Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.1000 (-2.39%) ($15.1000 - $15.3600) on Thu. Feb. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $15.1000(-2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(84%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    EWG(69%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(-1%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $15.17
5 Day Moving Average   $15.36(-1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.27(-1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.17(-0.46%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2008	16.05	15.17	15.27	15.36			15.1(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	10	-10000	2	33	0.01	40%	-0.25	83	1.7%	0	-0.3	56	0
2	Feb_27_2008	16.09	15.14	15.32	15.34			15.47(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	50	0.01	41%	-0.19	68.3	1.71%	0	1.1	69	0
3	Feb_26_2008	16.12	15.09	15.29	15.3			15.61(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	6	55	0.06	40%	-0.19	74.1	1.7%	0	1.6	65	0
4	Feb_25_2008	16.15	15.04	15.22	15.22			15.42(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	3	40	0.04	40%	-0.25	80.3	1.71%	0	1.2	54	0
5	Feb_22_2008	16.19	14.99	15.17	15.22			15.2(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	0	21	0	42%	-0.18	81.1	1.71%	0	0.6	44	0

6	Feb_21_2008	16.22	14.96	15.14	15.18			14.98(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-8	16	0.01	42%	-0.18	90.7	1.71%	0	0.1	49	0
7	Feb_20_2008	16.25	14.93	15.11	15.29			15.28(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	2	40	0.1	43%	-0.25	97.2	1.7%	0	0.9	65	0
8	Feb_19_2008	16.29	14.86	15.06	15.27			15.2(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	44	0.03	42%	-0.31	80.6	1.7%	0	0.8	60	0
9	Feb_15_2008	16.34	14.79	15.05	15.23			15.22(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	6	54	0.02	40%	-0.18	61	1.71%	0	0.9	61	0
10	Feb_14_2008	16.37	14.72	15.07	15.15			15.23(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	5	69	0.01	39%	-0.18	45.6	1.73%	0	1	63	0

11	Feb_13_2008	16.4	14.66	15.06	15.08			15.52(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	14	74	0.01	42%	-0.12	39	1.73%	0	1.6	61	0
12	Feb_12_2008	16.42	14.58	14.94	14.9			15.2(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	5	48	0.01	40%	-0.18	28.6	1.74%	0	1.2	62	0
13	Feb_11_2008	16.45	14.53	14.88	14.83			14.96(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	12	-10000	-2	53	0.04	40%	-0.24	21.5	1.73%	0	0.9	66	0
14	Feb_8_2008	16.49	14.49	14.83	14.86			14.85(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10000	-10	75	0.03	40%	-0.18	19.9	1.73%	0	0.7	68	0
15	Feb_7_2008	16.52	14.48	14.79	14.99			14.89(1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-3	111	0.01	39%	-0.18	23.4	1.73%	0	0.9	65	0

16	Feb_6_2008	16.55	14.45	14.77	15.03			14.6(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	37	-10000	4	136	0.01	37%	-0.24	16.7	1.72%	0	0.3	58	0
17	Feb_5_2008	16.59	14.44	14.75	14.98			14.83(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	4	142	0.03	37%	-0.18	-1.3	1.71%	0	0.8	61	0
18	Feb_4_2008	16.62	14.43	14.65	14.93			15.14(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	11	131	0.05	38%	-0.12	-15.4	1.7%	0	1.5	60	0
19	Feb_1_2008	16.64	14.4	14.5	14.79			15.49(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	-10000	18	105	0.04	38%	-0.12	-37.8	1.68%	0	2.5	65	0
20	Jan_31_2008	16.66	14.37	14.33	14.57			15.07(4.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	7	52	0.22	36%	-0.12	-68.6	1.67%	0	1.8	54	0

21	Jan_30_2008	16.68	14.38	14.22	14.57			14.37(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	0	32	0.01	31%	-0.24	-77.4	1.55%	0	-0	49	0
22	Jan_29_2008	16.72	14.44	14.18	14.48			14.58(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	14	30	0.01	31%	-0.12	-77.5	1.54%	0	0.3	54	0
23	Jan_28_2008	16.74	14.5	14.15	14.33			14.46(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	-10000	16	-3	0.17	31%	-0.18	-71.8	1.53%	0	-0.1	45	0
24	Jan_25_2008	16.77	14.56	14.12	14.16			14.36(-1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	11	-42	0.01	31%	-0.18	-70.9	1.54%	0	-0.3	45	0
25	Jan_24_2008	16.8	14.64	14.14	14.04			14.65(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	11	-74	0.08	32%		-72	1.52%	0	0	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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