58	14.59			14.77(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	8	-44	0.01	63%	-0.13	12.7	1.83%	0	0.2	43	0
17	Apr_18_2008	15.05	14.73	14.59	14.49			14.89(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	8	-50	0.1	63%	-0.13	17.2	1.84%	0	0.5	58	0
18	Apr_17_2008	15.07	14.71	14.6	14.39			14.6(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-1	-52	0.01	60%	-0.13	13.2	1.83%	0	-0.4	59	0
19	Apr_16_2008	15.09	14.71	14.64	14.4			14.51(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0.02	60%	-0.13	12.8	1.85%	0	-0.6	48	0
20	Apr_15_2008	15.11	14.69	14.71	14.43			14.18(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-10	-37	0.01	56%	-0.13	15.1	1.83%	0	-1.5	38	0

21	Apr_14_2008	15.13	14.69	14.79	14.56			14.25(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-10	-22	0.01	56%	-0.13	24.9	1.85%	0	-1.2	35	0
22	Apr_11_2008	15.15	14.68	14.79	14.7			14.4(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0	54%	-0.07	33.7	1.85%	0	-0.8	39	0
23	Apr_10_2008	15.16	14.67	14.79	14.83			14.66(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-4	0	54%	-0.07	44.4	1.86%	0	-0	53	0
24	Apr_9_2008	15.17	14.65	14.83	14.93			14.64(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-7	17	0	54%	-0.13	44.4	1.87%	0	-0	61	0
25	Apr_8_2008	15.19	14.64	14.86	15.03			14.87(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-1	43	0.03	51%		48.4	1.86%	0	0.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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