Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $14.7700 (-0.81%) ($14.7400 - $14.8400) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $14.7700(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.59(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.58(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.72(0.34%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2008	15.03	14.72	14.58	14.59			14.77(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	8	-44	0.01	63%	-0.13	12.7	1.83%	0	0.2	43	0
2	Apr_18_2008	15.05	14.73	14.59	14.49			14.89(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	8	-50	0.1	63%	-0.13	17.2	1.84%	0	0.5	58	0
3	Apr_17_2008	15.07	14.71	14.6	14.39			14.6(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-1	-52	0.01	60%	-0.13	13.2	1.83%	0	-0.4	59	0
4	Apr_16_2008	15.09	14.71	14.64	14.4			14.51(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-2	-42	0.02	60%	-0.13	12.8	1.85%	0	-0.6	48	0
5	Apr_15_2008	15.11	14.69	14.71	14.43			14.18(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-10	-37	0.01	56%	-0.13	15.1	1.83%	0	-1.5	38	0

6	Apr_14_2008	15.13	14.69	14.79	14.56			14.25(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-10	-22	0.01	56%	-0.13	24.9	1.85%	0	-1.2	35	0
7	Apr_11_2008	15.15	14.68	14.79	14.7			14.4(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0	54%	-0.07	33.7	1.85%	0	-0.8	39	0
8	Apr_10_2008	15.16	14.67	14.79	14.83			14.66(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-7	-4	0	54%	-0.07	44.4	1.86%	0	-0	53	0
9	Apr_9_2008	15.17	14.65	14.83	14.93			14.64(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-7	17	0	54%	-0.13	44.4	1.87%	0	-0	61	0
10	Apr_8_2008	15.19	14.64	14.86	15.03			14.87(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-1	43	0.03	51%	-0.13	48.4	1.86%	0	0.6	61	0

11	Apr_7_2008	15.21	14.59	14.86	15.05			14.94(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	6	73	0.01	51%	-0.13	38.9	1.91%	0	0.8	68	0
12	Apr_4_2008	15.23	14.55	14.88	14.97			15.06(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	11	85	0	49%	-0.07	26.6	1.91%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Apr_3_2008	15.24	14.51	14.84	14.82			15.12(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	6	71	0.03	48%	-0.13	7.4	1.95%	0	1.5	61	0
14	Apr_2_2008	15.26	14.48	14.74	14.73			15.15(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	4	60	0.01	46%	-0.13	-7.1	1.96%	0	1.7	63	0
15	Apr_1_2008	15.28	14.45	14.66	14.67			15(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	12	-10000	-1	52	0	46%	-0.13	-26.1	1.98%	0	1.5	60	0

16	Mar_31_2008	15.3	14.43	14.55	14.68			14.53(1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-7	54	0.05	43%	-0.2	-35.6	1.95%	0	0.3	61	0
17	Mar_28_2008	15.33	14.44	14.55	14.78			14.29(-2.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	13	-10000	-5	68	0.06	43%	-0.2	-32.2	1.94%	0	-0.4	53	0
18	Mar_27_2008	15.36	14.48	14.51	14.85			14.67(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	27	-10000	8	85	0.01	44%	-0.13	-24.6	1.92%	0	0.5	58	0
19	Mar_26_2008	15.38	14.51	14.47	14.74			14.85(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	63	0.01	44%	-0.19	-26.4	1.92%	0	0.8	50	0
20	Mar_25_2008	15.41	14.54	14.41	14.63			15.08(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	17	50	0.04	44%	-0.13	-26.1	1.91%	0	1.1	56	0

21	Mar_24_2008	15.43	14.54	14.28	14.39			15.03(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	-10000	14	3	0.08	45%	-0.32	-36.2	1.92%	0	0.9	52	0
22	Mar_20_2008	15.48	14.55	14.19	14.2			14.61(3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	4	-38	0.01	42%	-0.26	-46.2	1.89%	0	0.1	46	0
23	Mar_19_2008	15.52	14.57	14.14	14.14			14.15(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-10000	-1	-69	0.02	39%	-0.19	-52.6	1.83%	0	-0.8	34	0
24	Mar_18_2008	15.55	14.63	14.19	14.14			14.29(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.02	39%	-0.26	-52	1.84%	0	-0.6	31	0
25	Mar_17_2008	15.59	14.67	14.21	14.15			13.89(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-27	-10000	0	-108	0.01	35%		-50.8	1.8%	0	-1.4	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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